Grasp the Core of Sector Rotation
Rotation Categories

The main directional rotation of the market alternates mainly between BTC and Altcoins.
The rotation of altcoin cycles can be divided into two major categories: MEME coins and Secondary coins.

Characteristics of Sector Bottom
Retail investor sentiment is low, with most people watching from the sidelines or afraid to enter the market.
K-line and weekly level horizontal consolidation and fluctuations, with no obvious trend; the market seems to be sorting itself out.
There are many FUD topics, frequent negative news, and the overall market sentiment is pessimistic.

Characteristics of Sector Top
Retail investor sentiment is high, the market is full of optimism, and many people are chasing prices.
Most related coins have already experienced several times the increase, and the expectations for explosive growth are gradually being digested by the market.
There are many optimistic topics, lively discussions, and positive news abound; many people are talking about the future of these coins.

In summary, remember: Buy when no one is asking, sell when the crowd is roaring
#加密市场反弹

This year, two coins have been continuously setting historical highs, one is BGB and the other is SUI. Which one do you have more confidence in?

$BTC
After experiencing a round of gains yesterday, Bitcoin encountered significant resistance near 102000 and failed to continue its upward trend. The current technical form shows a double-top pattern. After the four-hour K-line touched the upper Bollinger Band, the market entered a period of weakness, and the short-term correction trend gradually became apparent.

The double top formed by the Bitcoin price near 102,000 implies that the bullish power is blocked at this price and the bearish power may gradually rise, increasing the downward pressure on the price and the possibility of a correction.
The four-hour K-line touches the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that the price is at a short-term high and is facing strong pressure. According to the Bollinger Band theory, the price has a need to return to the middle track, further confirming the rationality of the callback.

BTC: Short selling in the 101500-102000 range
Target 100,000 - 99,000. If the market breaks, we can look further down to 97000. If you don’t break, you will advance.
Stop loss 102500

There is a very stupid method for trading cryptocurrencies that almost guarantees profit.

This method is actually very simple, with just 4 steps: selecting the coin, buying, managing positions, and selling. Every detail will be explained clearly to you!

The first step is to open the daily chart and look only at the daily level. You should select coins with a MACD golden cross, preferably one that is above the zero line, as this has the best effect!

The second step is to switch to the daily level; here you only need to look at one moving average, called the daily moving average. Buy when the price is above the line and sell when it is below.

The third step is after buying, when the coin price breaks through the daily moving average while the volume is also above the daily moving average, you should buy with your entire position. The fourth step is to sell, which involves three details: the first is when the swing increase exceeds 40%, sell 1/3 of your total position. The second is when the overall swing increase exceeds 80%, sell another 1/3; if it breaks below the daily moving average, sell all positions.

The fourth step is also the most important. Since we are using the daily moving average as our buying criterion, if an unexpected situation occurs the next day and it breaks below, you must sell all your holdings; do not hold onto any false hopes! Although the probability of breaking through using our coin selection method is very small, we still need to be aware of the risks! After selling, wait for it to rise above the daily moving average again, and then you can buy back!

$SOL
The daily chart shows a long solid bullish candle with relatively short upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume has decreased to two-thirds of the previous day, indicating a rebound trend.

From a technical indicator perspective, the MA30 line is trending upwards, and the MACD is above the zero line but its momentum is weakening.

In terms of price movement, it has not yet broken through the MA30 line and still needs to consolidate through fluctuations to build strength.

The operational strategy is to increase positions when prices dip, as the adjustment is nearing its end, and we only need to wait quietly for the rally to occur.
#sol趋势

$ETH
The current price of Ethereum is 3800. It is now 10 o'clock Beijing time. Everyone can continue to hold the short position above 3750. If the retracement does not break 3640, you can hold. Pay attention to the support at the 3500 level. If it breaks, take half off and continue to hold the rest. Don't think about taking profits at the lowest point. Continuously adjust the retracement points and take profits at the retracement points. Just like last night when Ethereum plummeted to 3520, taking profit at 3720 is the same reasoning. The attempt to break 3800 failed, and the retracement broke the 3730 neck line. Clear all long positions without hesitation.

Let's take a look at the current market situation. The daily K-line had a maximum of 3780 and a minimum of 3515. The EMA15 trend line support has turned into a resistance level at 3695. The EMA30 support point is at 3485. The MACD volume has ended and is starting to shrink downwards. The DIF and DEA are forming a death cross at a high position. After the Bollinger Bands contracted, the K-line broke the middle line at 3630 twice. The retracement broke upwards at 3630, with a stop loss 10 points above. If it doesn't break, you can continue to hold. The lower support level is at 3200, and the overall trend is heavily bearish.

The four-hour K-line has reached the critical support above 3500. It is currently starting to rebound back to the EMA120 resistance level of 3625. The overall trend of the EMA is starting to contract downwards, forming a net bearish indicator. After the retracement, once the EMA120 forms a clear resistance level, you may consider entering short. The MACD is shrinking downwards, and the DIF and DEA are about to break the energy indicator. The Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, with the fast line expanding around the lower track of 3585. The overall trend is bearish. Whether it is a real vacuum or a false vacuum, once a clear entry signal appears, just execute according to the system. Set good take profit and stop loss, and leave the rest to time.

Short-term reference: Safety first. Remember, the market is not 100% certain, so always have a good stop loss. Safety first; small losses and big gains are the goal. Actual warehouse 3765 short, target looking at the previous low and retracement take profit point 3640, everyone can refer to this.

For the upper side, short from 3850 to 3900, defend at 3950, stop loss 50 points, target looking at 3600 to 3550, if broken look at 3500 and 3450.

For the lower side, long from 3400 to 3350, defend at 3300, stop loss 50 points, target looking at 3500 to 3550, if broken look at 3600 to 3650
#加密市场反弹

Brothers, you aren't going to buy at a discounted price anymore, right? I would really appreciate it if you did, escaping the peak and buying at the bottom.

1. $BTC has once again broken through 100000, steadily following the rise of the US stock market;

Yesterday, BlackRock's IBIT pre-market trading volume reached 70 million dollars, with 52% being active buy orders;

2. $ETH the exchange rate rebounds, in recent days $ETH seems to be a leverage of the big pancake, dropping a lot and rising a lot too;

BlackRock ETF is increasing its holdings of ETH

3. $SOL always follows the big pancake, when the big pancake has a small drop, it drops a lot, when the big pancake has a small rise, it rises a lot;

4. $BNB has basically recovered the drop from a few days ago, is it about to set sail again towards 800?

5. The Nasdaq index has created a historical new high, tech giants collectively reached historical new highs during trading;

6. DCG (Grayscale's parent company) has split its Foundry self-mining business into a new independent entity, Fortitude Mining;

7. Coinbase's international site had a trading volume exceeding 12.5 billion dollars on December 10, setting a new historical high;

8. Slow Mist's cosine: Quantum computing is far from cracking Bitcoin private keys, there is currently no need to worry about the security of Satoshi's private key;

9. @coinbase has added PNUT to the top coin roadmap, after a brief surge in $PNUT, the price has retreated, waiting for the official launch, hoping it will have a big trend like $MOODENG $TURBO $MOG;

10. @virtuals_io announced the launch of the Agent Sandbox, $VIRTUAL has returned to around 2u;

11. @ai16zdao has reached a new high, leading the entire #AIMeme sector, those who can tell stories are taking off, among which $ELIZA directly benefits;

12. Analysis: The US November CPI has increased the most in seven months, but it is unlikely to stop the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates next week;

13. Late at night @OpenAI suddenly had the mascot $FROGE, I remember there was also the founder's computer's $FROGE from last year or early this year, the old one went to zero, and the new one surged over 1000% in a month; (Group friends say this is the old one switching contracts for the new coin, looking for the wallet, the old airdrop has a new one)

14. FTX creditors recovered 14.5 million dollars, two major political action committees refunded a total of 9 million dollars;

15. Ray Dalio supports Bitcoin; MicroStrategy plans to include the Nasdaq 100 index;

In this market, holding leverage feels a bit disgusting, it’s better to honestly hold the spot, and not have too much of that mindset of wanting to earn money from everything, because wanting to earn from everything often leads to earning nothing.

Let everything happen naturally, there is no need to force anything.

CPI data will be released tonight. Last week's non-farm data had little impact,

its effect may be reflected in today's CPI data.

Last night, before the release of the US dollar index data, the US dollar index had already risen, which is equivalent to a preemptive reaction.

From the 4-hour cycle perspective, the US dollar index shows a relatively strong trend.

In terms of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, as a representative of the bullish camp, has currently diminished trading enthusiasm, overall attractiveness is insufficient.

Among various cryptocurrencies, XRP seems to be performing relatively well at the moment and may be worth some attention.
#CPI年率

I want to sell two spot goods, is there anyone willing to take them!
#加密市场回调

Two upcoming events, two data, if bullish
Your copycat can come back, if that doesn't happen
The CPi index will be released at 21:30 on the 11th, that is, tonight
If the index is lower than expected, the probability of a rate cut on the 15th will increase, then bullish
At 2:30 a.m. on the 15th, the shameless interest rate decision will be made, and the rate cut will be 25 basis points and take off directly ​​​

#市场回调抄底还是观望？

#市场回调抄底还是观望？
On December 11, 2024, the price of Bitcoin experienced significant fluctuations. In the morning, its price broke through the important thresholds of $44,000, $43,000, and $42,000 in just a few minutes, at one point plummeting by 7.5% during the day, before the decline narrowed, and it returned to $96,000. According to reports from Wall Street, Microsoft's shareholders voted against allocating Bitcoin, causing the coin price to fall below $95,000 during trading.

From the market's reaction, over 120,000 people have been liquidated across the network in the past 24 hours, with a total liquidation amount reaching $411 million. Some research institutions stated that the drop in Bitcoin on the 11th is a normal correction after continuous increases, and the three expectations that formed this round of market conditions have not changed significantly, with the overall market sentiment still trending upwards.

The wave of selling in the early morning mainly targeted the knockoffs.
It will take time to repair now, so the market will enter a phase of chaotic fluctuations that could last for a while.

#MOVE , usual, #pepe⚡ , pay more attention to wld.

The current price of Bitcoin is 95,850. It is around 10 o'clock Beijing time. Let's review: yesterday the price was above 95,100, and finally, profit was taken at 98,000, gaining 3,100 points. Many fans were affected by this liquidating wave, and their positions were nearly wiped out. I often say that the essence of trading is survival. Those who can listen and execute are still alive. Everyone can take a look at the Bitcoin trend in early November and compare it with the current trend.

Looking at the order book, the daily K-line had a highest of 98,270 and a lowest of 94,250. The EMA15 trend line support has turned into the current resistance level of 96,700. The next trend line EMA30 is worth paying attention to at 92,700. For those looking to long at the bottom, the stop-loss can be set below the previous low of 90,500, with the target looking at EMA15. The trend has not completely reversed yet, and the EMA trend indicator is still bullish. The MACD is decreasing, and DIF and DEA are trending downwards; the top divergence trend support point is near the 90,000 mark. The Bollinger Bands are still contracting, and the K-line has fallen below the midline of 97,000, starting to test the lower band at 92,700. The upper band resistance is at 101,300, and the short position is already very clear.
The four-hour K-line has broken below the EMA12 trend line at 95,700, and the overall trend indicator has begun to spread downwards, entering a bearish phase. So everyone can consider trying to short, as the trend is starting to lean towards bearish, so don't stubbornly go long. The MACD is decreasing, and both DIF and DEA have also entered below the zero axis, along with the Bollinger Bands opening downwards. The K-line has broken below the lower band at 95,400, which is a typical secondary leap. During the pullback, pay attention to the resistance level above 95,500 for a potential short position, while for longs, focus on the support below the trend line at 92,000.

Short-term strategy reference: Real position at 97,800 to enter short, with targets for the previous low to take profit and a pullback at 96,500 for taking profit. Everyone can refer to this; as long as the pullback does not break 96,500, it can be held.

For the upper range of 96,500 to 97,000 short, with a stop at 97,500, stop-loss of 50 points, and targets looking at 94,500 to 94,000, breaking down to 93,500 to 93,000.

For the lower range of 92,000 to 91,500 long, with a stop at 91,000, stop-loss of 500 points, and targets looking at 93,000 to 93,500, breaking up to 94,000 to 94,500.

Market fluctuations are becoming more pronounced. Remember to avoid excessive greed, and especially do not arbitrarily increase leverage. The goal at this stage is to eliminate contracts. Don't think about taking risks with low-priced tokens just because you've found them; that would undoubtedly be giving away money. Each cryptocurrency behaves differently; some follow BTC, while others completely operate independently. This is also the most awkward phase, as it's hard for beginners to make money. If you don't chase, the price continues to rise; if you do chase, you might get caught in a spike. So, do not rush; you must calm down. Not everyone in the crypto world can make money. If you can't understand the market, don't expect to achieve several times or even dozens of times the returns like others. What you see is an illusion; perhaps when they are losing money, they are just silently enduring and dare not speak out. Anything that can be flaunted is what others want you to see. You need to learn to observe long-term; only time will not deceive you. #加密市场回调

$ETH
Ethereum's current price is around 3600. It is about 9:50 AM Beijing time. Everyone can continue to hold the short position above 3750. As long as it doesn't break 3640 on the pullback, it can be held. Pay attention to the support at the 3500 level. If it breaks, take half off and continue to hold the rest. Don't think about taking profit at the lowest point; continually adjust the pullback points and take profit at the pullback point. It's the same logic as last night's Ethereum plunge after 3520, taking profit at 3720. The push to 3800 failed, and the pullback broke the 3730 neckline, so clear out the long positions without hesitation.

Looking at the current market, the daily K-line has a maximum of 3780 and a minimum of 3515. The EMA15 trend line support has turned into a resistance level at 3695. The EMA30 support point to watch is 3485. The MACD has stopped expanding and is starting to contract downwards. The DIF and DEA are forming a dead cross at a high level. After the Bollinger Bands contracted, the K-line broke the middle line at 3630 twice. A pullback breaking 3630 can be held, with a stop loss set 10 points above. If it doesn't break, it can continue to be held. The lower support to watch is 3200, and the overall trend is strongly bearish.

The four-hour K-line has reached the critical support above 3500 and is currently starting to rebound back to the EMA120 resistance level at 3625. The overall EMA trend is starting to contract downwards, forming a net bearish indicator. Therefore, after the pullback creates a clear resistance level at EMA120, consider setting up a short position. The MACD is contracting downwards, and the DIF and DEA are about to break the energy indicator. The Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, with the fast line expanding around the lower track at 3585. The overall trend is bearish, regardless of whether it's a real vacuum or a false signal. When a clear entry signal appears, just execute according to the system, keeping good take profit and stop loss, leaving the rest to time.

Short-term reference: Safety first. Remember, the market is never 100%, so always set stop losses. Safety first; small losses and big gains are the goal. Real position at 3765 short, target looking at the previous low and pullback take profit point of 3640 for everyone's reference.

Short positions above 3650 to 3700, with a defense at 3750, stop loss of 50 points, target looking at 3600 to 3550, breaking below looking at 3500 and 3450.

Long positions below 3400 to 3350, with a defense at 3300, stop loss of 50 points, target looking at 3500 to 3550, breaking above looking at 3600 to 3650
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

#市场回调抄底还是观望？
Interesting market, recently altcoins have really been behaving like Bitcoin with huge leverage; when Bitcoin drops by 1%, altcoins can crash;

1.$BTC High position maintains volatility, currently long-term holdings and ETFs are being sold off, it's hard to think about who in the market is buying;

BlackRock's IBIT had a pre-market trading volume of 43 million USD yesterday, with 36% being active buy orders and 40% being active sell orders; $BTC market share continues to rebound, close to its highs;

2.$ETH Exchange rates continue to decline, leading the entire altcoin market down, the altcoin season might once again become an altcoin sacrifice;

3.$SOL There is a fast-track every day, the market's thirst level exceeds expectations, everyone is betting on which big dog will be released in December, maintaining the heat of $SOL ;

4. $BNB steadily follows the market, after all, the Launchpool provided cannot cover the decline, even the insider trading couldn't escape in time;

5. Ray Dalio: Shifting to gold and Bitcoin investments under high debt risk;

6. MicroStrategy may be included in the Nasdaq 100 index, expected to trigger $2.1 billion in ETF purchases;

7. @Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin has been approved by New York financial regulators;

8. @RaydiumProtocol's monthly trading volume has surpassed @Uniswap, #memecoin trading has become a key driving force;

After all, the GAS on the mainnet has recently been so high it could kill;

9. Microsoft shareholders opposed the Bitcoin investment proposal in preliminary voting;

Goldman Sachs CEO: Will evaluate participation in the Bitcoin or Ethereum market if regulations allow;

10. @MagicEden $ME completes a grand slam after $MOVE, opening directly at 20-30 USD, basically no hope of breaking even in this lifetime;

11. LayerZero will hold its first protocol fee referendum on December 19; the performance of $ZRO has completely exceeded expectations;

12. $VIRUTAL $SPX $KOMA launches @binance contracts, with $KOMA directly surging over 400%;

It can indeed be seen that @binance has started to pay attention to @BNBCHAIN;

13. CZ: Establishing a Bitcoin strategic reserve is 'inevitable';

Good news for $SBR;

-------------
Recently, this market can only be described as shivering, operating contracts without daring to sleep, even buying spot isn't too daring, sometimes I wonder if this time it really is a large-scale top escape movement, not quite believing it.

After the morning's sharp decline, the market still hasn’t reacted, and the altcoins remain sluggish. Next, we need to keep an eye on the market to understand the trend! Ice sugar is always present!
Hold on to the few assets in hand! Wait for ice sugar to finish sweeping the market!
#加密市场回调

A phased bull market won't collapse all at once, just like slamming the brakes while driving; there will definitely be inertia.

So I judge there will be another wave of rebound, but it is absolutely not now; at least we have to wait for a month of consolidation.

The wealth opportunities in this rebound will not be concentrated on secondary mainstream coins; more likely, they will still be in sectors like the metaverse, blockchain gaming, and NFTs that have been hyped again, and of course, meme coins.

24H Settlement Heat Map Reference:

$BTC : The strongest short liquidation at 98500, with relatively strong short liquidation between 98550-99050.

Current three nearest resistance points: 97850, 98200, 98800. (1:07 PM)

Strong long liquidation between 94000-93450, with weaker short liquidation below 93350.

Current three nearest support points: 95755, 95300, 94666.

$ETH : The strongest short liquidation at 3848, with relatively strong short liquidation in the 3784-3880 range.

Current nearest resistance points: 3742, 3772, 3828, 3880.

Strong long liquidation between 3600-3556, with significant weakening of long liquidation below 3556.

Current nearest support points: 3660, 3626, 3596, 3560.

ps: Both bulls and bears have opportunities; the liquidation levels and the fluctuating levels on the market have been marked.