艾叔

##币安合约锦标赛
Thank you, friends. In this round, we made a total profit of 2500 WU.
We ranked first and became the decision-makers.
I personally ranked ninth, making it into the top ten. You all are amazing!
Red envelopes and surrounding activities for a week, please be patient. Unfortunately, my not-so-great phone screen happened to break these two days 😂
At the latest, I will start distributing personal bonuses and sending red envelopes across various media tomorrow.

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$BTC
Recently I’m really not being lazy.
For half a month I’ve been watching—started from 645, it went to 652, but I added more. I held it for about two weeks and it dropped by a little over 2000🥲
Right now, it’s exactly like in the last market analysis: below, the key support to watch is 615-62.
As long as it doesn’t break, then it’s basically fine—we’ll lock in most of the profits. After the support breaks, then we look for a position and add back.
Currently it’s still between the two turning points we mentioned.
Up at 6.52 (in the past, only then we could look bullish—so we’ll wait around the post-breakout target area, and after the breakout resistance, look for an entry point to take the next leg of the move)
Down around 615 (as long as it doesn’t break, we won’t look to the downside targets—this is support).
So everything remains unchanged. Trade within the range.

Cycle Trader
It means only trading at key positions and making setups
And the biggest benefit is: not arrogant in upswings, not flustered in downswings
BTC is currently still between the two turning (pivot) points we mentioned
Up at 6.52 (we could only see bullish from the past—so we’ll wait around the target area after a breakout and look for an entry when resistance breaks)
Down near 615 (as long as it doesn’t break below, we won’t look to the lower target—support is what matters)
So before anything changes, trade within the range
That’s been the view for half a month now
$BTC

$XAUT
Sold it too high.
Chart 2: 4000 has been a target and also an important support at the lower edge of the channel. As long as it doesn’t break, the basis for this trade is to look for a rebound.
Current gold has returned to the turning/decision zone 4320–4350.
If resistance can’t be surpassed and the candles remain somewhat bearish, then try a pullback by leaning against resistance.
The area where it was sold yesterday is a turnover/rotation zone. If it breaks down there, then this rebound is likely over.
*(If 4250 breaks intraday, you can consider an intraday bias toward a pullback and consolidation to repair.)*

Summary: Resistance 4320–4350. 4500. Support 4250, 4150

I can’t take it anymore
Add resistance once. Go ahead and hit it, damn it.
Add to the position near this and set a small stop-loss
$BTC

How to read the market?

Chart 1:
Before breaking out of the trendline, there’s no such thing as a “right-side” setup. In this phase, what you can do is mainly spot trading: enter on pullbacks, and the pyramid-style accumulation works.

Below the trendline, the target is still 5.2 to 4.2 (but note: a target is a target—your position sizing must be planned accordingly).

Once the range breaks out and volatility resolves, you can add on the right side.

Chart 2:
Structural adjustment after a natural rebound market
There are two key turning points: upper 6.65 and lower 6.15
If it breaks below, this round of the upmove ends—then look for the start by making new low points.
If it breaks above 6.65, then go look for a new target around 7.05–7.2 and set up for a pullback there.

To summarize:
In the crypto market right now, you can only accumulate in batches with spot positions—plan entries on pullbacks and let time do the work.

For futures, it’s only about position trading. Remember: don’t trade with high frequency.

The days of daily long/short hype are gone.
$BTC

Opinions from 10 days ago are still valid today.
So there really isn’t anything to talk about or hype up in the current market.

1. The weekly-level trend line and the stop-decline line haven’t changed.
2. The 4H pullback is within expectations; the turning point that would invalidate the prior rise hasn’t been broken yet.
3. Until 652 is reclaimed, we will not declare the end of a lower-timeframe pullback; it’s not considered structural repair.
4. Around 61 is the key area to watch, and also a place to wait for a trade. If it breaks down, this round of the rally is over, and we need to find a new starting point.

So how do you trade?
Sell at resistance, buy at support—trade where the direction shows up.
$BTC

$BTC
The trading plan during this period remains valid.
On the 4H timeframe, the bounce target at the multi-empty (long/short) division line 65 is still used to judge the turning point for any further market action. Therefore, support is still at 6.28. The breakout level that would indicate the uptrend channel turning point has been broken is 61-61.5.

1. For the rebound setups based on the previous days’ viewpoint, reaffirm the use of a trailing stop (moving stop) and reduce position size.

2. Only if price breaks below 6.28 will the next target be activated. A break above the broken turning point is required to have a chance to enter.

3. If 65.2 is not reclaimed, we still do not consider the pullback to have ended. So this remains resistance—enter a pullback with your stop-loss in place.

4. Around 61 is the key area to watch, where you can wait for opportunities. If it breaks down, this round of the uptrend ends and you need to find a new starting point.

5. The structural repair viewpoint at the end of this month remains unchanged, and the assessment targets remain the same. Those key levels are still effective.

$BTC
6.28 rebound: yesterday’s updated chart 2 — the trendline resistance around 6.5 is still resistance
Reducing position and protection must be done
Only consider the end of the pullback after it has been reclaimed
View on position remains unchanged

⚠️
For those entering around the 6.5 rebound—reduce positions around 6.28.

From a weekly perspective, the weekly trend faces heavy resistance, so this rebound is expected to rally firmly toward the 67 area before a pullback and correction.

In the next phase, the key focus is around 6.2. As long as it doesn’t break below 6.2, this month’s rebound remains valid. If it breaks below, then you’ll need to look for a new starting point.

Chart 2:
1. On the 1h timeframe: the pullback target is around 6.2, and only after it reclaims 6.52 can you expect the pullback to be over.
2. On the weekly timeframe: targets remain unchanged. As long as it doesn’t range and move out below 675, the targets at 5.4 and 5.2 remain the same.
3. Set up orders for position trades by using the key support/resistance areas established over the past few days (23–25).

Position trading—easy profits.
$BTC

Can I still harm you?
Break below the rebound—common trading technique
Confirm the pullback signal and then go for it (the left side is breaking through while leaning on resistance)
Confirmation method: Chart 3
Arrow 1: a bearish signal appears
Arrow 2: the body breaks down—follow the trend to enter (this is the entry I chose)
$BTC
So here’s the question: what should you focus on below?
Revisit the 25th’s viewpoint: the key line separating bulls and bears below is around 628. The start of this current upswing is around 615.
So below, focus on these two levels.
In the near term, reduce position size; in the farther term, keep an eye on the level. Only if it doesn’t break down—or after consolidation repairs and the defensive level holds—then you’re good.

Old Ai’s views have always been about continuity. Different stages call for different plays, along with updates to new considerations.

New notes:
On the 23rd, prepare for the 67 resistance and wait for a pullback.
On the 24th, place short positions for protection; around the 64 area, take a rebound—set a proper stop loss.
On the 25th, do a counter-retest and enter again at the trendline. Watch the defensive level at 658.

So now, how do I see the market?
Open the chart—check whether 658 has been broken.

1. If 658 hasn’t been broken, you can continue to play resistance defense—breakout goes and you move on.
2. If price is above 658, then return to the view from the 23rd: find several levels above to set up orders for waiting trades.
3. If it keeps failing to reclaim and hold above 658, then wait for the levels on the 25th to execute.

$BTC

At present, the weekly chart’s big-breadth pullback has been followed by a natural rebound. As previously mentioned, to eat up the decline of this leg, you need to watch the level at 6.65. If, over the past few days, price has not been able to close consistently above it, then the expected target for the repaired small-timeframe structure mentioned in the 23rd’s outlook will not hold.

On the 23rd, the pullback short positioned defensively from 67 has already been reduced on the commission yesterday. Going forward, you only need to reduce positions at 628 and 618.

Back to the current location:
Yesterday’s outlook remains valid:
1. After breaking the trendline, consider a second entry when the price re-tests the trendline and the trendline-resistance flip zone around 65 (adjustments are only considered ended once 658 is reclaimed).
2. Around 615 is the key area to watch and also where you can wait for trades. If it breaks, then this round of the upmove ends and you need to look for a new starting point.
3. The near-term long/short boundary is at 628, so positions here must be reduced. Although it is support, for a rebound it’s more like the short-term trial-and-error area—similar to how the previous two days were around 645.
4. This week, whether on the weekly chart or the 4H timeframe, is a turning-point zone. Remember a few key levels so you can respond cautiously to the long/short turn.
$BTC

$BTC
Technical analysis isn't what I do; it's not Old Ai’s style.
What I said about the target being amplified if it breaks below 6.5—if right now you’re asking where the target is: then it’s the key focus area I mentioned for this morning’s early session, around 6.15 (but you need to do a partial take-profit action around 6.28).

Whether it’s the weekly chart or the 4H timeframe,
this week is an important turning-point period.
The weekly close on Sunday is crucial—this week will determine whether
this stage’s recovery can turn into a trend-change signal.
There are still three days until the close, and the time for the monthly candle is also coming soon.
So during this stretch, trade less and hold back—manage risk carefully with take-profit and stop-loss.
Don’t blindly hold a bullish or bearish bias; make decisions strictly based on the risk/reward ratio to protect your position.
$BTC

Yesterday, brothers who followed the viewpoint and executed the trading plan—take a look.
⚠️⚠️ For limit orders during a pullback, you may consider reducing your position first to deduct the trading fees, then move the stop-loss to the entry position.

Chart 2: Today, I’ll add more to the play in this section.
Currently, on the 4H timeframe, we have an upward channel. Support is at 64. The point where the upward channel breaks—its breach level—is at 61–61.5.

1) If you followed yesterday’s viewpoint and did a pullback entry: move the stop-loss, and reduce part of the position.
2) After a break below 64, when the price retests and the trendline and resistance swap (around 65), you can consider a second entry.
3) For a rebound: use the nearby support on the left side of 64 to open a small test position (light sizing). That support level has not been tested yet. Focus mainly on an intraday short-term trading mindset.
4) Pay close attention to the area around 61, and this is also a place where you can wait for a trade. Once it breaks, this round of the upward move is over, and you’ll need to find a new starting point.
5) In yesterday’s viewpoint: the structural repair outlook remains unchanged, and the target area for making new highs also remains the same. Those key levels are still valid.

Come on, brothers.
Lao Ai hasn’t really been doing much lately. He just feels the market isn’t moving much. He went through a cycle of bull and bear and gave himself some time off—taking a break for a while.
Back to the market: same old routine—first find the key levels, then talk about the trading plan.

I. Weekly-level perspective: (Figure 1)
The big BTC is still in a natural rebound after the pullback.
1. The end-of-wave termination level is 4. If it’s above 82, that’s also the level where these past couple of months’ pullbacks ended—only then can the overall market structure change.
2. Structural repair: eat up this current pullback wave 4’s focus level at 6.65. If during these days price keeps closing above it, then on a smaller timeframe you can consider that the structural repair is already underway. The targets are 705–725.

II. 4H timeframe: (Figure 2)
1. Let’s recap the key levels that got broken in this pullback: 82 was used as resistance, 78 was the level that broke down and then provided a second entry, the reversal level is 705, and it broke below the inflection point at 665.
So on this timeframe, the heavy overhead resistance areas appear.
2. Upswing starting points: 615 and 645. (For short-term context: once it falls back and breaks below 65, this current upswing starts turning into a correction; if it breaks below 615, then the upswing is over.)

Resistance: 665 705 725 78
Support: 645 615
Trading plan:
For the short term, use 67 as the defensive resistance. If 65 breaks, the pullback zone becomes larger—then you do it; otherwise, use it as a short-term test order. After support is broken, the best is to do it on the right-side.
For a rebound, place orders by laying them at the two upswing start positions.
For cycle positions—especially a few inflection points—old saying: position trades. Easy profits.
$BTC

Binance Wallet’s first RWA Vault—why choose R25?

📍Binance Wallet has already integrated 40+ DeFi protocols in the past: lending, LSDFi, and restaking. But RWA has remained blank until now.

Now, this gap is being filled for the first time.

R25, as the first RWA Curator Partner to join Binance Wallet DeFi, has launched its first product, Axil Prime Credit (APC). At face value, this is a 3-month Vault with USDC subscriptions targeting an annualized return of around 14.3%. But I think the truly important part isn’t the yield—it’s who Binance chose to build this layer of infrastructure.

The underlying assets of APC are neither U.S. Treasuries nor gold, but emerging-market consumer credit that ordinary users have previously had almost no access to. It’s not that the assets are bad; it’s that regular people can’t buy them. The Axil team managing it comes from BlackRock, HSBC, and HashKey. They handle asset selection, structuring, and risk management. On top of that, Binance Wallet offers an exclusive $300,000 subsidy, giving early participants an additional return boost.

Of course, this isn’t principal-guaranteed wealth management. Target returns do not equal guaranteed returns. There is risk to principal, and before participating you still need to judge the term, liquidity, and underlying credit risk.

🗝️But don’t just stare at 14.3%.

In essence, R25 isn’t a standalone wealth-management product—it’s a whole set of on-chain Vault infrastructure. Based on standards like ERC-4626, 7540, and 7575, it breaks issuance, custody, valuation, subscriptions/redemptions, fees, and execution into independent modules.

In plain terms: traditional Vaults are better suited for on-chain assets with real-time settlement, while consumer credit often takes several days to settle. What R25 does is make these “slow assets” standardize and move them onto the blockchain.

APC is just the first case. In the future, whether it’s private credit, U.S. stock ETFs, or commodities—so long as they can be standardized—they could all be turned into Vaults.

So the core of this collaboration isn’t that Binance added another product. It’s about pushing into the RWA wealth-management race: after onboarding U.S. stocks, you need to move global assets onto the chain in the form of wealth management. R25 is becoming the standard foundational infrastructure layer within Binance Wallet’s RWA system.

APC is first—but it probably won’t be the last.

As of now, besides BN, OKX/BG/Kucoin have also listed