ARIEL FERNANDEZ

The odds are always what needs to be analyzed—how the market behaves. It’s heading somewhere, but knowing where there’s a higher probability is more than just luck! Now let’s analyze what we’ll do this week #BTC走势分析 $BTC

Analyzing the chart carefully, we continue moving sideways with an evident liquidity trap, even though it seems sideways. It is clear that what it is trying to do is distribute and absorb the 77,300. It is still its technical stop.

Probability (current scenario: sideways)
Based on what is shown in the chart (pools + spike + compression):
- 55%: sideways with a sweep up toward 77,290 – 77,390, and then back to the range.
- 30%: bearish breakdown and “acceptance” toward 76,900 – 76,020 (TP magnet).
- 15%: real bullish breakout (only if it accepts above 77,786.79).
If you enter with very high leverage X, I’ll go into hedging mode with a Trailing Stop, assuming a maximum 3% loss. But I don’t think the market will jump more than that. $BTC #btc70k

We are going to wait for the daily candle to close in $BTC , but on the way I’ll tell you this: this had happened before, and it’s not encouraging for those going SHORT. The market wants to go higher to clean up more, and it still hasn’t released the Open Interest! #btc70k

Yes, right here in this area, I step out; I see a clear rejection—like today is Friday, the start of the weekend. It’s very possible that it will try to lateralize for Sunday and build a mess in the short term, but let’s hope it closes the daily candle $BTC #BTC走势分析

The trend is clearly BULLISH, reaching a short-hunting zone, rejecting RESISTANCE, and returning to retest the SUPPORT zone

The RSI at 85 is a possible retest signal to a previous zone. My target is around 77,300 as the stop zone. With open interest close to 8%, we are confirming that a lot of leverage is entering and that at any moment we could reach 70k again as a retest of the invalidated zone. $BTC #BTC

I told you it would be a good rally this weekend. We'll do a quick analysis on the platform and see if it works for us! $BTC #BTCSurpasses$72000

I got to the market late—this little candle for 70k is going to play a good rally this weekend. Time to activate the platform!

$BTC bullish rebound of short-term within an still fragile undefined 1H structure. Price enters vacuum mode first going where there are more stops and then liquidating positions.

Let's analyze BTC USDT $BTC #BTCReclaims70k before the opening of ASIA with complete technical analysis indicators! If you want me to evaluate a coin, leave it in the comments.

Analyzing the current market situation $BTC #OilPricesSlide

1. Psychological State (Fear vs Greed):
With a Trend (▲) and Volatility (Normal / Stable), the market is in a state of Complacency / Cautious Optimism (Mild Greed). There is no panic (Fear) because the drops are being passively bought, but there is also no extreme euphoria because volatility is low. Participants are "comfortable" holding the asset.

2. Crossing with the Scanner (LATERAL | Var: 0.009%):
This complacency is perfectly reflected in the scanner. A variation of 0.009% in BTC indicates intraday apathy. Retail investors are getting bored and overtrading on 1-minute timeframes, while institutional algorithms are simply absorbing liquidity within a narrow range without directional urgency.

3. Is the price overextended (Overextended) at $69,505.68?
Historically, the $69k-$70k range represents a massive psychological resistance (Former All-Time Highs). However, *it is not algorithmically overextended at this moment*. The low volatility in this high zone is a sign of price acceptance. If it were overextended, we would see a violent rejection (long wicks, high volatility). The fact that it consolidates here is bullish on a macro level.

4. INSTITUTIONAL VERDICT:
Trend Following with Range execution.
Going against the trend (Contrarian/Short) in a bullish macro market that is passively consolidating near highs is a statistical suicide. The optimal strategy is to buy at the lower limits of the current lateral range (Discount zones / $68.8k - $69.2k) betting that the current compression of low volatility will result in a bullish expansion (Breakout) in favor of the macro trend.

BTCUSDT Analysis | No defined entries!
I will only enter LONG due to economic conflicts; I will respect the SHORT zones.! $BTC $ETH #UseAIforCryptoTrading

Market Structure (SMC): The price has lost key levels of local support and is descending towards pending liquidity zones (Pool Buy) visible on the chart between $69,302.36 and $69,274.92. There is a major bullish Order Block near the 200 EMA on the chart ($69,045.57).

* Macro Context: The cryptocurrency market is awaiting macroeconomic data from the U.S. (PCE/Inflation) and the imminence of presidential elections, which is causing caution (explaining the low variance of 0.009%).
* Institutional Flow: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to show positive net inflows, acting as a hard floor for the price.
* Sentiment (Whale Watch): Whales are withdrawing BTC from centralized exchanges (Binance, Coinbase) to cold wallets, reducing liquid supply.
* OSINT Conclusion: There are no imminent "Black Swan" catalysts today that invalidate the technical structure. The environment is safe to operate the pure technical structure.

RESISTANCE TERMINAL TRADING

This weekend will be lateral until Sunday in opening ASIA we will analyze on the weekend projection $BTC $ETH $SOL in the weekly and swing trading entries 4h #MarketRebound

If you want to succeed with your entries this week, understand the game RESISTANCE —-> LATERALIZATION —-> SUPPORT that is the key when there is war and fear, there are indecisions, and the masses usually follow the direction of the market $BTC #AnthropicUSGovClash

After the confirmation of the pullback, we entered a guaranteed SHORT. In a few minutes, I will share analysis and a chart. It is important to know that since we are in economic events (War), keep the operations protected with a trailing stop or Trigger Take Profit in case of a pullback to close with profits or breakeven $ETH #XCryptoBanMistake

In the main post, I shared this:
If you know about key indicators, you know that this was a liquidity sweep to then revert to the mean. The RSI is at 39, which is micro bearish, therefore it is a Swing Trading game between lateralization from 1800 - 2100 for you to understand.

Here we go! It's time to protect against possible setbacks $ETH #ETH various currency analyses are coming today!

We are already riding LONG up to 2090 in that area but protected with Trailing Stop $ETH #ETH

We closed SHORT and defined entry into LONG after the opening of ASIA. There are several points to consider in ETHUSDT $ETH #ETH

Volume Clusters
* Candle -2 & -1 (Bearish): There was a massive injection of selling volume (Total combined > 13,000). Candle -1 pushed the price up to $1906.91 with a volume of 7727.24.
* Candle -0 (Current Bullish): Despite the previous selling volume, the price is bouncing (Range $1912-$1929). This indicates Shorters Trapped at the lower end of Candle -1. Institutional absorption is active.
Money Flow
The macro Point of Control (POC) is at $1860.90. The macro strength indicates control by BUYERS (BULL) with a ratio of 1.00:1. Although the POC is lower (acting as a macro magnet in case of capitulation), the defense of the $1900 level shows immediate institutional interest.

If you know about key indicators, you know that this was a liquidity sweep to then revert to the mean, the RSI is at 39 which is micro bearish, therefore it is a Swing Trading game between lateralization from 1800 - 2100 for you to understand.

We will enter this market in a few minutes, I publish the analysis $ETH #Ethereum

Warning! Israel launches an attack against Iran and declares a state of emergency throughout the country | This could cause violent movements in the market $BTC #TrumpStateoftheUnion

XRPUSDT 4H SWING TRADING ANALYSIS
$BTC #AnthropicUSGovClash

ANALYSIS
In 4H it remains bullish due to macro structure (1D/4H aligned) but the price is in a retracement phase to sweep liquidity and rebalance inefficiencies while the psychological zone in spot is at 1.53 remember how whales operate first they sweep the areas of interest 1.23 - 1.53 and then place their long-term positions my entry zone is 1.23 and exit of my first Take Profit close to 1.53 more or less by the EMA200 before correction

It is very likely to give me entry at the opening of LONDON | NY

MARKET
Whale Watch: Movements from old wallets to exchanges are detected, suggesting a possible massive profit-taking (Distribution Phase)
News: The market has discounted positive news; the current risk is "Sell the news"
TERMINAL RESISTANCE TRADING