Liz Ann Sonders Re-poster
Chief Investment Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research.
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December durable goods orders -1.4% m/m vs. -2% est. & +5.4% prior … orders ex-transportation +0.9% vs. +0.3% est. & +0.4% prior
December core cap good orders (blue) +0.6% vs. +0.8% prior (rev up from +0.4%); core cap goods shipments (orange) +0.9% vs. +0.2% prior
Here is an overview of the performance regarding sectors and indexes, covering yesterday as well as MTD and YTD.
The Index tables as well as the Mag7 chart and table have been updated to include figures through yesterday's close.
According to @DataArbor, global equity ETFs led market activity last week, attracting >$11B in inflows. While U.S. large caps experienced the largest outflow, all other equity segments successfully posted net inflows.
For the time being, large speculators are maintaining a slightly net bullish outlook on small caps, with the positioning for Russell 2000 futures remaining positive.
For firms surveyed by @NewYorkFed, 6m capex expectations continue to rebound sharply. As of February, the series rose to the highest level since February 2023.
Large speculators are maintaining a net short stance in S&P 500 futures. Notably, this group has not held a net positive position since the beginning of 2025.
For the month of February, the Empire Manufacturing Index increased to 52 after accounting for ISM methodology adjustments.
Sectors’ percentage of stocks trading at various period new highs
@KevRGordon and I are excited to share our latest report via @Insights. We explore the Cascade phase, which serves as the newest installment in the 3 Cs of #AI phases. The article breaks down the relationship between disruptors and the disrupted, while also analyzing the sell first, research later mindset that is currently pervasive in the markets. You can read the full story here: https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/cascade-ais-latest-phase
Australia set a groundbreaking precedent in December by enforcing a social media ban for adolescents under 16. Consequently, countries in Europe and other regions are now taking action to introduce their own constraints. I have to admit, there are moments when I wish I was also subject to a ban. @StatistaCharts
The Housing Market Index released by @NAHBhome for February has decreased to 36, missing the estimate of 38 and dropping below the 37 recorded in the prior month. Within the report, the component regarding future single family sales experienced the largest drop among all categories with a decrease of 3 points.
Generating a profit is trending once more. We have witnessed a total turnaround this year regarding R2 stocks; while non-profitable shares previously beat out profitable ones by a wide margin, the dynamic has now flipped. This data is sourced from @Bloomberg as of 2/13/2026. For the purposes of this definition, profitable companies possess trailing 12-month earnings per share of more than $0. Remember that indexes are unmanaged, do not reflect management fees, costs, and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
New data from @AdpResearch highlights that private ADP payrolls rose by an average of 10,250 jobs per week throughout the four-week duration that finished on Jan. 31. This marks a positive trend, serving as the third consecutive week of higher job gains.
The index tables and the Mag7 chart and table have been updated to include performance data through Friday’s close.
February Empire Manufacturing Index down to +7.1 vs. +6.2 est. & +7.7 prior … new orders +5.8 vs. +6.6 prior; shipments -1 vs. +16.3 prior; prices paid +49.1 vs. +42.8 prior
Overview of sector and index performance reflecting activity on Friday, as well as month-to-date and year-to-date standings.
Share of equities per sector achieving new price records across different time intervals
The MA breadth charts have been refreshed to cover activity through the market close on Friday.
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