苏禾

Current task: $ETH

☑️The short-term goal has been reached, and the upward momentum is in line with expectations. This increases the probability of achieving the outlook of moving above 2100. The short-term plan is to find a position to add more holdings toward the target level.

☑️The position to add more is one where we wait for a 1-hour level pullback. If it pulls back slowly, without a major sell-off with high volume intraday, and it doesn’t get rejected (i.e., it doesn’t retrace back), then the plan is to look for a 5-minute support structure around 1900 to go long.

Current task: $ETH

☑️The v reversal around 1800 proves the continuity at the 4-hour level. Here, the probability of pushing to a new high increases. Then, switching to the weekly chart: this is the extreme lower-limit area of the left-side weekly low. For large-scale spot traders (the “whales”), this is an excellent positioning spot. Therefore, what we expect to begin here is a daily-trend-level行情.

☑️The next pullback at the 4-hour level is a good layout position. We expect it to be in the 1820–1850 range. The short-term target is above 1970. The expected outcome for this leg of the move is above 2150.

Current task:

$ETH

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☑️
The continuation of the decline on the 4H timeframe, followed by a pullback, proves that the gap resistance on the left side of the daily timeframe is greater than the continuation strength on the 4H timeframe. If the upward impulse isn’t enough, then the main direction should be another retest of the gap on the 4H timeframe that marked the continuation of the up move—but here the pullback is part of the continuation of the downward move. On the 4H timeframe, there hasn’t been a meaningful rebound. So this 4H gap cannot be used as a strong basis. Only when a strong V-reversal occurs on the 15min timeframe at a key level, then the subsequent pullback can be considered for entry.
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Trading suggestion: First, wait for the price to pull back to around 1826. On the 15min timeframe, there must be a clear V-reversal; the rebound should be strong and fast. After that, the subsequent pullback can be used to enter for longs. If it breaks below 1778, then we should turn bearish on the 4H timeframe—wait for a rebound on the 1H timeframe and then short.

Current US stock task:
$SPCX
Current price 136.4

☑️
The issue price has worn away many people’s patience and enthusiasm. After the volume expanded and broke down below key levels, the speed of reclaiming was very fast. The best entry point is the gap that was retested and bounced off at 3:00 last night. If you didn’t enter there, it is still a worthwhile position to participate in.

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If you enter here, the defensive zone is still below at the 132.3 level. However, the position size needs to be a bit lighter than at 134.4. If it pulls back again to 134.2 and support holds, then on the third pullback you can add to your position.
The target level: at least wait for a 15-minute level volume-expanding bullish candle, or a move above 143.
Overall rating: three stars.

Current mainline task: $ETH.

☑️ The daily chart has broken above the two previous highs on the left and held with a bullish real body. After that, on the 4h timeframe there was another small bullish push, with no pullback action. Therefore, on the daily level and below, the outlook is subjectively bullish.

☑️ This area also corresponds to a potential daily-level liquidity fill zone from the left side, and it’s a major pressure zone on the higher timeframe. So you shouldn’t consider an aggressive breakout long here. Instead, you need to wait for the 1h timeframe pullback to enter.

On ETH’s 1h timeframe, support is around 1902. As long as price does not fall below roughly 1876, this wave of 1h-level continuation行情 remains valid. If the pullback breaks down below 1864, then it would be a 4h-level liquidity retracement, and around 1830 would become a good area for bullish forces to watch.

The current yield of the orders has reached 110%, the entire process does not resist orders, with a single stop loss of 3%-5%. Profits will be used to roll over the positions at suitable locations.

Currently controlling a single drawdown at 5%, with profits approaching 40%. During the New Year period, the market has been volatile, with not many opportunities; the ones that appeared were all stop-loss opportunities. However, once a reversal trend at the 4-hour level or above starts to emerge, it enters a profit cycle.

The 1000u challenge to 10000u has begun.
This process has basically documented the trading journey in detail, including selection of varieties, take profit and stop loss, and position management.
1. Ensure that the principal is the priority. Control single transaction losses within 3%. Once profits reach 500u, single transaction losses will be kept within 5%. Once profits reach 2000u, single transaction losses will be kept within 10%.
2. The most important aspect of trading is -- waiting.
How long can we wait from 1000u to 10000u??

$ZEC
The downward trend has been broken, the previous high has been tested and manifested the simplest 123 rule. If the 4-hour chart does not create a new low, this is the position with the highest risk-reward ratio, and here the first expectation is 400, which is the previous high on the left.

$BCH is one of the most promising assets among old coins. The weekly chart indicates a high concentration of tokens. Although it hasn't yet started an independent trend, once the main upward wave begins, there will definitely be significant movement. It is important to keep a close watch on it.

Has the $hajimi market become this desperate? It seems that going for Chinese coins in the spot market is the general consensus?
But looking at the charts, there are no signs of this in the short term?
Everyone come to cx and buy, the technicals can't buy for now, so should we buy or not?

$H praises h for being a market maker. Truly powerful, decisive in pulling and smashing, with immense potential. I don't know where your limits are, but I know that you definitely haven't reached your limit yet.

$AIA is considered one of the best recent trends in the market, primarily due to its continuity, characterized by steady rises without pullbacks on a smaller scale. This method of increase is most beneficial for market sentiment; its sharp rise is not just a solo event but will certainly prompt some altcoins to begin their own performances.
Therefore, the focus should be on two types moving forward:
1. Cryptocurrencies that have already experienced sharp increases, and it must be a significant rise, not intermittent.
2. There must be a wave of intense selling followed by a rebound.
Here are three references: $H $MMT $SAPIEN

Although the long-term outlook for altcoins is not optimistic, it has currently reached a turning point at the daily chart level for altcoins, and the probability of a daily level rebound has become very high.
For a simple example: $sui
This is the expected node for the third daily level rebound. The reason why the probability of a rebound is high is that from the overall pullback space, it has not dropped below 61.8% or more, and there is a clear divergence in the decline.
The risk-reward ratio for betting on a daily level rebound here is relatively high.

Open-ended question: HORIZONTAL LONG MUST?

$BTC is currently in the resistance zone on the 4-hour level (113100-114200). As long as a 15-minute level downward structure appears in this zone, it is still worth participating in shorting, and the risk-reward ratio here is relatively suitable in the short term.
Ethereum has not yet shown any obvious signs of exhaustion, so overall, the main direction can be to long Ethereum and short Bitcoin at high levels, until Ethereum shows signs of weakening trend, primarily shorting Bitcoin and altcoins that follow Bitcoin's trend.

First move of the Heavenly Sword: Four ounces deflect a thousand pounds. A level 1H short trap has appeared, quickly rebounding after breaking the previous consolidation range, and as long as the key level is not broken during the pullback, it is a good place to bet on the risk-reward ratio, with a maximum rise of 26 points and a risk-reward ratio reaching 5.
Only trade patterns you understand, which will greatly improve your win rate.

In the short term, regardless of how ETH performs next, some altcoins $PEPE $WIF $SUI have basically confirmed a temporary high point. Even if there is a rebound later, it will only be a rebound market at the daily level. Do not harbor illusions about altcoins; the liquidity in the crypto market is still not sufficient to support this much air. Even if new liquidity comes in, it will not be interested in these current junk.

The standard short-selling pattern of $PROVE, I just didn't expect it to happen so quickly. I originally anticipated it would take one or two more days to follow the market down, but I didn't expect the market to drop again so quickly.

After the adjustment, Bitcoin continues to reach new highs. More importantly, ETH has recently maintained a trading volume that consistently exceeds Bitcoin. So, the question everyone is most concerned about arises: Is there still a altcoin season?
1. From a personal perspective, the kind of altcoin season seen in the last bull market, where thousands of coins soared, is unlikely to happen again. The fundamental reason for an altcoin season is sufficient liquidity. In this market cycle, so many new coins have been introduced that the overall market cap has expanded to a point where the current liquidity is insufficient to support rapid expansion of the entire crypto market.
2. However, the trend of ETH will still drive the overall rise of altcoins, but the space and sustainability for most coins are very limited, which will lead to a situation where they cannot rise much and will quickly retrace.
3. Therefore, at this stage, selecting coins becomes a crucial step. It is personally recommended to focus on the gainers list, especially those that show a collective rebound on the daily charts, with strong coins that have weak pullbacks being the main focus.
For example, the $santos coin selected the day before yesterday has many fan coins appearing on the gainers list. It is a coin that has just pulled up from the bottom on the daily chart, and its pullback is very weak. Participating in such coins, even if there is a pullback, will likely experience another wave of increases.