Bitcoin surpasses gold, and BlackRock's spot ETF sees a surge of funds! The latest data reveals that BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF assets under management have surpassed its gold ETF. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin market attracts billions of dollars in weekly inflows, indicating strong institutional confidence in digital assets. Compared to gold's market value of $17 trillion, Bitcoin's market value of $2 trillion is smaller, but its growth rate is remarkable, showing that smart money has long recognized Bitcoin's enormous potential. Market trends indicate that compared to traditional assets, the emerging asset Bitcoin is becoming increasingly attractive. Bitcoin is not just a digital currency; it is becoming an indispensable part of global asset allocation. With continuous inflows of funds, Bitcoin's future is undoubtedly full of immense potential.
To speak from the heart, this principle applies universally: No matter what kind of currency it is, do not let emotions dictate your decisions. Regardless of whether the price goes up or down, there are always invisible boundaries; the more volatile the fluctuations, the stronger the rebound after hitting the boundary. Rapid price changes are often a sign of market instability. If the price is slowly decreasing, you can take advantage of the current support level for a rebound; if it is rapidly decreasing, then look for a rebound at a higher support level. During a slow increase, you can gradually raise your profit-taking point, holding or engaging in limited swing trading; while during a rapid increase, you should actively take profits and exit to observe.
Trading is like a long-lasting psychological game, testing patience and wisdom. Every move feels like a contest with the market. The market makes a move, I respond; if my response is inadequate, I retreat temporarily and wait for the next opportunity. In this game, I have accumulated the following experiences: First, you must realize that the funds in the market far exceed yours, and it is unwise to confront them head-on. You should look for trending markets and seize the chance to make a big profit. If the situation is unfavorable, cut losses and exit in time; if you have the upper hand, pursue the victory and strive to maximize profits. Secondly, for every trade, I set a fixed loss limit, which is my stop-loss line. As long as the losses are within control, my mindset can remain calm. Major market movements often occur during times of high volatility; only then is there a chance to capture significant profits. As for sideways markets? I choose to avoid them because they wear down patience and make it difficult to achieve substantial returns. Finally, I usually do not take the initiative to strike first but wait for the market to reveal its cards. The initial movements of the market often expose its true intentions; at this point, operating in accordance with the trend can often yield twice the result with half the effort.
Last night, the United States announced the CPI data for November, and the results were generally in line with market expectations. Specifically, the unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate for November was 3.3%, with a month-on-month rate of 0.3%, which was consistent with market expectations and flat compared to the previous month. At the same time, the unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate for November was 2.7%, with a month-on-month rate also at 0.3%. Although it met expectations, it showed an increase compared to the previous month. After the release of this data, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December rose to 98%, indicating that a rate cut in December is almost certain. #美联储12月降息预期上升
Market demand weakened, funds flowed in in a panic, long-term holders accelerated selling, and profit peaks were not as good as before... By comparing data analysis, we can find that the current trend shows signs of gradual attenuation, and this conclusion is traceable and well-founded.
Observing a signal does not mean that the market will immediately pull back, and sometimes it may even rise again due to the inertia of market sentiment. Faced with this situation, my strategy is to start implementing a batch profit-taking plan. This signal is the "selling point" I have been waiting for. In a bear market, we will find multiple "buying points" based on indicator signals to build positions in batches; similarly, in a bull market, there will not be only one "selling point". The key is to plan well and seize every "selling point".
What if the judgment is wrong? ——There is no perfect trading system in the world, nor a strategy that never makes mistakes. As long as the trading system meets personal risk preferences and profit expectations, has clear logic, is executable, and can form a closed loop, it is a good system. We can only make money within our own cognitive range, and the profits beyond our cognitive range do not belong to us.
The rise of this round of the cryptocurrency bull market may exceed everyone's expectations. In the world of investment, ordinary investors rely on skills, while wealthy investors depend on courage and vision. We need to expand our imagination and perspective, and not be overly cautious and conservative. Attention should be focused on investments with enormous growth potential, seeking opportunities that can yield high returns. Instead of always paying attention to which cryptocurrencies are falling or immersing ourselves in negative news all day. Only by truly integrating into the market can we capture opportunities to make money. The market may decline, but this is just a prelude to the bull market restarting; the decline is your good opportunity to get on board! #市场回调抄底还是观望?
By observing the liquidation distribution map, it can be seen that many people are still trying to catch the bottom, so the market may not immediately show a V-shaped reversal. The main players want to wash out those who are bottom-fishing until they are too afraid to easily enter the market again. The last time the price dipped to 90,500, the bulls were completely washed out, and then the market quickly rebounded. This time, the rise is slower, so it can only be a gradual bottom-fishing strategy: buy small on small dips, don’t buy when it’s flat, and buy big on large dips. Bottom-fishing during a sell-off is the correct strategy; it's much better than chasing highs. As long as you believe the overall trend is upward, you can endure the pullback period. Using high leverage trading is akin to gambling; it’s best to place limit orders on the left side to catch the bottom and wait patiently, because being too eager will not yield results.
In trading, regardless of whether it is light or heavy positions, money management is always key. Many people advocate for light positions, believing this can reduce risk; at the same time, some support heavy positions to seize opportunities, thinking that light positions make it difficult to achieve significant profits.
How should we choose? We can consider the following factors: First, if you can accurately grasp the market's explosive points, then entering with heavy positions is undoubtedly a good way to seize opportunities. Conversely, if your timing for entering the market is poor, light positions are more prudent, allowing for wider stop losses and avoiding frequent stop-outs. Second, if you have a strong desire for profit, you may tend to prefer heavy positions to pursue greater returns; if your desire is lower, light positions may suit you better. Third, you need to consider your tolerance for losses on individual trades. If you can accept larger losses, you might choose heavy positions; if your tolerance for capital drawdown is low, then light positions are more appropriate.
In summary, the choice between heavy and light positions should be based on individual circumstances, abilities, desires, and risk tolerance. The strategy that suits you best is the right one; others' strategies may not necessarily be suitable for you. #加密市场回调
View this round of selling after the surge as a rehearsal before the main upward wave of the bull market. For the main force, a large surge to an integer level like $100,000 in a bull market carries high risk, and there are also many accumulated profit positions. The main force may conduct 2-3 rounds of selling around this level, aiming to alleviate upward pressure until the market's bullish confidence is frustrated and traders are reluctant to go long easily. Only after inflicting heavy losses on the bulls can the main force complete the main upward wave of the bull market with rapid and brief operations. #市场回调抄底还是观望?
I generally don't worry about missing out, making mistakes in judgment, or selling an investment too early. What concerns me more is whether my current mindset, decision-making process, and investment framework are truly effective. What areas still need improvement? How can I implement these improvements? In the long run, your returns do not come from occasional luck, but from a continuously refined and improved system.
It's not that a larger position means more profit; many people rush to close their positions after making a small profit. Similarly, a smaller position doesn't necessarily mean less loss; many people are unwilling to cut their losses even if they incur significant losses. I believe everyone can understand the meaning of this sentence, right?
Two major benefits before the Spring Festival: 1. Federal Reserve Meeting: On December 18, the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting, and the market generally expects a 25 basis point interest rate cut this month. 2. Trump's Inauguration: It is anticipated that by the end of this month to early January, Trump will officially take office in the White House, gaining control of power, and he is expected to introduce a series of cryptocurrency market-friendly policies.
Given these positive factors, it is expected that Bitcoin will return to above $100,000 in the short term after some consolidation, and during the next rise, it is expected to firmly stand above the $100,000 mark.
In the current bull market, staying calm is key; holding onto your coins is the way to win.
The biggest taboo in trading is impulsiveness. When a bull market arrives and you see certain coins increase several times, it's hard not to feel anxious: Should I chase this? Am I selling too early? At this moment, maintaining calm is even more necessary. Experienced investors know that profits in a bull market depend on patience, while bear markets are a good time to position oneself. Do not let worries about missing sales control you. Although it can be tempting to see coin prices double, the market is cyclical. If a coin increases 5 times or 10 times, the major players may still hold a large amount of chips and may not continue to push it up; blindly chasing high prices can lead to getting trapped. In a bull market, you should promptly take profits and avoid taking risks.
Holdings should be diversified; do not greedily concentrate on a single coin. Those who attempt to get rich quickly by heavily investing in one coin often become victims of the major players. Those who really make money do so through diversified strategies and multi-channel investments. Just like my friend, who accumulated well-known coins at low prices during the bear market, waiting for them to rise in turn during the bull market, selling when they reach a suitable price without being greedy. In a bull market, selling is the priority, while holding coins in anticipation of a bear market. In a bull market, the profits from buying are limited; selling is what locks in profits. Therefore, do not rush to repurchase coins after selling. Wait until the bear market arrives, like in 2026, then slowly buy back; such actions are not difficult to surpass the average person.
Execution is the key to success. It’s easier said than done; many find it hard to do. One needs to have strong execution abilities, acting according to plan in the face of market fluctuations, without being swayed by emotions. A common mistake for beginners is impatience; when entering the coin market, one must learn to 'endure.' The secret of the bull market lies in one word: 'endurance.' Do not let short-term fluctuations disturb your mood. It’s okay to miss out on sales; being trapped is the real hardship. Remember, in a bull market, the best strategy is to hold onto profits and not blindly chase high prices.
In the cryptocurrency world, the vast majority of profit-seekers typically go through three stages: 1. Experience Stage: This stage often involves tasting a bit of success, only to suffer significant losses, or they may have just earned some money only to lose it all back. 2. Stabilization Stage: After experiencing some ups and downs, through learning and summarizing, they slowly accumulate experience and begin to form their own investment style and rhythm. 3. Destiny-Changing Stage: By this stage, with strategy, timing, and strict discipline, along with a bit of luck, there is a possibility of achieving substantial wealth growth.
However, very few people can make a big profit and exit safely in the first stage; most may lose their principal and find it difficult to reach the shores of success. Therefore, those who can persist in the cryptocurrency world and continue to participate are already quite remarkable.
The "Three Laws of Ineffective Operations in a Bull Market": 1. Even if you dare to enter the market, if your position is not heavy, it is difficult to achieve substantial gains in a bull market. 2. Even if you invest heavily, if you cannot hold firmly, it is also difficult to enjoy the complete process of asset appreciation in a bull market. 3. Even if you can hold for the long term, if you do not know how to sell at the right time, it is difficult to maximize profits in a bull market.
Recently, the rise of altcoins has been impressive, and everyone may feel a bit dizzy watching the numbers in their accounts soar, as if riding a roller coaster every day. But this mentality is not good for trading. It means that your focus is on your account balance rather than the actual market trends.
To be honest, true trading is always about focusing on market trends, not your account balance. This may sound counterintuitive, but that's how real traders think. Constantly staring at your account will let profits and losses affect your emotions, influence your original intentions, and ultimately impact your observations and actions in the market. Experienced traders only pay attention to the rhythm of the market; for them, buying and selling is not an issue because the market naturally tells you what to do. The rises and falls of the market are not directly related to the profit and loss targets you set; only by letting go of your obsessions and delusions can you truly feel the rhythm of the market and achieve what is called zero-vector trading.
Therefore, for those whose trading mentality is not stable enough, I suggest that you can hide or fold your account balance; most trading app platforms have this feature. Keep your focus on market trends rather than your account balance, and operate based on the strength of the market's bulls and bears. In the end, you will find that making a profit is just a natural outcome.
After being in this circle for a while, you will realize that technology is not the most critical factor. Ultimately, many times the problem lies in the mindset - being too eager to see results. Having just learned a little, one feels they have mastered the secret and wants to get rich overnight, doubling and redoubling. Once a bit of money is made, thoughts turn to increasing investment, aiming for a windfall. Overall, it is just too much desire, while one's own ability cannot handle such intense human nature.
Greed and fear without awareness will ultimately only lead to greater losses. In trading, only when you approach it with a calm mindset can you remain alert and avoid falling into pitfalls.
In a bull market, the bulls are the dominant force, and shorting requires caution because the bulls can retaliate very quickly, so it's best to take profits when shorting. In a bear market, the bears become the rulers of the market, and going long means seizing the opportunity for a rebound, as the bears can push prices down at any time.
Remember! Don't always think about trying to catch the top or the bottom; otherwise, you may very well become the fuel for the market.