Black Swan Warning, Super Central Bank Week May Trigger Market Shock! How Can Investors Avoid Risks?
After significant declines two weeks ago and favorable CPI data last week, the US stock market has temporarily improved, recovering some losses. This also allowed Bitcoin to rise alongside the US stock market on Friday night, with the price briefly breaking through 85,000. However, the US stock market closed over the weekend, and the cryptocurrency market began to adjust. For the cryptocurrency market, this rebound is symbolic, and there are currently no clear reversal signals. At the same time, the funding and leverage levels are insufficient to support a reversal. Currently, the overall daytime market is in a volatile trend, and we still need to wait for the evening fluctuations to gradually increase. The market remains relatively quiet, and this week we need to pay close attention to the news regarding the US interest rate decision, especially Powell's speech at that time, which requires special attention as it will directly affect the market trend. We also need to watch whether the US stock market can truly stop falling or continue to decline this week.
Data is favorable but continues to decline; will the bull market return? Can altcoins still be played at this stage?
Good evening, everyone. This week's market performance continues to be disappointing as always. Although the CPI data on Wednesday and the PPI data from yesterday are both favorable, and there is currently no risk of inflation rising further, the performance of the US stock market has not been optimistic, showing a downward trend since the market opened, which has dragged down the crypto market as well. This abnormal decline may indicate that the US stock market has begun to enter a technical bear market, and Bitcoin has not yet hit its bottom. However, one positive point is that the US stock market has recently set two new lows, while Bitcoin has not followed suit and has been consolidating above 80,000 USD since its last drop to 76,600 USD. This indicates that Bitcoin's performance is relatively strong compared to the US stock market. Therefore, if the US stock market rebounds, Bitcoin has the opportunity to fill the CME gap above 86,000 USD.
CPI Data is Positive, Can the Rebound Continue? Interest Rate Cut Expectations Remain Key!
Last night's CPI data met expectations, and the market reacted positively as if it was given a shot of adrenaline. The overall increase in cryptocurrency reflects the market's optimistic sentiment towards the future economic environment. Specifically, Bitcoin (BTC) has broken through $83,000, setting a new high and becoming the market's barometer. I believe the rise of Bitcoin is mainly driven by CPI data and overall economic recovery expectations. As inflation data gradually declines, investor confidence is slowly recovering, and funds are beginning to flow back into the crypto market. Especially Bitcoin, as a digital gold with its safe-haven attributes, continues to be favored by the market.
The latest remarks by the Russian Foreign Minister regarding ceasefire conditions
- Ukraine does not join NATO - NATO does not establish military bases or conduct military exercises in Ukraine - Security guarantees for Ukraine can be provided by countries such as Germany and Turkey - The security scope does not include Crimea and the Donbas region controlled by Russia
Comment: Appetite lower than expected, ceasefire is promising
Note: Material sourced from official media network news, not constituting investment advice, etc.
Why can't Bitcoin hold at $83,000? Will tonight's CPI provide a boost for a surge?
In the early hours, Ukraine agreed to the U.S. proposal for a 30-day ceasefire and is also preparing to sign a mineral agreement. Both Canada and the U.S. have taken steps back on tariffs. These good news stimulated both the U.S. stock market and Bitcoin, which even temporarily returned to the $83,700 level. However, the upward momentum ultimately faltered, and it is now hovering around $82,000. Moreover, the market sentiment is still in a state of panic, and funds are generally flowing out, keeping the market sluggish. Attention should be paid to tonight's U.S. CPI data, as this may be a rare opportunity to break free from losses. As for whether it meets market expectations, just be patient and keep an eye on the trends of the U.S. stock market in the coming days to see if it can stop falling.
US Stocks and Cryptocurrency 'Avalanche'! Is March 12th Coming Early? Where is the bottom of this pullback?
Amid intensified selling pressure from US stocks and rising concerns about economic recession, the cryptocurrency market is encountering turbulent waves again. Bitcoin fell below the $80,000 mark early today (11th), reaching a low of $76,784, a new low since last November.
Worryingly, the 'capital flight' from Bitcoin spot ETFs has not shown any signs of easing, with an outflow of $867 million last week and a cumulative net outflow of $4.75 billion over the past four weeks, indicating that institutional funds are still retreating and market confidence is weak. Reason for the crash: recession ➡️ US stocks ➡️ cryptocurrency market The real key remains the uncertainty in the global economic outlook. During an interview over the weekend, Trump did not rule out the possibility of the US economy falling into recession, which further intensified market panic, leading to a broad decline in risk assets. The combined market value of the 'Seven Giants' dropped by over $830 billion on Monday, setting a record for the highest single-day market value loss.
The battle to defend Bitcoin at 80,000 has begun! Can CPI data + interest rate cut expectations reverse the trend?
Is it a bull market or a bear market right now? Where is the bottom? When can one buy the dip? This is likely what everyone wants to know lately. The weekend was originally quite calm, but since yesterday afternoon, Bitcoin prices have been falling, breaking below the 200-day moving average again, with a low point dropping to the whole number of 80,000.
When the Bitcoin price reaches the whole number of 80,000, it activates some buy orders for a slight rebound, temporarily stopping the decline for 1 hour and correcting the divergence from last night! On the 4-hour chart, the range trend remains in a downward state and has not effectively shown short-term stop-loss signals. Therefore, for the short term, we look for a rebound, with resistance at 83,000 on the 4-hour chart and a trend line resistance of 83,400 on the daily MA200.
Why did the market still fall despite three positive boosts? How will the market move after the crypto summit?
Hello everyone, happy weekend. Yesterday's market was loud but little action. Three things happened last night: 1. In the morning, Trump signed related policies for the U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserves and other cryptocurrency reserves, which is positive news for the crypto market. 2. At 9:30 PM, non-farm data fell below expectations, which is also good news for the financial market. 3. In the early morning, the White House hosted its first crypto conference, which is also positive news for the crypto market. Just picking one out is beneficial, yet the market hasn’t risen; instead, it has fluctuated back and forth, ultimately falling. This raises doubts about whether there will truly be an opportunity for the crypto industry by 2025.
Bitcoin reserve officially launched, marking a new era for the market! Position in the following 3 altcoins expected to increase by 10 times!
Yesterday, Trump signed an executive order announcing the establishment of the 'U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.' This move marks the official inclusion of Bitcoin into the U.S. government's national strategic assets, upgrading it from a 'speculative asset' to a strategic asset backed by the state. According to the executive order, the U.S. government will not directly purchase Bitcoin but will acquire Bitcoin through criminal or civil forfeiture processes to establish this reserve. Currently, the U.S. government holds approximately 200,000 Bitcoins, and these assets will be used as a long-term store of value and will not be sold. Additionally, the Secretary of the Treasury and the Secretary of Commerce have been authorized to develop a 'budget neutral' purchasing strategy.
Trump ordered the establishment of a Bitcoin reserve. But it was just about properly managing the previously confiscated Bitcoins, ensuring that they wouldn't be dumped on the market. He also emphasized that taxpayer money would not be used to purchase new Bitcoins. It's equivalent to creating a huge headline, but without any new buying pressure. The thunder is loud, but the raindrops are very small, and Bitcoin fell sharply in response.
It's really unreliable!
Currently, based on the price reaction, it does not meet market expectations. It is anticipated that the impact of Trump’s market will gradually weaken, and the foreseeable events will become fewer. The cryptocurrency industry will enter a new phase, and attention should return to the application layer. In the next 1-2 years, with relaxed compliance and regulation, more opportunities may arise.
Today, the altcoin index has once again entered the buying zone
1. When the altcoin index is below 25, altcoins are worth buying. Since the bull market began, the altcoin index has dropped below 25 twice, leading to two waves of altcoin rallies: the first wave from October 2023 to March 2024, and the second wave from November 2024 to December 2024. Now we are in the third wave below 25. 2. The recent crash in the crypto market began with Trump's tax increase causing a sharp decline in U.S. stocks, but the crypto market remains relatively stable. The NASDAQ futures are currently near the daily EMA200. In the bull market, every time there has been a pullback, it has fallen to the EMA200 before stabilizing and resuming the upward trend. 3. The contract open interest has recently dropped significantly, and each pullback has been a process of deleveraging.
January: The Great Crypto President February: Trump I f*** your mother March 2nd: The Leader Who Changes Crypto March 3rd: Trump I f*** your mother March 4th: That shot should have hit him in the forehead at that time
Trump’s tweets ignite the crypto market! How long can this surge last?
A favorable tweet about strategic reserves led to a strong V-shaped reversal for Bitcoin, causing a market frenzy as Bitcoin soared to $95,000, and the overall market capitalization of cryptocurrencies surged by over $300 billion within just a few hours!
This wave of the market can be said to be a case of success and failure both stemming from Trump. After Trump announced the upcoming cryptocurrency summit, he also stated on social media that he would push for digital currencies as strategic reserves, directly triggering a market surge. He specifically mentioned that the strategic reserves include not only Bitcoin and Ethereum but also SOL, XRP, and ADA.
February's Plunge Ends, Can March Stage a Comeback? Layout the following 3 types of altcoins that can rebound against the trend!
Good afternoon everyone, today is the weekend. Last night, the U.S. released the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index for January, and all data met expectations, alleviating concerns about rising inflation and providing space for the Federal Reserve to cut rates. Encouraged by this, major U.S. stock indices all rose, and Bitcoin rebounded after falling to around $78,000 yesterday, briefly breaking through $86,500.
The U.S. Department of Commerce released the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index for January on Friday, showing a month-over-month increase of 0.3% and a year-over-year increase of 2.5%. The core PCE, excluding food and energy, also increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, all in line with market expectations, alleviating concerns of rising inflation and providing space for the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts.
February's Crash Ends, Can March Stage a Comeback? Keep an Eye on These Signals!
Good afternoon, everyone. Today is the weekend, and last night the Americans announced the latest personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for January, with all data meeting expectations, easing market concerns about rising inflation, and providing space for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Encouraged by this, major U.S. stock indices rose across the board, and Bitcoin rebounded after falling to around $78,000 yesterday, briefly breaking through $86,500.
The U.S. Commerce Department released the latest personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for January on Friday, showing a monthly increase of 0.3% and an annual increase of 2.5%. The core PCE, excluding food and energy, also saw a monthly increase of 0.3% and an annual increase of 2.6%, all meeting market expectations, alleviating concerns about rising inflation and providing space for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Bitcoin falls below 80,000! Where is the market bottom? Should we buy the dip or wait and see?
The cryptocurrency market was in a state of panic today (28th). Bitcoin plunged sharply in early Asian trading, falling all the way from $84,000 to the $80,000 mark. Market panic rose instantly. Is this just a "healthy correction" in the bull market, or the beginning of another "mass slaughter"?
Bitcoin hit a low of $79,034 this morning, but has rebounded to $79,544 at press time, down about 7.78% in the past 24 hours. At the same time, other cryptocurrencies fell.
The market trend is consistent with yesterday's judgment. It has not really stopped falling and there is always a probability of breaking 8.
Bitcoin falls below 80,000! Where is the market bottom? 4 altcoins that can rebound against the trend in the future!
The cryptocurrency market was in a state of panic today (28th). Bitcoin plunged sharply in early Asian trading, falling all the way from $84,000 to the $80,000 mark. Market panic rose instantly. Is this just a "healthy correction" in the bull market, or the beginning of another "mass slaughter"?
Bitcoin hit a low of $79,034 this morning, but has rebounded to $79,544 at press time, down about 7.78% in the past 24 hours. At the same time, other cryptocurrencies fell.
The market trend is consistent with yesterday's judgment. It has not really stopped falling and there is always a probability of breaking 8.
Bitcoin crashes to 80,000! Are altcoins not following the drop? Positioning for the following 3 altcoins expected to have a 10x increase!
The cryptocurrency market continues its downward trend today (27), with Bitcoin breaking below the $85,000 mark overnight, plummeting to a low of $82,256, marking a new low since November 2024. Meanwhile, the market fear index has sharply declined to 10, indicating extreme fear.
With the market deep in bearish gloom, traders are actively positioning for safe havens, with some betting that Bitcoin may further drop to $70,000. Additionally, this Friday, $5 billion in BTC options are set to expire on Deribit, which will likely heighten market volatility, suggesting that fluctuations in the market may intensify in the coming days.