CryptoFrontNews

Bitcoin long-term holder supply has fallen by 300,000 BTC since August, with its 30-day average change reaching minus 195,000 BTC.
BTC trades near $80,535 as RSI remains below 50 and MACD stays negative, reflecting weak momentum and continued selling pressure.
Bitcoin faces support at $80,000 and $79,000, while reclaiming $82,000 could open a recovery toward 83,000–84,000.
Bitcoin is approaching $80,000 as long-term holders reduce their holdings, adding selling pressure to an already weakening market. Analyst Darkfost reported that long-term holder supply has fallen by 300,000 BTC since August, while its 30-day average change stands at minus 195,000 BTC. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s four-hour chart shows repeated resistance rejections and weak momentum.
Long-Term Holder Supply Declines Despite Earlier Growth
Darkfost said approximately 15.6 million BTC currently belong to long-term holders, defined as investors holding coins for more than 155 days. In December 2025, this group held around 14 million BTC, meaning another 1.6 million BTC have since entered the category.
However, long-term holder supply has declined by 300,000 BTC since August as Bitcoin rebounded. Darkfost said these holders generally sell less readily than short-term holders, but recent outflows indicate some have taken profits.
The 30-day average supply change now stands at minus 195,000 BTC. This means long-term holders are selling more Bitcoin than the amount entering their cohort through the 155-day holding threshold.
Bitcoin Price Slides Toward $80,000 Support
Bitcoin traded between $83,000 and $86,000 in late September, briefly approaching $87,000. However, selling intensified around October 6–9, pushing BTC toward $81,000. A recovery toward $84,000 between October 19 and 21 failed to hold.
By October 25, Bitcoin approached $80,000, with a sharp wick briefly extending below $79,000 before prices recovered modestly. The latest four-hour candle showed BTC at $80,535.56, down 0.51%. It opened at $80,805.42, reached $80,900.51 and dropped to $80,404.82.
Technical Indicators Show Weak Momentum
Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index is at 41.79, above its 40.21 moving average but below the neutral 50 threshold. This indicates weak momentum despite a possible short-term recovery attempt.
Source: TradingView
The MACD line remains at minus 479.10, below the signal line at minus 420.24. Its histogram reads minus 58.86, reflecting continued downward momentum.
Immediate support is around $80,000, followed by $79,000. A break below those levels could expose further downside, while reclaiming $82,000 could open a recovery toward 83,000–84,000.

Analyst warns ADA could fall 20% toward $0.166 if $0.220 resistance holds following a breakdown below its rising price channel.
Cardano’s RSI sits at 34.77 and MACD remains negative, signaling continued selling pressure as ADA trades near $0.2056.
Germany’s DZ BANK includes Cardano alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin on meinKrypto, subject to participating banks’ adoption decisions.
Cardano faces a potential 20% decline toward $0.166 after analyst Ali Charts reported a breakdown below its rising price channel. ADA also continues to trade near $0.20, with bearish momentum appearing across its four-hour chart. Meanwhile, Germany’s DZ BANK has included Cardano among four cryptocurrencies available through its meinKrypto platform.
Ali Charts Identifies $0.220 as Resistance
Ali Charts said ADA traded inside a rising parallel channel from late June, climbing from $0.138 to $0.282. However, the token has now fallen below the channel’s lower boundary, raising the possibility of a deeper correction.
The analyst identified $0.220 as the level that could limit recovery attempts. If that price continues to act as resistance, ADA could decline approximately 20% toward $0.166.
Recent price action supports the reported weakness. ADA previously traded around 0.24–0.26 before reaching approximately $0.28 around October 6. It then fell below $0.25, $0.24 and $0.23, forming lower highs and lower lows.
A recovery toward $0.23 around October 21 failed, and renewed selling pushed the price toward $0.20. The latest four-hour candle closed at $0.2056, down 1.15%, with volume reaching 4.44 million ADA.
RSI and MACD Show Continued Selling Pressure
ADA’s Relative Strength Index is at 34.77, below its moving average of 37.40. The reading places momentum near the oversold threshold of 30, although it has not crossed that level.
Source: TradingView
The MACD line is at -0.0038, below its -0.0033 signal line. Its histogram reads -0.0005, indicating continued downside momentum. Immediate support lies between $0.2040 and $0.2000, while resistance stands around 0.22–0.23. A recovery above $0.21 could provide initial relief.
DZ BANK Adds Cardano to Its Crypto Offering
Separately, DZ BANK’s meinKrypto platform selected ADA alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin for its initial offering. The MiCA-authorized service integrates cryptocurrency trading and custody into the VR Banking App.
https://twitter.com/gandreou007/status/2113963717742203371?s=20
Participating cooperative banks can offer the service through existing banking infrastructure. However, each bank must decide whether to adopt it and complete the required regulatory notification.

ONDO trades near $0.433 after losing ground, with the $0.435 level acting as a short-term barrier for buyers seeking a recovery.
Exchange flows show sharp inflows and outflows during recent rallies, leaving ONDO’s market direction uncertain as price retreats from its peak.
The $0.39–$0.33 re-entry zone remains important, while a higher-timeframe close below $0.32 would invalidate the stated setup.
ONDO price action continues to be bearish as it bounced off of a high without sustaining it, with traders trading off nearby support and resistance levels.
ONDO Retreats After an Uneven Intraday Recovery
ONDO as of the time of writing, traded at around $0.4330 in the latest 24-hour snapshot, down 0.9%. The chart shows an evening sell-off followed by a gradual overnight recovery. However, sellers returned near midday, pushing the token below $0.435 again.
Price initially moved between $0.437 and $0.439 before weakening through the afternoon. Selling accelerated around 8 p.m., sending ONDO toward $0.423–$0.424. That range marked the lowest visible area during the session.
Buyers later lifted the price toward $0.430 before another series of small swings. Early on October 23, ONDO climbed above $0.435 and approached $0.439. The recovery then faded, leaving the price near $0.433.
The market data shows a capitalization of roughly $2.1 billion and daily volume near $120.7 million. Reported volume fell 19.89%, alongside the daily price decline. Lower turnover indicates quieter trading, but it does not establish what comes next.
Exchange Flows Show Heavy Activity
The spot-flow chart records sharp changes in exchange transfers across the year. Green bars represent net inflows, while red bars show net outflows. The orange line tracks ONDO’s price against those movements.
Source: Coinglass
Activity increased sharply in May, when a green bar approached $9 million. ONDO also rose from roughly $0.30 toward $0.40 during that period. Large red bars followed, showing that transfers continued in both directions.
Trading flows stayed uneven through the summer, with occasional spikes interrupting quieter stretches. In late September, ONDO climbed toward $0.60 as another large inflow appeared. Several substantial outflows followed, and the price retreated from its peak.
The exchange treemaps show Upbit leading the displayed figures, with Binance and Bybit also recording notable totals. However, the image does not clearly establish the right treemap’s metric or measurement period. Exchange transfers alone cannot confirm whether investors are buying, selling, or moving tokens for other reasons.
Key Price Levels Remain in Focus
Crypto Patel’s longer-term plan identifies $0.39–$0.33 as a possible re-entry zone. The stated risk boundary is a higher-timeframe candle close below $0.32. These levels describe the proposed trading setup, not guaranteed entry or exit prices.
Source: X
The chart also marks approximately $0.53 as an early bullish threshold. A sustained move above that area would strengthen the recovery attempt. Until then, ONDO remains below the resistance needed to support the projected advance.
The longer-term targets stand at $1, $1.60, $3 and $5. Crypto Patel says the earlier $0.20–$0.24 accumulation zone produced about 175% profit. Reaching the higher targets would require several advances through resistance, rather than one uninterrupted rally.
In the shorter term, $0.435 is the immediate level to reclaim. The session low around $0.423–$0.424 remains a reference if selling resumes. A move toward $0.438–$0.440 would show buyers regaining ground, though it would not confirm a lasting trend change.
ONDO’s next direction depends on whether buyers can hold support and recover nearby resistance. Falling volume and the retreat from recent highs leave the current rebound unconfirmed. The stated long-term targets remain projections, while price action around the nearer levels will provide the next useful evidence.

Arf and Ripple plan to use RLUSD on XRPL to provide short-term settlement liquidity for licensed cross-border payment companies.
Arf reports approximately $10 billion in annual settlement volume, with liquidity typically repaid within one to five days.
Future integration with XRPL’s native Lending Protocol depends on approval of amendments XLS-65 and XLS-66 before mainnet activation.
Arf and Ripple are partnering to provide RLUSD-powered settlement liquidity to licensed cross-border payment companies on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). The arrangement will provide short-term working capital while international payments settle, addressing funding needs across markets. Arf reports about $10 billion in annual settlement volume, with capital turning over four times monthly.
https://twitter.com/Ripple/status/2113260588574843090?s=20
Arf Uses RLUSD to Support Payment Settlement
Payment companies often need working capital available across multiple markets to pre-fund transfers while awaiting settlement. However, traditional bank credit lines can take months to establish and typically require substantial collateral.
Arf and Ripple plan to use RLUSD, Ripple’s dollar-backed stablecoin, to provide short-duration liquidity on XRPL. According to Arf co-founder and CEO Ali Erhat Nalbant, the company’s model helps payment firms access capital while funds remain in transit.
Arf launched in November 2022 and has since reached approximately $10 billion in annual global settlement volume. The Zug, Switzerland-based company is a regulated financial institution and member of VQF. Its settlement liquidity typically repays within one to five days, allowing capital to support repeated payment flows.
XRPL Lending Protocol Could Expand the Arrangement
In the partnership’s first phase, Arf will provide direct RLUSD settlement liquidity on XRPL. However, the companies also plan to use the ledger’s native lending infrastructure when it becomes available.
The proposed system includes Single Asset Vaults for pooling and managing capital onchain. The Lending Protocol would allow that capital to support structured loans. Arf would continue handling underwriting and working capital decisions offchain.
Arf has already developed an implementation using the proposed protocol. However, the relevant amendments, XLS-65 and XLS-66, must pass XRPL’s amendment process before activation on mainnet.
RLUSD and XRP Have Different Roles
RippleX Head of Product Jasmine Cooper said XRPL offers settlement infrastructure, while RLUSD provides a dollar-denominated asset for working capital. RLUSD would support loan disbursements and repayments.
Meanwhile, XRP pays network transaction fees, and accounts and certain ledger objects require XRP reserves. Payment companies would not need to operate directly onchain. Arf supports treasury management between fiat currencies and stablecoins through bank accounts in major financial hubs.
Arf will continue advising on the Single Asset Vault and Lending Protocol specifications before any planned transition to the native infrastructure.

NEAR holds $244 million in total value locked versus ICP’s $12 million, while Confidential Intents accounts for $171 million, according to the report.
ICP founder Dom criticized NEAR’s confidentiality model and raised concerns about vetKeys, though the allegations remain disputed.
NEAR retreated toward support after failing to sustain October rallies, with 29%–30% marking support and 45%–50% remaining resistance.
NEAR holds $244 million in chain total value locked, compared with ICP’s $12 million, as debate over privacy technology intensifies. Our Crypto Talk highlighted the gap alongside criticism from ICP founder Dom, who challenged NEAR’s Confidential Intents and raised concerns about vetKeys. Meanwhile, NEAR’s chart shows weakening momentum after a correction from its October highs.
Dom Questions NEAR’s Confidentiality Model
According to Our Crypto Talk, Dom shared an engineer’s review describing Confidential Intents as a permissioned system with trusted operators, no public code, and no public operator list. He later called the project “snake oil” and raised the possibility of legal action over vetKeys, though these remain allegations.
The criticism centers on NEAR’s trust model, including a private shard, a limited group of permissioned validators, and a trusted execution environment bridge. Our Crypto Talk said these components do not constitute threshold cryptography.
However, the commentary described disclosure as a weaker criticism because NEAR publicly outlined its permissioned shard and TEE bridge when launching in February. It also noted that ICP documentation says node operators can read standard subnet state.
NEAR Leads ICP in Locked Value and Performance
Confidential Intents holds $171 million, according to Our Crypto Talk, representing a 6.4-fold increase since June. The source noted that incentives contributed to part of that growth, while ICP’s entire ecosystem holds approximately $12 million.
The comparison also showed NEAR down 76% from its all-time high, against ICP’s 99.7% decline. Since February, NEAR has gained 4.3 times, while ICP has remained roughly flat. Their market-cap-to-TVL ratios stand at approximately 25 times for NEAR and 100 times for ICP.
NEAR Chart Shows Selling Pressure Near Support
On the four-hour chart, NEAR has retreated toward the 29%–30% cumulative-gain zone after failing to sustain rallies above 50%. Its latest candle closed at $4.570, down 0.04%, with trading volume at 209,500 NEAR.
Source: TradingView
Repeated recoveries failed to establish higher highs following an October 11–12 surge toward 68%–70%. Support is around 29%–30%, with the 20%–25% region below. A recovery toward 35%–40% could indicate improving buying interest, while 45%–50% remains resistance. ICP’s comparison line has fallen 6.46% below its starting baseline.

PEPE rose about 13% from October 17–22, but exchanges regained 2.11 trillion tokens, reversing over 40% of October 16 withdrawals.
PEPE retreated from $0.00000510 to $0.00000445 as RSI fell to 48.09 and MACD turned negative, signaling weaker momentum.
Analyst Giannis Andreou sees $0.00000500 as a breakout level, with $0.00000727 possible if resistance breaks and holds on a retest.
PEPE gained about 13% between October 17 and 22, but renewed exchange inflows and weakening technical momentum now challenge the rally. Santiment Intelligence reported that exchanges recovered more than 40% of the 4.77 trillion tokens withdrawn on October 16. Meanwhile, analyst Giannis Andreou identified a symmetrical triangle, as PEPE retreated from $0.00000510 toward immediate support.
Exchange Inflows Reverse Part of PEPE’s Supply Decline
Santiment reported that PEPE’s exchange supply fell by 4.77 trillion tokens on October 16, a 6% decline and its largest daily drop since at least October 2. The same day recorded 15 transfers exceeding $1 million and approximately $20 million in net exchange outflows.
Those outflows ran about eight times the October 11–15 average. Subsequently, PEPE rose around 13% from its October 17 close to its October 22 close, while Bitcoin and Ethereum finished roughly flat.
However, exchange supply increased by 2.11 trillion PEPE between October 19 and 22. Net inflows occurred on October 20, 21 and 22, reversing more than 40% of October 16’s withdrawals.
PEPE Price Rejection Weakens Short-Term Momentum
PEPE recently climbed from around 0.00000380–0.00000400, briefly breaking above $0.00000500 before facing resistance near $0.00000510. The four-hour chart shows a pullback to $0.00000445, with the latest candle declining 2.84%.
Source: TradingView
Trading volume reached 1.46 trillion PEPE amid elevated activity during the rally and subsequent sell-off. Immediate support sits at 0.00000440–0.00000445, followed by $0.00000420 and $0.00000400. Buyers would need to reclaim 0.00000460–0.00000470 to challenge the recent peak.
The Relative Strength Index is at 48.09, below its 58.15 moving average and the neutral 50 threshold. Meanwhile, the MACD line at 0.00000009 remains below its 0.00000011 signal line, with a negative histogram of -0.00000003.
Analyst Maps Triangle Breakout Levels
Andreou said PEPE is consolidating between falling resistance and rising support. A pullback toward $0.00000410 could precede a breakout attempt.
https://twitter.com/gandreou007/status/2113654178576728267?s=20
A daily close above descending resistance would put $0.00000500 in focus. If PEPE holds that trendline during a retest, $0.00000727 becomes the next target. However, a daily breakdown below rising support followed by a failed reclaim would weaken the setup.

Uniswap added 2,295 new UNI wallets in one day, its highest network growth since November 2022, according to Santiment.
Aggregator Hooks connect seven external liquidity sources across Ethereum, Base and Robinhood Chain, covering over 90% of DEX activity on those networks.
Analyst Giannis Andreou sees $40 as a potential UNI target if resistance levels from 6.50–7.20 through 25–30 are reclaimed.
Uniswap recorded 2,295 new UNI wallets in one day, its highest network growth since November 2022, according to Santiment Intelligence. The increase comes as Uniswap launches Aggregator Hooks across Ethereum mainnet, Base, and Robinhood Chain. Meanwhile, analyst Giannis Andreou outlined resistance levels that UNI must overcome for a potential recovery toward $40.
New Wallets Rise as Uniswap Expands Liquidity Routing
Santiment said network growth measures new addresses interacting with UNI for the first time. It identified $7 as the key downside level and $7.50 as the first meaningful recovery level to watch.
According to Santiment, holding $7 while wallet creation remains above its recent baseline could support another test of $8. However, losing $7 alongside declining wallet creation would suggest the increase reflected short-term activity rather than sustained adoption.
Uniswap also introduced Aggregator Hooks, which connect external liquidity sources to its v4 pools. The feature is available through the Uniswap Web App and API on Ethereum mainnet, Base, and Robinhood Chain.
Seven external sources were available at launch, covering more than 90% of decentralized exchange activity across those chains. Uniswap said its protocol has processed more than $4.5 trillion in swaps.
Aggregator Hooks Bring External Sources Into Uniswap v4
Each Aggregator Hook wraps an external liquidity source as a Uniswap v4 pool. Routers retrieve updated quotes every block, then select routes across Uniswap pools and connected external sources.
https://twitter.com/Uniswap/status/2113365305934131475?s=20
The resulting swap settles in one transaction without requiring additional approvals. External sources routed through Aggregator Hooks also pay protocol fees, which contribute to UNI burning.
Users can access the routing through the Uniswap Web App, while developers can integrate it through the API. The feature currently supports Ethereum mainnet, Base, and Robinhood Chain.
Analyst Maps UNI’s Potential Path Toward $40
Separately, Giannis Andreou said UNI has moved above a trendline connecting its 2021 and 2024 highs. He identified 6.50–7.20 as the range needed to maintain the recovery setup. Reclaiming 8–8.50 would bring 10–12 into focus, followed by 14–16 and 18–20.
https://twitter.com/gandreou007/status/2113337090503245964?s=20
A break above $20 could expose historical supply between $25 and $30, before a potential move toward 37–40. Andreou said the $40 scenario requires those resistance levels to become support. A weekly close below $6.50 followed by a failed reclaim would weaken the setup toward 5–5.50.

Bitcoin recorded over $21 billion in spent outputs linked to holdings above $1 million, with more than 230,000 BTC moving on-chain.
Ali Charts reports Bitcoin declines of 27%–72% across four previous U.S. midterm election cycles, though correlation does not prove causation.
Ali Charts identifies $73,000 as a key support level near short-term holders’ cost basis, with seller exhaustion and renewed demand worth watching.
Bitcoin recorded its largest on-chain movement of 2026, with more than $21 billion in spent outputs linked to holdings worth over $1 million, according to analyst Darkfost. Meanwhile, Ali Charts highlighted past Bitcoin declines around U.S. midterm elections, with the November 3 vote approaching. The analysts pointed to separate signals involving transfers, historical returns and potential downside levels.
Darkfost Tracks More Than 230,000 Bitcoin in Transfers
Darkfost reported that more than 230,000 BTC moved through spent unspent transaction outputs, or UTXOs, each worth over $1 million. Most of these outputs were between one and six months old, while another $4.6 billion came from long-term holders whose coins were aged between 12 months and three years.
However, Darkfost said the movement likely involved transfers between addresses because the coins did not appear to reach exchanges. The analyst noted that UTXOs spent and sent to exchanges showed no comparable spike. Depending on whether the transactions realize profits or losses, the movement could produce a rise in either metric.
Ali Charts Highlights Bitcoin’s Midterm Election Pattern
Ali Charts said Bitcoin declined during the four previous U.S. midterm election cycles, recording drops of 72% in 2010, 65% in 2014, 52% in 2018 and 27% in 2022. However, the analyst acknowledged that correlation does not establish election-related causation.
https://twitter.com/alicharts/status/2113545277747450014?s=20
Fourth-quarter returns also varied. Bitcoin gained 391% in 2010 but fell 16.70% in 2014, 42.16% in 2018 and 14.75% in 2022. Three of those four midterm years ended with negative fourth-quarter returns.
Analysts Focus on $73,000 as a Key Price Level
Ali Charts identified $73,000 as a level to watch if selling pressure increases after the November 3 election. That price approximates Bitcoin’s short-term holder cost basis, representing the average purchase price for relatively recent investors.
The analyst said Bitcoin has historically found support near this metric during established bull markets. Ali would watch for seller exhaustion and renewed demand before considering a long position.

Solana advocates clearer tests for validator control, while Hedera asks the SEC to include public but permissioned blockchains under its exemption.
Twenty-two of 62 companies on OKXICE’s original list had objected to tokenization as of Friday, including Wells Fargo, Arm Holdings and Intuit.
The SEC’s five-year exemption runs through September 17, 2031, with broader changes requiring Commission action and potential formal rulemaking.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s tokenization exemption is drawing questions over which blockchains can support tokenized stock trading. Comments from crypto groups, financial industry representatives and legal experts challenge the definition of “public and permissionless.” The debate comes as three firms prepare tokenized securities venues under the temporary framework introduced in September.
https://twitter.com/EleanorTerrett/status/2113745740204065146?s=20
Solana and Hedera Clash Over Blockchain Eligibility
The exemption requires tokenized securities venues to use auditable smart contracts deployed on public, permissionless blockchains. However, the SEC’s broad definition has prompted competing requests for clarification.
In a Thursday letter, the Solana Policy Institute urged the SEC to assess who controls validators, transaction approvals and network rules. Hedera, meanwhile, asked the regulator on October 9 to include public but permissioned networks, where approved entities validate transactions.
Columbia Business School’s Omid Malekan and securities lawyer Gabriel Shapiro warned that centralized operators could retain control while benefiting from the exemption. SIFMA also requested clarification and questioned whether issuers should have to opt out of tokenization. Better Markets called for the SEC to withdraw the exemption and pursue formal rulemaking.
SEC Reviews Comments as Stock Issuers Object
Three firms have notified the SEC of plans to operate tokenized securities venues. TSV LLC intends to use Canton Network, while OKXICE plans to use X Layer. Kephas Corp. intends to operate on Kronos X Public, an Ethereum-compatible Layer 2.
An SEC official told Crypto In America that firms can begin operating 30 days after filing notices, provided they meet the exemption’s conditions. The agency does not approve each blockchain before launch, and its staff may issue additional frequently asked questions. Broader changes would require Commission action.
Meanwhile, objections to tokenized shares are increasing. As of Friday, 22 of the 62 companies on OKXICE’s original list had objected. Reuters reported six additional objections, including Wells Fargo, Arm Holdings and Intuit.
The SEC’s temporary exemption runs for five years, through September 17, 2031. The agency says feedback could inform future formal rulemaking, while firms continue preparing their proposed trading venues.

A Solana record dated October 19, 2026, shows 14.25 million SPEPE tokens sent successfully to an abbreviated wallet address.
The available screenshots don't show a connection, but the transaction record for 17 October records 5.7 SOL received.
The displayed records confirm two completed transfers, but provide no token price, dollar valuation, or evidence of future SPEPE performance.
SPEPE transaction records show two successful transfers on Solana, involving different assets and dates. One records 14.25 million tokens sent, while another shows 5.7 SOL received.
SPEPE Transfers Appear in Two Transaction Records
Crypto Pump (@crypto_pump00) is promoting the crypto asset SPEPE, which promises to increase by 1,000 times, and they're saying that it's not too early to buy in. It advertises a 2.5 million SPEPE airdrop and the post shows that it bought 100 SOL as well as 0.5 SOL. The records accompanying this document list transfers completed; they're not proof of those promotional claims.
Source: X
The first screen shows a successful transfer from 19 October 2026. It shows 14,250,000 SPEPE sent to an abbreviated address ending in 9TH2. The transaction is marked successful on the Solana network.
The second screenshot shows a separate transaction dated October 17, 2026. It records 5.7 SOL received from an address ending in 9TH2. This transaction also carries a successful status on Solana.
The records show different assets moving on separate dates. The SOL receipt preceded the SPEPE transfer by approximately two days. But if the address is only being used once, it doesn't prove that both transactions came from the same wallet.
Promotional Claims Remain Separate From Recorded Activity
The minimum and maximum purchase amount is indicated as 0.5 SOL and 100 SOL, respectively. It also contains a Solana address and the minimum purchase amount is repeated. Neither screenshot confirms that these purchase terms were fulfilled.
The advertised airdrop involves 2.5 million SPEPE tokens. The post describes the offer as active and instructs users to follow @baby_solanaX. The transaction records contain no details confirming the giveaway’s eligibility rules or distribution.
The 1,000x return is a forecast and not a real percentage. There is no price chart or trading history shown on either of the screenshots, nor are there any realized gains. The available information therefore cannot establish whether SPEPE has risen or will reach that target.
The transfer records also provide no direct evidence that the movements originated from the promotion.They are not aware of a purchase, sale or airdrop distribution. To make such a connection would involve looking into the full details of the transaction.
Token Quantities Do Not Reveal Monetary Value
The recorded 14.25 million SPEPE represents the number of tokens transferred. Its monetary value depends on the token’s price at the transaction time. No historical price or dollar valuation appears in the supplied image.
The 5.7 SOL receipt does not specify the use of these SOLs. There is no depiction in the screenshot if the money was transferred from a trade or another wallet. It also provides no information about any associated purchase cost.
Both screenshots omit broader market data, including trading volume and liquidity. They also provide no market capitalization or information about SPEPE’s circulating supply. These omissions prevent a meaningful assessment of the token’s market position from these records alone.
A full audit of all the transaction signatures may provide further information about the transfers. The blockchain explorer in Solana can show all transactions and related token accounts. Such information may clarify the movement of assets, although wallet ownership may remain unknown.
The available records confirm two successful Solana transfers: 14.25 million SPEPE sent and 5.7 SOL received. They do not establish a direct link between the transactions or verify the advertised return. The screenshots document asset movements, not SPEPE’s future price performance.

Stellar and five other blockchain groups ask the SEC to write the digital commodity definition directly into proposed federal regulations.
The filing seeks to separate a crypto asset’s status from investment contracts used to sell it, preserving distinct legal tests.
The SEC has yet to adopt the requested wording, leaving the coalition’s proposed changes subject to the rulemaking process.
XLM features in a joint filing seeking clearer digital commodity definitions in federal crypto rules. The organizations want the SEC to distinguish token status from investment-contract sales.
Stellar Joins Five Blockchain Groups in SEC Filing
Diana (@InvestWithD) reports that the Stellar Development Foundation has asked the SEC to clarify digital commodity rules. The filing also carries support from Hedera, Aptos Labs, Ava Labs, the Cardano Foundation, and Chainlink Labs. Their letter responds to the SEC’s proposed Regulation Crypto Assets framework.
https://twitter.com/InvestWithD/status/2112935553121632269?s=20
The first image shows the submission addressed to SEC Secretary Vanessa A. Countryman. It urges the commission to make the digital commodity definition a part of the regulatory text. Groups say participants should have unambiguous text that they can refer to in the rules.
The letter defines Layer 1 networks as "applications, transactions, staking, mining, governance infrastructure. These systems are maintained by the network participants and developed by them. The signatories seek rules that account for how these networks operate.
The filing does not announce a new SEC decision on Stellar or XLM. Instead, it requests changes to a proposed regulatory framework. The commission must consider the comments before finalizing the relevant provisions.
Filing Separates Token Status From Investment Contracts
The second image focuses on Question 131 and proposed Rule 400. The highlighted passage concerns digital commodities sold through investment contracts. The groups want the rules to distinguish the asset from the transaction used to sell it.
Under this approach, a crypto asset would not automatically become a security simply because it appears in an investment contract. However, the particular offering or transaction could still fall under securities laws. The letter asks the SEC to state this distinction directly in the regulation.
Diana’s post says the SEC named XLM, XRP, LINK, HBAR, and other assets as digital commodities in March. The filing seeks to carry that treatment into the actual rule text. It does not mean every transaction involving these tokens falls outside securities regulation.
The submission also addresses secondary-market transactions and the proposed safe harbor. The text questions whether the draft adequately explains the safe harbor’s voluntary nature. These requests concern how the rules would work in practice, beyond the definition itself.
SEC Rulemaking Will Decide Whether Wording Changes
For XLM, the request concerns how regulators describe the token under the proposed framework. It does not settle every legal question involving Stellar-related transactions. The circumstances of a particular offering may still determine which laws apply.
The filing brings together organizations from several blockchain ecosystems. There are different networks and applications for each of these stars: Stellar, Hedera, Aptos, Avalanche, Cardano and Chainlink. They've shared concerns in their joint letter regarding classification and token sales.
The requested language might provide developers and market participants a better reference point. But a submitted comment does not guarantee SEC adoption or binding. Finally, the proposed wording is subject to change or elimination by final regulation.
No XLM price information, trading volume or technical indicators are included in the images. They can therefore not be used to form opinions on short-term market movements. The documented development is a regulatory change and not a change in the condition of trading.
Now the ball is in the SEC's court, with regards to the proposed rules and public feedback. If the commission adopts the language requested, the final language would clarify the difference desired by the signatories. The filing is not yet a final rule of the Federal Regulations but a request.

ARB may have peaked in September, but a three-wave pullback could leave the door open for another upward move.
The $0.093 support level remains central to More Crypto Online’s outlook, with a break weakening the bullish wave setup.
ARB fell to $0.1893 during the displayed session, losing 4.46% as trading volume rose by approximately 54.62%.
ARB’s outlook depends on whether the ongoing pullback remains corrective and holds above the support level identified in the larger chart.
September Rally Gives Way to a Possible Correction
More Crypto Online said ARB may have formed a local top in September. The analyst expects the correction could continue before another advance takes shape. The next move depends on how price behaves during the decline.
Source: X
ARB climbed from its August lows and rallied sharply into September. The chart places the larger resistance zone between roughly $0.2095 and $0.4128. Price retreated after approaching this area, raising the possibility that the rally had reached a temporary peak.
The analyst’s wave count leaves room for a one-two setup. This setup sees a big move up, followed by a move down prior to a subsequent big move up. This reading is still valid when the correction takes the form of a 3-wave decline.
Price action does not confirm the pattern. A three-wave pullback would be a good corrective move, but a more significant breakdown may be in question. The difference is important as it could either set the stage for a further rally or signal a more significant trend reversal.
Why $0.093 Matters to the Wave Count
More Crypto Online identifies $0.093 as the level that must hold for the proposed bullish setup to remain valid. Staying above this threshold would keep the possible one-two structure in play. If it breaks below it, that will require a different interpretation of the chart.
The projection marks several possible retracement areas near $0.1575, $0.1351, $0.1158, and $0.0931. The levels provide traders with reference points during the pullback process. None guarantees a rebound, and price may move through more than one zone.
A move lower would not invalidate the bull market scenario. The important questions are: Does the buyer defend the support and does the fall have the corrective shape? A rebound that forms a higher low would strengthen the case for another advance.
If ARB falls below $0.093, the current wave count would lose support. Such a move could signal a deeper correction than expected. Traders would have to re-evaluate the structure rather than the previous bullish one.
Intraday Selling Adds a Near-Term Concern
A separate intraday chart showed ARB at $0.1893, down 4.46% over 24 hours. The token had climbed toward $0.202 during the evening before turning lower. Its subsequent fall toward $0.189 showed that sellers had taken control of the session.
Source: Coinmarketcap
Trading volume rose by approximately 54.62% over the same period. Higher volume during a price decline points to increased market activity as ARB weakened. The figure alone, however, cannot confirm whether the selling will continue.
Earlier rebounds failed to hold their gains. ARB returned toward $0.198 during the afternoon, then moved above $0.200 before retreating. The final slide through $0.197, $0.195, and $0.192 showed how quickly the recovery faded.
The first rebound would have to occur in the vicinity of the $0.189 area. Moving above $0.192 could bring $0.195 and $0.198 back into view. The recovery of $0.198 would provide a better indication that selling pressure had abated.
Both charts are different time frames and should not be considered as the same setup. The intraday chart indicates weakness in recent days with the larger wave count depending on support around $0.093. For now, More Crypto Online’s recovery scenario remains possible, but it depends on the correction’s shape and the level holding.

The ABA opposes the OCC’s decision to review third-party stablecoin rewards case by case, citing potential deposit flight and reduced bank lending.
The OCC grants stablecoin issuers more reserve flexibility while retaining one-to-one backing, liquidity safeguards and redemption reporting requirements.
The final GENIUS Act rule takes effect January 18, 2027, while anti-money laundering and sanctions compliance proposals remain pending.
The American Bankers Association (ABA) has criticized the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) for dropping proposed restrictions on stablecoin rewards. The regulator’s final GENIUS Act rule leaves third-party reward programs subject to case-by-case review. ABA CEO Rob Nichols warned that addressing deposit flight after it occurs is the wrong approach.
https://twitter.com/EleanorTerrett/status/2112946156967759939?s=20
OCC Leaves Stablecoin Rewards Under Case-by-Case Review
The OCC removed a proposal that would have presumed certain arrangements between stablecoin issuers and third parties violated the GENIUS Act. The law prohibits issuers from paying interest or yield directly to stablecoin holders, but does not explicitly ban exchanges from offering rewards.
Banking groups have urged regulators to close this gap, arguing that stablecoin rewards could draw deposits away from traditional banks and reduce lending capacity. However, the OCC will assess individual arrangements and pursue violations or attempts to evade the law.
An OCC official told reporters the agency would let the market develop and respond as issues arise. The regulator also declined to confirm whether existing exchange reward programs comply with the final rule.
Final Rule Gives Stablecoin Issuers More Reserve Flexibility
Beyond rewards, the final rule relaxes several proposed limits on reserve management. The OCC removed a proposed 20-day weighted-average maturity limit, allowing issuers greater flexibility with eligible investments, including longer-dated U.S. Treasuries.
Issuers can also withdraw surplus reserves at any time, provided they maintain sufficient backing for outstanding stablecoins. Additionally, the OCC eased some counterparty limits while retaining risk safeguards.
For redemptions, issuers must notify the OCC within 24 hours if requests exceed 10% of a stablecoin’s outstanding value during a 24-hour period. The final rule retains one-to-one reserve backing, liquidity requirements and stress-testing obligations.
OCC Sets January 2027 Effective Date
Comptroller Jonathan Gould said the rules provide standards for reserve backing, redemptions and risk management. The framework covers eligible issuers, certain bank subsidiaries, nonbank financial companies and qualifying foreign issuers under OCC jurisdiction.
The final rule takes effect January 18, 2027. However, the OCC has not announced when it will begin accepting applications from prospective stablecoin issuers. Meanwhile, anti-money laundering and sanctions compliance rules remain pending.
The OCC and Treasury Department are preparing a separate proposal. The dispute over stablecoin rewards also remains unresolved in negotiations over the CLARITY Act.

Ripple and BCG estimate digital asset custody could improve financial results by up to $100 million for banks holding 200B–300B in assets.
Institutional custody now covers more than 30% of digital assets outside centralized exchanges, with governance and interoperability gaining importance.
Banks are exploring self-custody, Wallet-as-a-Service and multi-custodian models to support tokenization, stablecoins, payments and collateral management.
Ripple and Boston Consulting Group (BCG) say digital asset custody is moving beyond secure storage as financial institutions expand blockchain-based services. Their latest report examines how governance, network connections and financial system integration shape custody decisions. BCG estimates a regional bank with $200 billion to $300 billion in assets could improve its financial results by up to $100 million.
https://twitter.com/Ripple/status/2113041683273183251?s=20
Security Is No Longer the Only Custody Priority
According to BCG, institutional custody now holds more than 30% of digital assets outside centralized exchanges. However, security and private key management have become basic requirements as regulation develops in Europe and the United States.
The report identifies governance controls, interoperability and integration with existing financial systems as growing priorities. It also highlights how increasing bot and artificial intelligence activity makes approval procedures important alongside cryptographic security.
Consequently, institutions are assessing custody based on how securely they can control, transfer and use assets across financial operations. The report draws on contributions from more than 20 financial institution leaders.
Banks and Fintechs Consider Different Custody Models
BCG describes several approaches to custody, depending on institutional needs. Wallet-as-a-Service is gaining traction among retail-focused and payments fintechs, while large banks increasingly license self-custody technology.
Another approach combines custody, settlement assets, payment systems, treasury and execution through one provider. Institutions can also use multiple custodians through a shared orchestration layer, helping manage assets across different networks.
The report says custody supports tokenization, stablecoin issuance, payments, treasury, lending and collateral management. These applications expand its role beyond asset storage and risk control.
Ripple and BCG Link Custody to Financial Returns
BCG estimates that combining digital asset applications with suitable custody decisions could generate up to $100 million in improved financial results for a regional bank with a $200 billion to $300 billion balance sheet.
The report also expects the custody market to consolidate around providers that integrate services, connect networks or offer modular infrastructure. Meanwhile, Ripple provides custody technology alongside stablecoins, payments, treasury management, liquidity and trade execution.
Ripple commissioned BCG to produce the report, Beyond Safekeeping: Custody as the Operating Layer Beneath Digital Finance. The research examines how institutions can select custody models based on their digital asset strategies.

Japan is also reportedly putting SHIB on its Green List, alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum under a pre-approved category.
The reported designation may simplify exchange listing procedures, while broader access and stronger liquidity still depend on market participation.
SHIB’s Japanese exchange presence could support further adoption, but regulatory recognition alone does not guarantee demand or price growth.
Japan’s Green List Brings SHIB Into Focus
SHIB has gained renewed attention after reports linked Shiba Inu to Japan’s Green List for eligible crypto assets. The reported addition places the token alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum within Japan’s pre-approved exchange listing framework. The development could broaden access, although its practical benefits depend on applicable rules.
A post from BSCN Decoded reported the association’s decision and described SHIB’s existing Japanese exchange presence. According to the post, qualifying assets needed listings on at least three registered domestic exchanges. It also stated that Shiba Inu already traded on eight venues before the announcement.
The figures suggest that SHIB had established a trading presence in Japan before this reported milestone. Inclusion could help eligible exchanges assess listing requirements under the relevant framework. However, the designation does not automatically establish identical treatment across every trading platform.
The news was amplified by $SHIB Bezos, who described the development as bullish. The post compared SHIB’s standing with Bitcoin and Ethereum and cited multiple regulated venues. Its claims frame the announcement as progress toward broader recognition within Japan’s crypto market.
Source: X
Exchange Access and Liquidity Remain Central
The reported designation places exchange accessibility at the center of SHIB’s latest market narrative. A clearer listing pathway could make it easier for eligible platforms to support the token. That possibility may increase trading options for customers in Japan.
But the more widely available doesn't necessarily lead to higher demand. Trading activity is driven by customer interest, market conditions, and the liquidity of the individual platforms. Just because the event gets exchanged doesn't mean it will sell more following the event.
Multiple trading venues are not the only thing that is required for liquidity. Order books with greater depth and spreads can facilitate trade. For the improvement of SHIB's Japan markets, actual market data would be required.
The listing status also needs to be distinguished from trading without restriction. Regulatory requirements may still apply in case of a pre-approved framework. Therefore, the claim that SHIB faces no restrictions needs further clarification.
SHIB’s Market Outlook Depends on Wider Adoption
The comparison with Bitcoin and Ethereum offers a useful view of the announcement’s significance. The three assets can be listed together but the market status of each one is different. SHIB is still very much tied to meme-coin trading and community interest.
The difference is important if you are considering if regulatory recognition is likely to facilitate adoption over time. More access to the exchange could lead to more eligible people being introduced to the token. Consistent growth though would need evidence of ongoing participation, not a blink-and-a-breathe momentary reaction.
Investors can follow exchange updates to understand the impact on the availability of SHIB. Volume, order book statistics, and spreads might indicate the volume of market activity. These are indicators that are more direct or concrete than promotional descriptions of the announcement.
The price performance will also be influenced by the overall market conditions of cryptocurrencies. Regulatory changes do not necessarily impact on the speculation of assets as investor sentiment changes. Consequently, a positive listing update cannot guarantee an upward price trend.
For now, Japan’s reported Green List addition gives SHIB a new regulatory development to track. Its importance will depend on how exchanges apply the framework and whether participation expands. Confirmed details and measurable market activity will help establish the development’s longer-term value.

TSV LLC, OKXICE and Kephas Corp. plan blockchain-based stock trading venues, but none has begun trading under the SEC exemption.
The SEC requires firms to publish detailed notices 30 days before launch, with additional conditions for trading third-party tokenized stocks.
The five-year exemption runs through September 17, 2031, with a 0.25% average daily volume limit and a 75-symbol cap.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has named three firms planning tokenized securities trading venues under its September innovation exemption. TSV LLC, OKXICE and Kephas Corp. notified the agency of their intentions, but none has begun trading. The SEC stressed that appearing on its list does not confirm compliance with the exemption’s requirements.
https://twitter.com/EleanorTerrett/status/2112972022817214761?s=20
Three Firms Plan Different Blockchain Trading Venues
TSV LLC, co-owned by Obsidian Systems co-founders Ali Abrar and Ryan Trinkle, plans to operate on Canton Network. Trinkle also serves on the Canton Foundation board. The company says authorized transfer agents will tokenize shares, with trades paired against Circle’s USDC and Brale’s SBC stablecoins.
OKXICE, a joint venture between crypto exchange OKX and Intercontinental Exchange, plans to use X Layer, OKX’s Ethereum Layer 2 network. Its notice listed 63 stocks, including Nvidia, Tesla and Apple, in Uniswap v4 pools.
Meanwhile, Kephas Corp., the U.S. subsidiary of Perpetuals Group, plans to operate on Kronos X Public. Founder Patrick Gruhn, formerly head of FTX Europe, leads the company. Its proposed venue would use permissioned trading pools pairing stocks with USDC.
SEC Exemption Sets Conditions Before Trading Begins
The SEC introduced its five-year innovation exemption on September 17, 2026. Firms must publish a detailed notice at least 30 calendar days before operating and notify the agency within one business day.
SEC staff also clarified that venues should publish notices once their operations and access standards are ready for production. For third-party tokenized stocks, venues must wait until the issuer’s 30-day objection period ends without an objection before trading.
The exemption also limits activity in the most liquid stocks to 0.25% of average daily volume per venue and caps listings at 75 symbols. The exemption runs through September 17, 2031. The SEC emphasized that its staff guidance carries no legal force and does not represent a Commission decision. The agency is accepting public comments under file number 4-927.

PENGU rose above $0.0081 as Ali Charts identified fresh bullish signals from SuperTrend and TD Sequential indicators.
PENGU rebounded toward $0.0083 after hitting $0.0071, but must clear $0.0085 and $0.0090 to extend its recovery.
RSI fell to 52.31 while MACD remained positive, suggesting weakening bullish momentum despite the potential for further gains toward $0.013.
Pudgy Penguins’ PENGU has produced fresh bullish signals as its price attempts to recover from October lows. Analyst Ali Charts identified new buy signals from the SuperTrend and TD Sequential indicators after PENGU moved above $0.0081. However, the token remains below key resistance levels following its prolonged decline from September’s high near $0.0109.
Ali Charts Highlights Two Fresh Buy Signals
According to Ali Charts, the SuperTrend indicator has repeatedly anticipated PENGU’s trend changes. Previous bearish flips preceded steep corrections, while bullish flips came before rallies. The latest bullish signal appeared as PENGU pushed above $0.0081.
https://twitter.com/alicharts/status/2112277059389317356?s=20
Ali also reported a new buy signal from the TD Sequential indicator on PENGU’s daily chart. The previous buy signal on August 7 preceded a 77.64% gain, while the September 15 signal preceded a 66.94% increase. A September 25 sell signal came before a 31.58% decline.
Meanwhile, PENGU became available to buy, sell and hold on SoFi, a platform serving more than 15 million members. Ali also noted that the token had maintained a broader pattern of higher highs and higher lows. If another rally approaches 70%, the analyst’s projection places PENGU near $0.013.
PENGU Faces Resistance Despite Recent Recovery
The four-hour chart shows PENGU trading at $0.007890, down 0.67% on the latest candle. The token rebounded toward $0.0083 on October 21–22 after falling near $0.0071 around October 18. However, recent red candles show renewed selling pressure.
Source: TradingView
Immediate support is between $0.0077 and $0.0078, followed by $0.0075 and $0.0071. On the upside, PENGU must reclaim 0.0080–0.0083 before testing $0.0085 and $0.0090.
RSI and MACD Show Mixed Momentum
The Relative Strength Index is at 52.31, below its average of 59.60. Although RSI remains above 50, its decline suggests weakening bullish momentum.
Meanwhile, the MACD line is at 0.000133, above the signal line at 0.000116. Its positive histogram of 0.000017 indicates remaining upward momentum, although the narrowing gap suggests the recovery may be losing strength.

Bitcoin climbed from $81,200 to $83,407 as exchange inflows surged from 7,682 BTC to 25,124 BTC during the rebound.
XRP gained 5.10% to $1.32 as XRP Ledger transaction volume surged, while Cardano rose 5.51% toward $0.23.
Ali Charts set immediate targets of $86,500 for Bitcoin, $2,700 for Ethereum and $1.55 for XRP, with further gains dependent on breakouts.
Bitcoin, XRP and Cardano rebounded as on-chain activity increased around key price levels, according to analyst Ali Charts. Bitcoin rose from $81,200 to $83,407, while XRP gained 5.10% and Cardano climbed 5.51%. Ali highlighted rising exchange inflows and large transactions, then identified immediate price targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.
Bitcoin Inflows Jump as Price Reaches $83,407
According to Ali Charts, Bitcoin exchange inflows surged from approximately 7,682 BTC to 25,124 BTC during the price rebound. The cryptocurrency climbed from around $81,200 to an intraday high of $83,407.
https://twitter.com/alicharts/status/2112845562710053319?s=20
Notably, the increase in exchange inflows coincided with Bitcoin’s sharp upward move. Ali questioned whether large market participants were driving these sudden rebounds, pointing to the timing of the on-chain activity.
The analyst also identified $86,500 as Bitcoin’s immediate target. However, Ali stated that the rally could extend further if the market breaks above the specified price levels.
XRP and Cardano Record Sharp Activity Spikes
XRP also rebounded after trading near its $1.25 support level. Ali reported that XRP Ledger transaction volume jumped from approximately 215.87 million to 49.17 billion as activity increased. Meanwhile, XRP rose about 5.10%, moving from around $1.25 to $1.32.
Ali highlighted the transaction surge alongside the recovery, drawing attention to activity around the support level. Cardano recorded a similar pattern near $0.21. According to Ali, whale transactions worth more than $1 million increased from approximately 24 to 51.
During that period, Cardano gained 5.51%, rising from around $0.21 toward $0.23. The analyst cited the increase in large transactions as another example of heightened on-chain activity accompanying a price rebound.
Ali Charts Sets Immediate Targets for Three Cryptocurrencies
Beyond the observed rebounds, Ali Charts listed immediate price targets for Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP. The analyst set Bitcoin’s target at $86,500 and Ethereum’s at $2,700. For XRP, Ali identified $1.55 as the next target. The analyst stated that breaking above these levels could extend the rally further.
https://twitter.com/alicharts/status/2112965442746958268?s=20
Ali’s assessment focused on rising Bitcoin exchange inflows, increased XRP Ledger transaction volume and more large Cardano transactions. These movements occurred as the three cryptocurrencies recovered from their respective price levels.

Bitcoin recovered above $80,000 after its October 15 decline as buyers replenished bids, though support liquidity remains below its previous peak.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $653 million in inflows on October 19, despite trading volume remaining below its typical annual level.
Glassnode identifies 86,500–87,500 as resistance, while the Fed’s October 28 decision and MSCI’s November 11 review add uncertainty.
Bitcoin found buyers near $80,000 after its October 15 decline, with bids replenishing within days, according to Glassnode. The recovery faces resistance between $85,000 and $87,500, where older holders’ cost bases, sell orders and leveraged liquidation clusters overlap. Meanwhile, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $653 million in inflows on October 19, despite relatively low trading volume.
Bitcoin Support Holds as ETF Inflows Return
Glassnode reported that Bitcoin briefly fell to an hourly close of $80,100 on October 15, below the U.S. spot ETF cost basis. The next hourly close moved back above that level. Treasury companies tracked by Glassnode hold Bitcoin at an estimated average cost of $80,200.
The exchange order book also showed substantial bids around $80,000. Although the October 15 decline consumed much of that liquidity, buyers replenished the bids by October 20. However, the bids remained smaller than their previous peak.
ETF inflows returned after a week of net outflows, reaching $653 million on October 19. Nevertheless, trading volume remained below a typical daily level from the past year. Glassnode also found that realized profit-taking had slowed to roughly half its pace during September’s market peak.
Bitcoin Faces Resistance Near $87,500
Glassnode identified resistance between $86,500 and $87,500, where substantial sell orders meet liquidation clusters. Bitcoin holders who bought six to 12 months ago have an average cost basis near $86,700. A daily close above that level would return this group to profit on average.
Meanwhile, liquidation clusters near $85,000 and $87,000 could accelerate price movements as leveraged positions close. However, the remaining sell orders could limit upward progress.
Fed Decision and MSCI Review Add Market Risks
Investors are also watching the Federal Reserve’s October 28 rate decision and MSCI’s November 11 index-removal announcement. Strategy could face removal under MSCI’s proposed classification rules for non-operating companies. Any removal would force index-tracking funds to sell its shares.
Separately, altcoin leverage has cooled, with fewer than 5% of tracked altcoins showing elevated funding rates. However, open positions remain only about 5% below October’s peak, leaving substantial leveraged exposure in the market.

XRP's 2024 rally from $0.50 to $3.40 forms the basis for a possible repeat of its earlier 6.8-fold gain.
The $1.73 breakout level stands ahead of higher Fibonacci targets at $6.08 and $9.24, with $8.60 as the projected price.
XRP has rallied from $1.26-$1.31, indicating a recovery, but it is not without its challenges, as resistance levels and trading volumes are crucial.
The weekly chart of XRP indicates a potential reversal and a significant drop in price, with traders closely monitoring to see if buyers can secure key resistance levels.
XRP's Current Setup Resembles Its 2024 Rally
Diana (@InvestWithD) says XRP could repeat its 2024 surge, when the token rose from around $0.50 to $3.40. Her chart compares that rally with recent price action and points to a possible liquidity sweep and bullish change in market structure. She places a potential future target near $8.60.
Source: X
Orange circles mark the two periods Diana compares. The first examples are price action that occurred prior to the 2024 rally, and the second are a few days of consolidation that followed a downward trend.Both areas show price struggling before a possible upward move, though that similarity alone cannot confirm another rally.
XRP has broken from its previous levels of resistance and is trading below multiple weekly resistance levels. The down pattern is caused by selling pressure, which has restricted recovery attempts. The chart is unable to confirm a bigger move to the upside until buyers are able to push above the highs close by.
Liquidity sweep – When the price breaks below a previous low range and then rises. The shift may provoke stop-loss orders and entice speculators hoping for additional losses. A bullish change of character would need a clear break above a previous swing high to support the reversal argument.
XRP Must Break Above $1.73
The post identifies $1.73 as the level that could confirm a breakout. A sustained move above it would show that buyers have pushed through an important price barrier. If XRP fails to reclaim that level, the bullish setup remains unconfirmed.
Trading volume is another factor in the analysis. Diana refers to a large volume spike as part of the potential setup. Stronger volume during a breakout would show greater participation, while a price rise on weak volume could prove difficult to maintain.
The derivatives chart shows sharp changes in long and short positions during August. These shifts occurred alongside a rapid increase in XRP's price. However, the bars show changes in trader exposure, not a reliable forecast of the next move.
Source: Coinglass
XRP remained in a range mostly from $1.30 to $1.55 until the end of August and September. The price rallied again in September and early October, but then pulled back. The moves indicate that trading does not always result in a permanent rally.
The intraday chart shows XRP recovering from roughly $1.26-$1.31, with a reported daily gain of 1.89%. Trading volume reached $1.66 billion as the price approached resistance near $1.32. Holding above $1.29 would help preserve the recovery.
XRP's $8.60 Target Faces Several Hurdles
The post arrives at the target by multiplying $1.27 with the 6.8x gain during the 2024 run-up. Her estimate was $8.60, and the result is approximately that. This estimate assumes a similar percentage increase, but the market is not guaranteed to repeat that performance.
Her chart places Fibonacci extension levels near $6.08 and $9.24 around the proposed target. The $6.08 level would be an earlier test if XRP climbed substantially. Reaching $8.60 would require the token to move through several resistance areas along the way.
The first major test remains the $1.73 breakout level. Failure there could leave XRP trading within its current range or expose lower support. A drop below $1.29 would also weaken the recent intraday recovery.
Care must be taken in reading leveraged positioning, too. Significant shifts in long and short time frames may follow dramatic price swings but do not guarantee the trend. Traders would need to assess price action and volume together.
For now, Diana's $8.60 target depends on XRP repeating the scale of its 2024 rally. If she keeps pressing higher than $1.73, she will be vindicated, but if she fails again, the move will remain unconfirmed. The next reaction around resistance will show whether buyers can make further progress.