K线人生飞哥

To introduce myself to my followers

Hello everyone, I am Feige. I entered the circle in 2017, and I consider myself an old player. Along the way, I have encountered countless pitfalls and have summarized some of my own methodologies. From initially blindly following trends to now focusing more on studying cycles, macro trends, and funding logic, I have gradually found my own rhythm.

Throughout this journey, I have realized that the crypto world is not just about rises and falls; it is more like a cyclical game: some are FOMOing during the highs, while others are quietly positioning during the lows.

I currently work as a blogger at Binance Square, sharing some personal thoughts and observations. I am not a guru; I am just an old player who has experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets. I hope to share the pitfalls I have encountered and the lessons I have learned, so that newcomers can avoid detours, and also gain new inspirations through communication.

If you also believe in cycles, believe in logic, and believe in long-term accumulation, then perhaps we can become fellow travelers here.

Regarding the viewpoints of my posts, please note the following points:

1: The crypto market is constantly changing, so my viewpoints will also change with the market. This industry changes too quickly; only by continuously following industry progress can we keep growing. Sticking rigidly to conventional wisdom will only lead to being eliminated by the times. I hope everyone can be more open-minded.

2: My viewpoints published in the square are divided into short-term and long-term. For example, even if the long-term outlook is bullish, there will still be pullbacks; and even if the long-term outlook is bearish, there will be rebounds. Don’t let short-term viewpoints affect your long-term perspectives. An upward trend does not mean it will only rise without looking back; more often, it is a trend of rises and falls. Similarly, a downward trend is not a continuous crash without rebounds; more often, it is a downward trend with fluctuations. I hope everyone can understand the differences between short-term and long-term viewpoints.

3: In this market, apart from BTC, which can be blindly trusted, other coins have market cycles, especially altcoins. Before buying a coin, you should at least investigate a bit; some things need to be understood to a certain extent. You can't just buy whatever others say. Especially if you have limited funds, you need to consider the actual situation and be more cautious.

Thank you to every friend who follows and supports me. You are my motivation to keep sharing, and I hope we can all reap our own rewards in the cycle.

If you need a commission rebate, scan the QR code on Binance to add me as a friend. It's simple and easy to understand, and you can easily get in touch with me 🤝

$HYPE is currently still in the startup phase. Yes.
HYPE will reach 500. If you believe in BNB and ETH, then you have no reason not to believe in HYPE. HYPE’s return logic mainly comes from the platform’s revenue buybacks. What’s truly valuable isn’t the token itself, but rather the user funds that are deposited on the platform. The advantages are decentralization, good liquidity, and it’s not easy to manipulate (insert needle). The long-term goal is actually very clear—slowly eat away at the centralized exchanges’ share in the contract market.

A giant whale accumulated nearly $1.6 million worth of $WLFI at an average price of $0.058 per token, most of the tokens of which were purchased from Binance.

This funding accumulation comes as the project proposes a new governance incentive for holders of locked WLFI who participate in voting, scheduled to roll out on October 1!

WLFI could definitely use some good news to get things moving—it’s been dragging on for far too long.

Continue to follow the mainstream coin rebound surge, or keep our view unchanged—BTC and ETH mainly consolidate at high levels in the short term. Pay attention to the weekly resistance level around 82800 for BTC.
Among the mainstream coins, SOL, XRP, BNB, HYPE, DOGE, ZEC, TON, SUI, and TAO have all seen rebound moves to varying degrees. As for BCH and TRX, they simply haven’t dropped much. From this perspective, the mainstream coins worth focusing on are these three: $ADA , $LTC , and $LINK . In the future, these three should all see a wave of rebound. You can do a short-term trade.

Analyze the mainstream coins DOGE and XRP.

$DOGE is currently hovering right around 0.9, and this kind of integer level often becomes a battleground for emotions. Once volume increases and it holds steady, it’s easy for it to break out of an independent mini-trend. DOGE’s biggest feature is that it has a high level of recognition among market participants and strong liquidity. When real capital comes back to push a rally, the speed is often faster than many other altcoins. Compared with some new coins that rely purely on narratives, Dogecoin (DOGE) has gone through several bull-and-bear cycles—its market fundamentals are still there—so many people treat it as one of the barometers for altcoin sentiment warming up.

$XRP also doesn’t look too bad in terms of structure lately; there are clear signs of capital flowing back. If volume continues to expand, pushing up around 10% isn’t really an overly dramatic target. Many people trading perpetual contracts are looking at this as well—if spot rises 10%, then with 10x leverage you’re looking at roughly a doubling of profit potential. In terms of pacing, it tends to be more direct than BTC and ETH, which often grind upward more slowly.

A man's intuition tells me that before the end of this year, $ZEC should have a unit price exceeding $ETH . Don't ask why—men's intuition is just that accurate. Of course, we won't chase it in the short term; wait for a pullback to around 1300 and see whether there's an opportunity.

In this round, I will clearly increase the position size of $ETH . The core reason is actually very simple:

I believe that in this round, ETH’s performance will outperform BTC.

If BTC rises by 1x, personally I’m currently more inclined to expect ETH to produce 1.5–2x the returns of BTC.

If RWA truly starts to surge at large scale later on, this gap could widen even further—ETH’s upside leverage could be higher than 2x.

But if another scenario occurs—while RWA surges, the market also further recognizes BTC’s “digital gold” attributes, and both directions rise together—then ETH’s relative advantage over BTC may return to the 1.5–2x range again.

Also, looking at the positioning/ownership structure, in the last bull cycle ETH disappointed the vast majority of people. Relative to that, the situation is much “lighter,” which is more favorable for the insiders/market makers to push prices up.

BTC is still the core asset. It’s just that, based on the odds in this round, I think ETH has more room to run.

That’s also why I’m actively increasing the position size of $ETH .

Is there still an altcoin season in this crypto bull market rotation？？？

First, let’s talk about the basic logic. The biggest characteristic of the crypto market is that its capital sources are wide enough. As long as there is new “money-making” momentum, capital from other markets can flow here as well—AI money too. Because the crypto market is a global capital and retail-participation market where anyone can freely join, it can absorb capital from around the world.

Then let’s talk about altcoins. A lot of people now think altcoins are just garbage coins, but I don’t think you can simply summarize altcoins and memes with the word “garbage.”

In the past two bull cycles—say 2021’s ride to the peak and 2017’s super bull market—the real reason the market sentiment was pushed to the top, attracting a large number of newcomers from outside the market, had never been just BTC.

In 2017 there was ICO; in 2021 there was IDO, IEO, and SHO. Everywhere in the market there were stories of 10x, 20x, even 100x gains. Why was “hot money” willing to come in? At the end of the day, it’s because there were sufficiently high return expectations here.

When capital comes, project teams can raise funds. After fundraising, they keep developing, expanding, and telling new stories—then they attract the next round of capital again.

That’s the true positive feedback loop of a crypto bull market.

One key reason people felt the last bull market was so important was that it lacked a strong enough primary market and a strong altcoin narrative.

Right now, in the current macro environment, the U.S. Treasury market needs continued financing, and the demand for stablecoins will become increasingly important. In essence, stablecoins, RWA, and on-chain securities are all paving the way for traditional capital to enter the chain.

That’s also why, in this cycle, I have clearly increased the positions of $ETH 、$CRCLB 、$COIN 、HOOD 、UNI.

The underlying logic is very simple: ETH is the blockchain infrastructure. CRCL is a U.S.-compliant stablecoin and also a source of capital inflow. COINBASE is a U.S.-compliant platform, serving as the container for capital and liquidity flow. HOOD doesn’t have a U.S.-stock-listing on-chain platform to carry it. UNI handles U.S. stock on-chain transactions and occupies a leading share of the market. For these projects, even looking at today’s prices, there is at least 5 to 10 times the upside potential.

$FIL keep taking off 🛫. The other night we had everyone buy FIL at 0.88. It looks like that decision was correct. Over this period, our community has operated FIL twice: the first time we bought around 0.8 and sold it; the second time we bought it back around 0.88. The goal is to first see 1. Then today we've continued updating our strategy to see whether it can hold steady around 1. As of now, it has already broken through resistance, so we’re looking to challenge weekly-level resistance. Congratulations to friends who followed the trades. There’s also a deflationary bullish news for FIL in October—I’ve emphasized this many times in both the forum and the community. Just follow the community’s strategy for the trades. Missing the boat is impossible.

Old established chain $AVAX is pulling the market; according to the ecosystem linkage pattern, $JOE should also follow and pull. AVAX is currently rebounding on a weekly timeframe and has already broken through the daily resistance level. As for JOE, under normal rules it could be staged for a position; but take a look—the trading volume is too small, so you can only treat it like a “small memecoin” and play around with it.

$ONDO successfully reached our goal 0.44. Yesterday, when I was shouting orders in the square, it was around 0.38. I believe a lot of people followed this coin, right? The next resistance level for ONDO is around 0.47, which is also the high point of our previous weekly-level rebound. I said that the RWA sector hasn’t really started from July until now; now that it finally has, it should be ONDO’s turn, right? As for the post I shared yesterday—there are still many people criticizing me, but it doesn’t matter. Don’t doubt my professionalism. Any friends who followed the trade? If you made money, or you think my analysis is awesome, hit like and give me a thumbs-up 👍👍👍

To sum up my recent actions, I think this has been about a 90-point performance.

First, in the Binance chat community: before the rate hike was actually implemented, the community said to stagger into BTC in the 72,000–76,000 range. Then they shared several altcoins they liked—NEAR, UNI, HYPE, PONS, PENDLE. Most of these have already taken off. As for the exact returns, you don’t need me to spell it out—just look at the charts (K-lines) and you’ll know. There’s also a US stock, CRCL, that hasn’t really started yet. I believe it’s only a matter of time; anyone who missed out can also take a look at this CRCL.
On September 15, I bought SUI around 0.7. It’s performing well—continuing to hold. On the day the rate hike was implemented, I bought ETHFI around 0.6; it’s up about 20%. Last night, I bought FIL around 0.88; it’s up about 17%. These are spot trades.

As for futures/contract trading, there are only two moves: first, go long SOL around 99, with targets at 105 first and then 110. In this wave, SOL has been stronger than both BTC and ETH. Second, last night around 1.35, I went long XRP—currently in profit.

Then let’s look at the trades from the public posts I shared.

Around 0.38, I posted in the forum giving a trade call for ONDO, targeting 0.44. It’s still showing profit. Around 0.5, I called PONS—also still in profit. Around 4280, I looked at gold (a long), targeting 4400, and those who followed along have also been making money. Around 1300, I called ZEC, and it’s now around 1536—also profitable. These trades were all called out publicly in the forum, and the performance is quite solid. Anyone who’s been following my posts from start to finish knows the results are real, so I won’t go into too much more detail.

During this period, I’ve been updating posts more frequently because the market is doing well, and many people have been continuously following my updates. Overall, the trades in the Binance chat community have been slightly more frequent and the profit potential has been a bit bigger. Of course, only the friends in my community who follow along know the authenticity—but since I’m willing to post openly, they can also see the posts themselves, and I believe I wouldn’t be engaging in false promotion. Even if you don’t join the community and only read my forum posts, you can still make money—because the direction is clear, and I also provide the corresponding hot spots and the next sector rotation. So during this time, whether you’re friends in the Binance chat community or friends following along with my forum posts—if you made money following the trades, or if you think the analysis was pretty good, give me a like.

$XRP continue to catch up and surge 📈, the long positions are still making profits. Last night I told everyone to place a long directly around 1.35, then set the targets: first look at 1.4, then 1.45 and 1.5. Take profit in batches.

In my previous livestream, I emphasized an important logic: whenever a new trend market starts, we can trade mainstream coins to catch up (supplementary rise). Those who have followed me for a long time know that earlier I was most fond of doing $SOL to catch up, but yesterday I saw XRP was still at a low level, so I simply went long to bet on a catch-up. As of now, it looks fine.

Our community has both futures and spot. We will place orders according to market conditions: when the market is good, we’ll place a few more orders; when the market is not good, we’ll place fewer. We won’t trade just for the sake of trading—just follow the market. Missing the move is impossible; you won’t be left behind.

Let’s verify a strategy: will buying pressure on $UNI pull up $SUSHI ? Yesterday in the VIP community, we asked everyone to buy a little SUSHI around 0.22. I believe even veteran traders know this—whenever UNI pumps, it basically also drags SUSHI along. Even though SUSHI is moving rather sluggishly right now, when the market turns, it’s only a matter of time. Let’s verify it together.

After the liquidation of the bottom long positions by the 1011 “black swan” event for the altcoins, then after about a year of consolidation and shakeout, the bounce will still happen. And what we need to do is catch this wave of bounce. No matter whether you previously lost money because of altcoins, when the market comes and there’s an opportunity to catch a move, you still need to grab it—follow the market momentum. The community will also provide strategies to respond in a timely manner.

$AAVE There is currently a potential upside catalyst: tokenized automated buybacks.

In fact, the AAVE market is not short on fundamentals; what it truly lacks is a catalyst that can reignite market expectations.

Automated buybacks have been discussed for a long time. The community has been pushing for it, and the official side has also not held back in sending signals.

Earlier, the market once expected progress in August, but now it’s already September—so in terms of timing, it is indeed later than previously expected.

So my current feeling is that official launch may be not far off.

After all, many established DeFi projects have already started automated buyback-and-burn, or have begun empowering their tokens. If AAVE follows the market’s pace, and the market ultimately abandons the project if it doesn’t, then I believe the team will not stand by and ignore it.

To summarize: since the market started on August 20, this is the most talked-about coin I’ve posted about on the forum.

For the major coins—excluding BTC, ETH, and SOL—

the secondary-market altcoins I’ve posted about the most in this period are:

UNI — the fundamentals have changed
HYPE — the strong always keep winning
LIT — the second HYPE
NEAR — the L1 blockchain transition has gained market recognition
RAY — the current hotspot
PUMP — the largest MEME launch platform on the SOL chain
ENA — the leading stablecoin-sector player
ARB — the fundamentals have changed
PONS — a new-generation MEME launch platform
FIL — a deflation expectation
AAVE — the DeFi lending leader
Bull Come — a phenomenon-level Chinese IP meme coin
USELESS — an abstract MEME coin

ETHFI, TAO, ZEN, ASTER, ETC, ONDO — there may be potential to catch up as well.

For these coins, my selections at the beginning were based on news flow and technicals. So from August until now, the followers and friends who’ve been watching me also all know my strength in altcoins. In general, I’ve mostly been moving with market hotspots, and everyone has gotten fairly good results.

Also, most of my operations are: after obtaining low-priced positions, I then freely manage and let the market validate the trend, so I don’t spend time researching every day.

Apart from on-chain hotspot MEMEs, there aren’t that many people who can really play the secondary market seriously. If you truly don’t know how to play it, I hope my updates can give you a bit of reference.

Of course, this is only my personal opinion—make your own judgment. DYOR

$SUI is moving very steadily. On September 15, in the VIP community we asked everyone to buy around 0.7. In this round, the dip to the lowest point was 0.67. Around 0.7, we basically bought at the low point. Of course, many people will say SUI is rising because everything is rising. But at the lowest point, how many people actually dare to buy? And how many influencers are willing to tell people to get on board? Most people are waiting for a bigger pullback. Just being willing to buy at this point means you can win over the vast majority.

SUI itself is an L1 in the Move ecosystem. Its core fundamentals include transaction fees, staking, and governance. In addition, there’s also the public-chain ecosystem, DeFi growth, and spot ETFs.

Recently, SUI has also started playing the coin/stock MEME narrative. If this narrative cycle really starts a flywheel effect, SUI should be able to repeat the trend from the previous bull market.

Old-school DeFi projects like UNI, AAVE, PENDLE, and SKY have basically already taken off. This $CRV wave hasn’t moved much yet, but it could be because it has already risen a lot previously. However, from the very bottom to now, the upside still looks decent. Next, CRV will likely follow and catch up with a further surge. This coin/dog’s trading style is very obvious: either it doesn’t pump at all, or it pumps continuously for a few days and directly doubles.

There are only three truly promising on-chain U.S. stock plays: $HOODB 、$UNI 、$HYPE .

HOOD itself is a publicly listed brokerage firm, and in the future it can directly participate in on-chain issuance and trading of U.S. stocks.

UNI’s logic is that the SEC this time granted a 5-year innovative exemption for on-chain stock AMMs. DEXs like Uniswap, which pool assets, therefore stand directly at the trading infrastructure layer. As more and more U.S. stocks move on-chain in the future, the fees generated by trading will naturally flow to AMMs/DEXs. UNI captures the layer of on-chain U.S. stock trading volume and trading fees.

HYPE’s core is on-chain U.S. stock contracts and leveraged trading. Moving the stocks themselves on-chain is only the first step; the real imagination space is in the demand for derivatives, perpetuals, leverage, and more.

So when I look at on-chain U.S. stocks now, I don’t really want to go hunting for a bunch of so-called “beneficiary” names.

HOOD captures the issuance and trading entry points, UNI captures spot AMM fees, and HYPE captures on-chain leveraged trading.

The value-capture logic of these three is actually fairly clear.

Of course, many people might think these three have already run up too much and don’t dare to get in—no worries. If you don’t get on, they will still keep rising.