Prediction is never foolproof; only by adjusting well can one endure. In a smoky, chaotic market, how many friends have gotten caught in a fall? Unable to run, always jumping up and down—there is basically no clear trend. Overall the market is range-bound with a slight bias to the upside. Since midnight, the行情 has been falling then rising; during the day it falls again and then rises again at night. Worth mentioning: the big coin broke down to around 77,600, and ETH also poked down to around 2,440, but both mainly appeared in the form of wicks (price spikes)—there isn’t an excessively strong trend continuation. This is also why the market has again provided opportunities for rebound and repair. If the breakdown can’t be sustained, then accumulating energy for repair is only natural.

Today’s live trading for the big coin was dismal. The long position near 78,800 in the morning was unlucky and stopped out, losing 400 points of room. In the afternoon, when the market probed down to 78,300, we followed the move and went long, sweeping an additional 600 points and exiting. In the evening, there was even a “life-or-death line” jump: the long we entered near 78,000 was stopped out only 200 points away. After the market rebounded and repaired back to around 78,600, we promptly exited. ETH’s layout today was also pretty uneventful: longs around 2,470 during the day, then a normal add-on to about 2,460, and finally we swept roughly 40 points. Learn from one’s mistakes—recent market rhythm has been a bit rigid, so it’s not suitable to rush.

In the short term, the market’s continuation is still present: the bulls’ repair momentum hasn’t fully finished yet. On the four-hour chart, after a strong wick and a breakdown of the lower band, price formed relatively long lower wicks. In the short term, the “base” still has bull chips constantly getting involved. Although the bearish downside rhythm has formed, it won’t provide a very strong continuation. Therefore, the need for short-term market repair is quite evident. Going forward, we should watch the strength of the repair. On the hourly chart: after the rebound and the price shocks through the middle band, it again forms renewed pressure around 78,800; the overhead outline is quite clear, so the timing for setting up short positions is obvious. For the next phase, our plan will shift to taking shorts.

Big coin short in 78,800–79,300 Target: 77,000
ETH short in 2,500–2,510 Target: 2,430
#美加关税战升级 $BTC $ETH #AERO单日上涨17%