CryptoUA

📊 Market passed a stress test. Weekly summary and NFP
The week was tense, but ends positively.
Yesterday's U.S. labor market report (NFP) became the key indicator for investors in January.
What did the numbers show and why is it important? 👇
1️⃣ Macro data is working in our favor
The data showed a slight cooling of the labor market.
For crypto investors, this is a "Risk On" signal. The weaker the employment data, the more dovish the Fed's policy (rate cuts = cheaper money for markets).
Bitcoin reacted calmly, holding key support levels.
2️⃣ Weekends: Time for RWA? 🏛
While major pairs ($BTC , $ETH ) consolidate after the news, liquidity begins to seek ideas in altcoins.
Once again, the Real World Assets (RWA) sector is on the radar.
Institutional reports at the start of the year highlight the trend toward tokenization, and on a thin weekend market, these assets often appear stronger than others.
3️⃣ Market psychology
Panic selling, which some expected before the report, did not happen.
The market shows resilience. The absence of a deep correction on bad news is often a stronger bullish signal than the rise itself.
$BTC

$ETH
$XRP

🕯 Decisive Night: The Battle for "Weekly Candle" (Weekly Close)
Only a few hours remain until the weekly candle closes (02:00 Kyiv time).
For technical analysis, this is the most important moment in the last 7 days. Why are all traders watching the clock now?
The essence of the situation 👇
1️⃣ Bullish scenario: "Full Body Candle"
Investors are counting on a "full-bodied candle."
This means that the price should close as close as possible to its weekly highs.
Signal: This will confirm the strength of buyers and prove that Friday's momentum was a genuine capital inflow, not manipulation.
2️⃣ Risk: "Long Wick"
The worst scenario right now is a price pullback just before the close.
If there’s a long shadow (wick) left at the top on the chart, it signals weakness. Technically, it means that sellers have "squashed" the rise.
What to expect in the morning?
If the close is weak (with a long shadow), bears may try to seize the initiative right at the opening of the Asian session on Monday.
If we close "body" at the top — we get the green light to continue the trend.$BTC
$ETH
$XRP

📉 Is the market overheated? What does a high Funding Rate signal?
Saturday evening — the time when the emotions from Friday's rise turn into sober calculations. Analyzing derivative metrics indicates potential risks.
What is Smart Money paying attention to right now? 👇
1️⃣ Increase in Leverage
After the impulse on Friday, the number of open long positions has increased in the market.
Indicator: The Funding Rate has become positive and is rising.
What this means: Traders are paying higher fees to hold positions for growth. The market is becoming "heavy," and market makers often use this for local corrections to unload the market.
2️⃣ The "Sunday Volatility" Factor 🕯
Historically, weekends often follow this scenario:
• Saturday: consolidation.
• Sunday evening / Monday night: increased volatility before the Asian session opens.
Often, there is a sharp move against the crowd (Long Squeeze) to open the trading week with "clean positions."
3️⃣ Late Entry Risk
Opening new margin positions when indicators show overheating is a heightened risk. Such entries often become liquidity for those taking profits.
$BTC
$ETH

🐋 MicroStrategy is back in the game? The market is discussing new purchases
Against the backdrop of market growth, there are insights that Michael Saylor's company may be preparing a new submission to the SEC to raise capital.
How does it work? (MicroStrategy Strategy) ⚙️
The company's mechanism remains unchanged and effective for the market:
1. The company sells its shares or issues bonds.
2. The raised dollars are used to purchase physical Bitcoin.
3. This reduces the supply of BTC on exchanges.
Why is this important now? 👇
Such news acts as fundamental support for the price.
Investors understand: if the price of Bitcoin goes down, there is a major player in the market with liquidity ready to buy the dip.
Impact on the market:
This creates a so-called "buy wall".
Market participants are less likely to open short positions (betting on a decline), knowing that MicroStrategy is constantly accumulating coins.
Conclusion:
The presence of such a buyer adds confidence to institutional investors at the beginning of 2026. We are monitoring the official reports on the SEC website.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB

🟢 The market has turned green. Why did the pump start today?
We warned: the real game will begin on January 2nd. And here it is.
Bitcoin surged upwards, pulling the entire market with it. Why now?
This is not magic, it's liquidity 👇
1️⃣ The "First Working Day" effect 🏦
Today in the USA and EU the weekends are over.
Fund managers have returned to their offices and pressed the "Buy" button.
What we are seeing is New Year Allocations. Large capital is bringing new budgets for 2026 into the market.
2️⃣ Bitcoin — the locomotive 🚂
Note: the first impulse was given by $BTC (through Spot ETF).
This is a classic scheme:
1. First, Bitcoin rises (institutional investors come in).
2. Then Ethereum (catches up).
3. Next, liquidity flows into altcoins (Altseason).
3️⃣ Punishment for bears 🐻
Those who shorted in the "thin" holiday market yesterday fell into a trap.
Their forced position liquidations (Short Squeeze) added fuel to this rise.
What to do next?
The trend has changed from "holiday sideways" to "working growth".
If you were waiting for confirmation to enter — the market has provided it. Watch Ethereum ($ETH ) — it's next in line.$BTC
$ETH

⚠️ January 1: The market is "on pause". Why is it better not to trade today?
Welcome to 2026! While you finish your salads, your hands may be tempted to open a deal.
My monitoring says: STOP.
Why is today's market deceptive? 👇
1️⃣ Institutions are asleep 😴
U.S. stock exchanges and banks are closed. Bitcoin ETFs are not working.
The billions of dollars that move the market are resting today. The chart you see now is drawn by bots and small speculators. It does not reflect the real trend.
2️⃣ Liquidity trap 🪤
The order "book" is empty. On such days, prices are very easy to manipulate.
We can see sharp "spikes" up or down that just trigger stop-losses and then return back. This is called "liquidity hunting".
3️⃣ A gift from Ethereum ⛽
The only plus today is low gas.
Fees on the Ethereum network have dropped to a minimum.
Instead of trading, use this time for "hygiene":
• Revoke old permissions.
• Collect staking rewards.
• Transfer assets to cold wallets.
Conclusion:
The real market will wake up tomorrow, January 2, when funds return to work.
$ETH
$BTC
$XRP

🥂 2026: It's time to move from words to actions
Friends, this year has shown us that crypto is maturing. We have seen institutional players, ETFs, the birth of the AI economy. The market has changed, and we must change alongside it.
My wish for you in 2026 is the patience of a sniper.
In a world of noise, the one who knows how to wait for their perfect setup wins.
I wish you:
• Less FOMO, more strategy.
• Not to "guess" the market but to understand it.
• To find your gems before they are written about in Forbes.
Thank you for reading and thinking along with me. Going forward — only more interesting things.
Happy New Year! Charts up! 🚀$BTC
$ETH
$XRP

⚠️ Who to pay attention to in January:
According to the vesting charts, significant pressure is expected on:
1. Aptos ($APT ): Monthly large unlock for funds and the team.
2. Optimism ($OP ): Scheduled unlock for investors.
How do "Smart Money" operate? ("Priced In" mechanics)
Professionals do not wait for the unlock day. They know the date in advance.
• Often the price starts to fall a week before the event (investors hedge risks or open shorts).
• On the very day of the unlock, the price sometimes even rises (the phenomenon of "Sell the rumors, buy the news"), because sellers have already exited earlier.
Tip:
Before buying an altcoin "for the long term" in January, check services like TokenUnlocks.
Do not become liquidity for early investors who are taking profits.
$OP
$APT

🎅 Santa Claus Rally: The Market Decides the Fate of 2026 📉
Have you noticed that the markets are turning green despite the holidays? We are currently in the epicenter of a unique stock market phenomenon — Santa Claus Rally.
This is not just a pretty name; it is an official statistical pattern that covers the last 5 trading days of the year + the first 2 days of the new year.
Why is this important right now? 👇
1️⃣ Statistics Don't Lie 📊
The numbers speak for themselves: since 1969, the S&P 500 index has risen during this period 75% of the time (on average by +1.3%). This is a time when optimism prevails over fear.
2️⃣ The Main Barometer of the Year 🌡
On Wall Street, there is a golden rule:

"If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall"
(This means that if Santa doesn't come to visit, bears will come to the stock market).

This means:
• ✅ If we close in the green on January 3: This is a "green light" and a signal for growth for the entire year of 2026.
• ❌ If the market falls in these 7 days: Historically, this heralds a tough year and recession.
3️⃣ Who Pulls the Sleigh? 🦌
This year, the locomotive is Tech & AI (Nvidia, Microsoft).
Funds are actively doing "Window Dressing" (which we wrote about earlier), buying up winning stocks for reporting, which further pushes the indices up.
🧐 Conclusion for the investor:
Carefully watch the market close on January 3.
$BTC
$ETH

📉 Have your altcoins dropped? Don't rush to sell. The "January Effect" is at play 🚀
If you're looking at your portfolio and seeing red on small coins (Small Caps) while Bitcoin holds strong — don't panic. You're witnessing a tax game.
What's happening? (Tax Loss Harvesting) 🧾
All of December, Western investors intentionally sell off losing positions.
Why? To lock in losses "on paper" and pay less tax for the year 2025. This creates artificial pressure on the prices of quality, yet small projects that just fell under the hot hand.
What will happen after January 1st? 🗓
As soon as the financial year closes:
1. The tax pressure disappears instantly.
2. The same investors start buying back their positions (often aggressively).
3. Liquidity returns to altcoins.
This phenomenon is called "The January Effect".
Historically, the first weeks of January are the time when "small caps" (Low Caps), which were trampled in December, show the fastest growth (+30-50%).
🎯 Strategy:
Right now, when there's fear and sell-offs in the market — it's the best time for "fishing".
Look for fundamentally strong projects that dropped without bad news.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL

💎 Has Ethereum awakened? Why smart money is returning to "Vitalik's House"
While the market has been booming all year with Solana and meme coins, the good old Ethereum quietly stood in the corner. It was called slow, expensive, and boring.
But something interesting is happening on the charts.
Why are Smart Money turning towards ETH? 👇
1️⃣ The "Overheated Solana" Effect 🔥
Solana has given crazy x's. Big players never buy at the highs. They take profits where it's hot and move it to where the asset is undervalued.
Right now, ETH looks like an asset discounted by 50% relative to its true value.
2️⃣ L2 killed the fees 💸
The myth of "expensive ether" is dead. The Base and Arbitrum (L2) networks have reduced fees to almost zero. Users get the security of Ethereum at the price of Solana. The ecosystem has become usable for the masses again.
3️⃣ Betting on reliability (Yield) 🏦
In unstable times, capital seeks guarantees. Staking ETH provides a stable annual percentage in the "hard currency" of the internet. This is a magnet for institutional money that needs predictable Cash Flow.
📊 ETH/BTC Indicator
The Ethereum to Bitcoin chart shows signs of life. Historically, when this chart bounces off the bottom — a real Altseason begins.
$ETH
$SOL
$ARB

🥂 The market is growing while everyone drinks champagne? The secret of Wall Street reports 🪟
Have you noticed strange movements on the charts? There is no news, volumes are low, and $BTC , $ETH and $SOL are confidently creeping up.
This is not insider trading and not magic. This is an old stock market trick that now works in crypto as well.
What is happening? (Window Dressing Effect)
There are 2 days left until the end of the year. Hedge funds and asset managers are preparing final annual reports for their clients.
To look like "geniuses" on paper, they do Window Dressing:
1️⃣ Buy winners 🏆
Managers urgently buy up assets that have shown the best growth over the year (Bitcoin, Solana).
Goal: So that in the report on December 31, the client sees these coins in the portfolio and thinks: "Oh, my fund holds market leaders, they know what they are doing".
2️⃣ Hide losers 🗑
Assets that have fallen all year are quietly sold off so they do not spoil the beautiful picture of reporting.
Why is this important in 2025?
Previously, this only applied to stocks. But with the advent of ETFs for Bitcoin and Ether, crypto has become part of large portfolios. Now we play by Wall Street's rules.
🧐 Conclusion:
The current growth is a "cosmetic repair" of reports, not a fundamental change in trend.
$BTC
$SOL
$ETH

⚛️ Cosmos ($ATOM ): Why technology wins, but the token loses?
The Cosmos infrastructure is a foundation for giants (dYdX, Celestia). But why are the price of ATOM and activity in the Hub declining?
4 main problems:
1. Free SDK 🛠️: Developers take Cosmos tools, build their networks, but are not required to use the $ATOM token. Value is not accumulated in the Hub.
2. Fragmentation 🧩: Each application is a separate blockchain. This is more complicated for the user than the unified ecosystem of Solana or Base.
3. Governance wars 🏛️: The split in the community and lack of a unified development vector deter investors.
4. L2 onslaught ⚡: Layer 2 on Ethereum (Optimism, Arbitrum) have taken the niche of "fast and cheap" transactions, having more liquidity.
Conclusion: Without changing the economic model, ATOM remains a "donation" to developers, not an investment asset.
$ATOM $TIA $DYDX

🤖 No longer a "Chat-bot". AI agents are starting to control crypto 🧠

Forget about ChatGPT, which simply writes texts. Twitter and forums are currently exploding with a new topic — AI Agents (Autonomous Agents).
This is the next big narrative after DePIN and RWA.
What is the revolution?
Previously, we used AI as an assistant (give me a price, write code).
Now AI is becoming a subject of the economy.
1. The Agent has its own crypto wallet.
2. It has a goal (for example, "make money on arbitrage" or "buy undervalued NFTs").
3. It operates independently 24/7. It does not need your permission for transactions.
Why are insiders buzzing about this?
Because it changes the rules of the game. We are entering the era of Machine-to-Machine (M2M) Economy.
Networks are already being tested where one AI buys data from another AI, settling with stablecoins. Without people.
What to watch (Watchlist):
The market is looking for infrastructure for these robots.
• Bittensor ($TAO ): "Brains" for decentralized AI.
• Fetch.ai ($FET ): Veterans who built agents before it became mainstream.
• Olas ($OLAS): A platform where agents own services.
Opinion:
In 2026, your main competitor in trading will not be another trader from Wall Street, but autonomous code that knows no fear or fatigue. Are you ready for this?
$FET $TAO

🚨 AAVE: It's not about the settings. It's about the code update 🛠

Enough of listening to gossip about "whales" and "insiders". The chart dropped due to a specific technical update that changed the economy of the protocol "under the hood".
What actually happened? 👇
1️⃣ Update of the Swap Adapter (Frontend Update) 🔄
Developers rolled out an interface update, replacing the old mechanism (ParaSwap) with a new one (CoW Swap).
This was presented as "UX improvement", but there was one critical detail in the code.
2️⃣ Change in Fee Routing (The "Fee Switch" in Code) 💸
In the new code, fee streams (Swap Fees) were technically redirected.
Previously, this money went to the DAO Treasury (i.e., it worked for the value of the AAVE token).
After the update, the code started sending these funds (~$10 million/year) to the Aave Labs wallet.
3️⃣ Market Reaction to the Code 📉
Investors know how to read smart contracts. As soon as it became clear that the update technically cut off a portion of income from holders, the market instantly re-evaluated the asset.
This is not panic, it's math: Less cash flow into the token = Lower price.
Conclusion:
The reason for the drop is not emotions, but the deployment of an update that changed the financial logic of the protocol not in favor of the holders.
$AAVE

💸 The money printer has started: Why is the M2 chart more important than the news? 🌏
Forget about minor news. The only chart that matters for the crypto market right now is Global M2. And it has just hit an all-time high. 📈
What does this mean in simple terms? 👇
1️⃣ Global easing (Quantitative Easing) 🌊
Central banks around the world (China, Europe, and soon the USA) have begun lowering rates and injecting liquidity into the economy to avoid recession. There is more money in the system.
2️⃣ Where does the excess capital flow? 💧
History shows a direct correlation: when the money supply (M2) increases, investors seek protection from inflation (devaluation of fiat). Previously, this was gold and real estate. In 2025, it will be Bitcoin and Tech stocks.
3️⃣ Bitcoin as a "Liquidity Sponge" 🧽
Crypto assets respond to increased liquidity the fastest. We see how "fresh" money starts flowing into risky assets even before the real economy feels it.
🧐 Conclusion:
We are entering the "Reflation" phase. While everyone looks at local corrections, the global macro trend is filling the sails of crypto. Do not go against liquidity.
$ETH

$BTC
$BNB

⚡️ "Old Guard" strikes back: Why has DASH woken up right now? 🦕🚀
While newcomers are searching for the "Bitcoin killer" among memes, experienced players have turned their attention to forgotten giants.
Dash shows confident growth. Coincidence? I don’t think so.
Here are 3 reasons why liquidity is flowing into old coins right now:
1️⃣ The "Dino Coins" Effect (Capital Rotation) 🔄
The market is cyclical. After the frenzy of hype on new technologies (AI, L2), profits are often realized and poured into assets that have "survived the winter".
Dash, Litecoin, ETC — these are coins that have been in the market for years. They appear fundamentally undervalued compared to "inflated" newcomers.
2️⃣ Demand for Privacy (Privacy Narrative)
We just discussed taxes and regulation in the USA (#USCryptoStakingTaxReview ).
As soon as the state starts to "tighten the screws", interest in anonymous (or semi-anonymous) transactions instantly rises. The PrivateSend feature in Dash becomes not just a gimmick, but a necessity for many.
3️⃣ Real Use (Payments)
Unlike many "air" projects, Dash is actually used as money (especially in high-inflation countries). The speed of transactions (InstantSend) there is higher than Bitcoin's, and fees are negligible.
$DASH
$LTC