Did Binance personally take the stage 'sit on the platform'? The Web3 wallet embeds the prediction market, and the number one enemy of Polymarket has arrived!
The traffic map of the crypto circle is迎来 a long-planned 'dimensionality reduction strike'. In the past six months, when mentioning the most prominent track in Web3, it is undoubtedly the prediction market. Led by Polymarket, decentralized platforms have attracted massive funds and attention with precise bets on elections, macro policies, and even sports events. However, just as the native DApps were celebrating, the true industry giant finally revealed its fangs—Binance's Web3 wallet officially integrated the prediction market function in the form of an aggregator into its vast traffic pool. Directly flip the table: zero friction 'dimensionality reduction strike'
Don't be fooled by the "decrease in jobless claims": companies are hoarding money like crazy for AI, and the structural bull market of Web3 has already begun.
The revelry on Wall Street and the hidden truths When the news broke that the latest weekly initial jobless claims in the United States unexpectedly dropped to 202,000, traditional financial market analysts shouted, "The economy is extremely resilient," and "A soft landing is secured." But if you think that the labor market is booming, you have completely fallen into the trap of macro data. Stripping away this glamorous exterior, the current job market is less about health and more about being in a "zombie state." The initial jobless claims hitting a low point is not because companies are actively expanding hiring, but rather because they have chosen to "freeze everything" in extreme anxiety—stopping new recruitment and tightly controlling cash flow.
The big non-farm employment data will be released soon, be cautious when placing orders tonight!
The expected value is 60,000, and if the final published data is less than 40,000, the market will bet on a loosening policy direction for the next three months.
If it exceeds 100,000, the dollar will strengthen, and gold and $BTC may experience another round of bloodbath.
Oil prices drop + poor non-farm data = favorable for the cryptocurrency market, whether we can have a good holiday depends on tonight!
Remember, in web3 projects The more airdrops there are, the more big players there are The more big players there are, the fewer retail investors there are The fewer retail investors there are, the lower the market value is The lower the market value is, the fewer airdrops there are
So The more airdrops there are, the fewer airdrops there are #空投大毛
Trading cryptocurrencies is not as good as trading stocks
In the past month, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange Binance has launched a total of 15 RWA assets and 13 Crypto assets (including updates for Alpha+, contracts, and spot trading)
The number of new RWA assets has surpassed that of Crypto assets for the first time! This may be one of the signals indicating that RWA is beginning to surpass Crypto. #RWA $BTC
Significant AI information record: OpenAI's stock has lost favor in the secondary market, and investors are turning to its biggest competitor, Anthropic.
This indicates that the primary AI market is no longer a non-discriminatory FOMO incremental market, and the overall valuation is relatively high.
AI is the future, but at this stage, the bubble needs to be squeezed. $WLD #OpenAI
The freedom and democracy come with a slimming effect! Venezuelan President Maduro was detained by the United States for 3 months, losing 26 pounds! After disappearing for three months, Maduro appeared looking so thin that his prison uniform couldn't hold him. From being captured in January to appearing in court in March, in just three months, Maduro lost 13 kilograms, looking haggard yet still defiant, claiming in court that he was kidnapped, never admitting to the U.S. accusations, and insisting that he is the legitimate president of Venezuela. #马杜罗被抓捕 #战争
Price pain has been widely discussed, but the time dimension is another issue. Price pain refers to severe drawdowns or volatility that forces participants to exit their positions, while time pain reflects a slow, range-bound condition that leaves both bulls and bears feeling exhausted due to a lack of direction. The current trading price of Bitcoin is below $66,000, having dropped over 3% in the past 24 hours, approximately 45% lower than the historical peak in October. This bear market has lasted nearly six months. One indicator that signifies the continuation of time pain is Glassnode's realized cap HODL Waves. This metric groups the Bitcoin supply based on the last movement time of coins, with each interval representing different holding periods and weighted by realized price, which is the average price at which coins were last traded on-chain.
Bitcoin has fallen below the $66,000 mark. On-chain data shows that while spot demand has started to absorb selling pressure, it is still insufficient to support a sustained rise, and the market remains in a transitional phase. Approximately 8 to 9 million BTC are in a "stuck" state, with overhead selling pressure forming persistent resistance. At the same time, long-term holders are still realizing losses at relatively high levels, indicating that the redistribution of chips has not yet ended. On the funding side, Bitcoin ETFs briefly saw two consecutive days of net inflow at the end of March, but then turned to outflows again, with net outflows from U.S. Bitcoin funds reaching $174 million on April 1. The implied volatility in the options market has decreased, and the skew has shifted towards downward protection, indicating that investors are more inclined to hedge risks rather than bet on breakthroughs. Overall market sentiment is cautious, and trading remains light ahead of Easter. $BTC
The Bitcoin bear market has lasted nearly six months, and analysts believe the current market may be entering a "time pain" phase, with long-term sideways movement rather than a sharp decline, causing both bulls and bears to feel exhausted due to a lack of direction. Glassnode analysis indicates that currently, long-term Bitcoin holders (holding for more than 6 months) account for about 80%, slightly lower than the 85% level at the bottoms of previous bear markets, which suggests that the Bitcoin bear market may be nearing its bottom phase, but it may still require several months of "boring" sideways consolidation to form a true support. $BTC