会飞的鲸鱼

👏👏👏, old comrade, decisively returning to the team—reuniting and joining the squad once again! Last year, you followed us in live trading, and you truly reaped tangible profit dividends. Now, fresh opportunities have once again appeared in the market. The old friend read the market signals clearly and, without hesitation, chose to come back.
The market rises and falls unpredictably, and opportunities are fleeting. Only traders who stay in sync and strictly follow trading discipline can capture the行情 that belongs to them.

Limited seats available—welcome more like-minded partners to fight side by side.$BTC $ETH

We waited it out—finally the market delivered. All our predictions have come to fruition. Over the past two days, the short target of 77000 was successfully reached. Ethereum’s target at 2430 also landed. This retracement is a textbook example of consolidation shifting lower. Last night, after breaking down, price slid to around 77600. During the daytime session, we saw a rebound and repair probe up to 78500. Then tonight, driven by a PPI downside shock, the market accelerated lower, reaching around 76600. The overall pullback rhythm is clear and straightforward. Just like our live trading layout: we shorted a swing near 79300 at the high, then later today’s daytime short at 78500. This evening’s breakdown phase proceeded as expected—we “closed the net” and captured a 3600-point range move. The follow-up short at Ethereum’s high around 2500 also gained 65 points. Opportunities are always left for those who plan ahead. The market never lacks movement—what it lacks is the mindset to seize opportunities.

At the moment, the market is mainly playing out a rebound and recovery. After the late-night price spike, the market is in a steady, neither hot nor cold rhythm. The key focus right now is to find the right spot to take shorts. Last week’s Non-Farm Payrolls and today’s PPI have made rate-hike expectations especially strong. We’ll see whether tomorrow’s CPI is the same. Everyone knows what rate hikes imply—doesn’t the market’s big pullback already speak for itself? On the 4-hour chart, price has been falling in a straight line with consecutive down candles. The Bollinger Band’s three tracks have been repeatedly guided downward, and the market’s pace is dominated by bearish sentiment. The direction of future trend development couldn’t be clearer. On the 1-hour chart, after the late-night needle-like dip, the rebound-repair momentum has already clearly been used up. Then it met resistance and rolled back down, and 77300 formed a heavy overhead pressure effect. Add to that the accelerated selloff tonight near 77800, and the outlook for positioning is already quite clear.

Big BTC short in the 77500-77800 range, target 76000
ETH short in the 2460-2480 range, target 2400
#美国8月PPI涨幅低于预期 $BTC #ZCSH资产规模突破5亿美元
$ETH

$BTC 77300 this position has suppression; in the short term, any rebound will be difficult to effectively resolve into a breakthrough—keep an eye on this area.

I summarized the layout situation over the past two days—there’s not too much to it, not too little either. From yesterday afternoon, starting at 79,300 in the high-altitude position, to 79,700 orders as a test to add to a short position, the initial layout thinking and planning were on point. Then after the breakdown and further drop last night, the holding approach remained steady. Today during the day, the high-pressure move at 78,500 for a short position was carried out as planned, and the market tonight delivered as expected. The breakdown target at around 77,000 was reached; BTC notched a two-game winning streak, capturing a 3,600-point move. One ETH trade captured 70 points. Are you still not keeping up with the thinking? As the saying goes, it’s better to share than to enjoy it alone—I still hope there will be more friends following along with the same approach.

As for the moment, after the evening needle-break breakdown, the market’s rebound and recovery has begun. With momentum not quite able to extend, a short-term recovery is also only natural. For this rebound and recovery, personally I see it losing steam around the 78,000 area. So the layout can also be initiated around 77,800. For more aggressive friends, you can even pre-position a bit earlier. As for the target, we just keep an eye on around 76,000.
#SEC批准得州纳斯达克商品信托新规 $BTC
$ETH #欧洲央行二次加息至2.5%

The live short position has already been closed. The shorts opened earlier around the high 79,200, the short at ETH around 2,500, and even the short near 78,500 in today’s daytime session—are all the same. Over the past two days, we’ve been pointing to the 77,000 target for shorts, and it has already been reached. For friends who followed the plan, it’s time to take the profit.

At the moment, the market pace—continued downward momentum—is still in play, which is completely normal. After the break of 77,000, the near-term bottom won’t have overly strong support; strong support will only be found around 76,000. So when the market tests the low to touch this level, it’s only to be expected. For this evening’s dip, we also reminded everyone beforehand that the PPI would affect the outlook. Sure enough, the selloff unfolded as expected. As for the coming rhythm, short positions can continue to be held and added—shorts are still favored, given that rate-hike expectations in the short term are quite strong.

For BTC, look for the target around 76,000. For ETH, look for around 2,400 nearby #美国续请失业金人数177.4万 $BTC
$ETH #美国8月PPI年率升至5.4%

In the slow decline, the formation holds steady! Right now, the downward momentum in the market is still continuing. After the long side rebounds and repairs during daytime, the rebound lacks strength. It’s definitely the main theme of a decline. At the moment, after the price temporarily dips intraday, it is hovering around 77,800, testing and probing whether the base support can hold. For those who have already kept up with the earlier short idea, the downside target level remains unchanged.

In the early part of the evening session, the market dips further to make a new low, and the market structure shifts downward more aggressively. On the four-hour timeframe, the price shows a series of consecutive bearish candles and continues to press against and wear down the lower-band support. The overall chart is moving downward in sync, and the bearish pressure is continuing to build. On the one-hour timeframe, the bearish pressure is even more obvious: falling bearish candles keep increasing in volume. The continuation of the bearish trend going forward is beyond doubt. In terms of setup, we can simply follow the trend and go short.

For BTC, look for 77,500, target 77,000
For ETH, 2,440, target 2,430
#苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 $BTC

Pullbacks are gaining momentum as expected. At the current stage, the big pullback has reached around 77,600. The short-term target of 77,500 for the short position mentioned earlier is about to be reached. For those of you following the plan, we should manage our positions normally at this level.
#苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 $BTC
$ETH

Even at 78500, it’s under pressure again. The short-suppressing chips at this position are too strong—there’s basically no opportunity for hesitation. Although the movement is a bit slow, the trend is still consistently delivering. Currently, the pullback in Bitcoin has once again come near 78000, and the downward target remains unwavering.
#苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 $BTC
$ETH #ZCSH资产规模突破5亿美元

Hey, friends with empty long orders—are your orders still holding on? After the market bounced and tested around the high of approximately 79,700 from yesterday afternoon, it then faced pressure and gradually fell back. By evening, it reached the base around 77,700, which is not far from our target level of 77,500. After that, the market again provided a slight rebound for repair. This morning, when the price tested above 78,500, the selling pressure was strong and the rebound still couldn’t really amount to much.

Friends who entered long early may still be a bit risky. For Friday’s CPI data, given the current mood, it mainly leans bearish. After the data is released, it will only further intensify the depth of the pullback.

In all planning, real trading price action is the guideline. The market’s rise and fall rhythm never comes out of nowhere. On the daily timeframe, the price is seeing a slight four-day consecutive bearish streak. The Bollinger Bands’ three-line closure pattern is being interrupted, and the overall market is moving toward a ranging structure: daytime remains choppy, while evening news-driven triggers lead mainly to a rhythm of mild declines, steadily drifting lower.

After the market broke below the mid-band in the early stage, the trend moved lower further. Any rebounds in the short term have not been able to continue; naturally, the effectiveness of the bears will keep strengthening. As for the current pace, going short is undoubtedly the main theme—keep looking down toward the targets.

BTC short around 78,800 Target 77,000
ETH short around 2,495 Target 2,430
#苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 $BTC #ZCSH资产规模突破5亿美元
$ETH

$BTC 79000A small breakdown with a single move—short positions remain solid and doing well again, taking profit. For friends who follow the same train of thought, manage your positions properly. On the hourly timeframe: a single large bearish candle drives a strong drop, staying under pressure all the way down to around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. So short-term the pullback around 79,000 is unavoidable. But the downside continuation has already started: the MACD double lines are turning and probing lower, a divergence pattern has already formed, and the bearish continuation is still seeing increasing volume.
#Ripple游说推进CLARITY法案投票 $ETH #灰度ZcashETF资产突破5亿美元

Small rebound continues. Here we focus on the suppression effect around 79,800. At this level there is a certain accumulation of high-priced positions. This is also where we previously added to our short positions. You can adjust according to your own positions.
#中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% $BTC
$ETH #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标

Empty! Empty! Empty! In real trading, being empty first is a sign of respect. For friends who haven’t placed orders this morning, first lightly follow and take a position.
#中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% $BTC
$ETH #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标

High-pressure levels to dance—bulls stretch and get things going. After the subdued tug-of-war from midnight to the morning, the midday bulls strongly take the offensive. The big coin rebounds and pushes through the 79,000 zone; the highest rebound reached around 79,300. Ethereum synchronously stretches up to around 2,517. In the morning, I reminded everyone to short near 79,000—if you haven’t entered the trade yet, grab the opportunity. Even if the market is subdued at times, it won’t stay subdued forever; the right rhythm is inevitable.

In the short term, the rebound momentum has already slowed, and the overhead pressure is released as expected. Observing the four-hour cycle, the market has printed consecutive bullish candles, repairing and lifting prices. After rebounding to the Bollinger midline resistance area, it met resistance and turned down again. “No breakthrough, no formation”—if this resistance level cannot be broken through effectively, this rebound likely won’t be sustained, and the subsequent pullback becomes highly foreseeable. Going forward, we will continue to position short orders in line with this high-pressure range. For friends who already planted short orders earlier in the morning, make sure to adjust your positions.

Big coin short near 79,300 — target 77,500
Ethereum short near 2,515 — target 2,450
#中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% $BTC
$ETH #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标

A rhythm that has become habitual—don’t hold too big expectations in the short term. Right now, the coin price has pulled back again to test the 78,500 support, but there hasn’t been any trend yet; the testing is biased to the upside. In the morning, the market made another slight push up to around 78,800 and then faced resistance and dropped again—this only gave us a chance to enter a short position; it still hasn’t met the conditions for a proper take-profit.

On the hourly level: the price has been declining with consecutive bearish candles. It has fallen from the upper band back toward the middle band. Currently, the market is mainly testing how well the middle-band support holds. In the short term, the pullback downtrend is about to be confirmed. Let’s see how strong it is. Looking at the MACD technical indicator: the bullish candles are gradually decreasing and turning into bearish-volume expansion; both the fast and slow lines are also showing a divergence pattern, bending downward. In the short term, the bearish momentum has already followed through—so you can continue to hold the short positions.

For BTC: look for 78,100, then the target is 77,500.
For ETH: look for the target at 2,450.
#原油涨至7月来最高 $BTC $ETH

There are very similar characteristics between the midnight phase of the past two days. After the price broke below, the market saw a brief rebound repair, and then high-pressure action unfolded as expected. The midnight phase today is just like that: after breaking below late yesterday evening, the market provided a corrective rebound to around 78,900; then it steadily faced pressure and fell back, with the low tapping near 78,200. As for ETH, it remained relatively firm at around 2,470 on the pullback, but the retracement failed to break through. Overall, the price movement has been rather weak, with no particularly exciting big ups or downs. The midnight-phase update for today has, to a large extent, confirmed the short-at-the-high idea: the pullback only offered short-term space and not much room for follow-through. For those who followed the plan, keep it up.

Range-bound consolidation will also have days when it shows its strength, and market pacing will not remain unchanged. In the darkness before dawn, remember not to give up and spiral into despair. At the moment, the bearish sentiment in the market is still ongoing—only waiting for a breakout.

On the daily timeframe, the Bollinger Bands’ three lines are converging and the pattern is getting closer to completion. The candlesticks have formed a mild consecutive bearish structure. Price is currently trading below the Bollinger middle band, continuously guiding the overall market picture to move downward. For the market’s current rhythm, the overall volatility has already been clearly limited, and there won’t be overly strong momentum. Although the pullback trend has taken shape, it leans more toward slight, tug-of-war corrections.

On the four-hour timeframe, the market has been drifting lower with small bearish steps; the lows keep making new lows. The short-term bearish drift rhythm is very clear: after a small rebound, you can look to sell on the next move.

BTC short in the 78,800–79,100 range; target 77,500
ETH short in the 2,500–2,510 range; target 2,430
#美加关税战升级 $BTC $ETH #AERO单日上涨17%

78500 has already formed a breakdown and bearish break. Now the market is taking another step down. At midnight I reminded everyone to go short above 78800—this also provides about 500 points of potential room. If you’ve been following the plan, take your own judgment on when to exit. The short-term downside opportunity is still there.

On the hourly chart, the price saw a brief rebound for repair and touched the Bollinger middle band, after which it showed clear rejection and rolled over. It has also formed a high-pressure series of consecutive bearish candles. Bearish momentum continues to strengthen with increasing volume. The follow-through for the coming move is still being added. So regarding my outlook for the next leg, simply continue to follow the short positions.

For Bitcoin (BTC) on the downside: 78000 first target 77500
#美加关税战升级 $BTC $ETH

sndk remains consistently stable as always, with no unnecessary moves. After the early strong stretch to the 1822 area, today during the daytime session the price briefly pulled back to around 1730, then stabilized and continued stretching upward. In the evening, it rebounded again and came back above 1800. Today’s daytime commentary is essentially about keeping the same thinking while continuing to verify it.

At the moment, the price is still fluctuating around 1800, and bullish candles keep being produced. On the four-hour timeframe: after a brief dip to the lower band, bullish pressure strongly stretched upward again. Bullish candles once more are testing the upper band’s resistance. The MACD’s dual-line golden cross closure pattern is running steadily, and bullish momentum continues strengthening without interruption. On the hourly timeframe: after breaking above the mid-band, there was a brief pullback for repair. The mid-band shows signs of stabilization, and the bulls continue higher again. The overhead resistance pressure still leaves plenty of upside room ahead; we will keep our outlook unchanged for what comes next.

Upside to 1830, target 1950
#美加关税战升级 $BTC $ETH

Still has room for a pull downward. For friends who followed the idea after the empty order, let's hold the position patiently for now. First, watch whether the 78500 support can take effect, and then, depending on the momentum, we can look to move down next.
#美加关税战升级 $BTC $ETH

Prediction is never foolproof; only by adjusting well can one endure. In a smoky, chaotic market, how many friends have gotten caught in a fall? Unable to run, always jumping up and down—there is basically no clear trend. Overall the market is range-bound with a slight bias to the upside. Since midnight, the行情 has been falling then rising; during the day it falls again and then rises again at night. Worth mentioning: the big coin broke down to around 77,600, and ETH also poked down to around 2,440, but both mainly appeared in the form of wicks (price spikes)—there isn’t an excessively strong trend continuation. This is also why the market has again provided opportunities for rebound and repair. If the breakdown can’t be sustained, then accumulating energy for repair is only natural.

Today’s live trading for the big coin was dismal. The long position near 78,800 in the morning was unlucky and stopped out, losing 400 points of room. In the afternoon, when the market probed down to 78,300, we followed the move and went long, sweeping an additional 600 points and exiting. In the evening, there was even a “life-or-death line” jump: the long we entered near 78,000 was stopped out only 200 points away. After the market rebounded and repaired back to around 78,600, we promptly exited. ETH’s layout today was also pretty uneventful: longs around 2,470 during the day, then a normal add-on to about 2,460, and finally we swept roughly 40 points. Learn from one’s mistakes—recent market rhythm has been a bit rigid, so it’s not suitable to rush.

In the short term, the market’s continuation is still present: the bulls’ repair momentum hasn’t fully finished yet. On the four-hour chart, after a strong wick and a breakdown of the lower band, price formed relatively long lower wicks. In the short term, the “base” still has bull chips constantly getting involved. Although the bearish downside rhythm has formed, it won’t provide a very strong continuation. Therefore, the need for short-term market repair is quite evident. Going forward, we should watch the strength of the repair. On the hourly chart: after the rebound and the price shocks through the middle band, it again forms renewed pressure around 78,800; the overhead outline is quite clear, so the timing for setting up short positions is obvious. For the next phase, our plan will shift to taking shorts.

Big coin short in 78,800–79,300 Target: 77,000
ETH short in 2,500–2,510 Target: 2,430
#美加关税战升级 $BTC $ETH #AERO单日上涨17%

The recent market is really trying to make people give up. The room to run back and forth is only that little bit of space. The evening longs again were short-term and then got cut loose; there’s just no desire left to hold a longer-term view. For friends with similar setups in the evening, please exit on your own.

Bitcoin (B-bill) has already rebounded to around 78,600. The suppression force at this level is unquestionable. You can clearly feel it from the multiple tests during the daytime. This point marks the start of upside pressure and also the starting point for the next pullback in the future.
#美加关税战升级 $BTC
$ETH