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【Gold drops five in a row—will the 4,000 mark hold? I think gold is simply on sale】
There’s only one reason for the drop: the Fed has raised rates to 3.75–4.00%, making the dollar expensive and Treasuries yield 5%. Non-yielding gold is being shunned. But notice this—through 13 bombing days, the gold price has never once broken 4,000; global central banks have kept adding to their holdings for 22 consecutive months, and 89% of central banks say they still plan to buy. The sellers are traders; the buyers are countries.
Near-term support looks at 4,122, 4,020, and 3,960. To turn things around, it needs to reclaim 4,249 first. A slow grind lower isn’t a breakdown—it’s the national team quietly accumulating. #XAU $XAU
[BTC dips to 2,600 dollars—what are you panicking about? Everything I see is an opportunity]
From 87,400 down to 82,892 looks scary, but it’s precisely hitting the 0.382 retracement level of this current upward move—spot on. Don’t be worried about the news either: last week ETFs saw net buying of 2.4 billion, the strongest in the past year; institutions are adding more, and the national strategic reserves act is progressing. The only thing uncertain is the Fed rate hikes, but those are pressing valuation—not Bitcoin’s fundamentals.
Six words: support at 82,500, 80,400, 76,000; resistance at 85,250, 87,400, 90,000. A pullback isn’t a reversal—it’s the market’s window giving you a chance to pick your seat. #BTC $BTC
Gold and silver plummet! The pullback you’ve been waiting for is here! While others are fearful, I’m greedy! Grid sharing! Risks are yours to bear! Good luck 🍀 #XAG $XAG
【Early Morning News: The large pancake touches 87,400 below the city wall; an anonymous coin doubles in a month; gold alone is eating noodles】
Market snapshot: BTC closed at 84,567, only 3.3% away from the 20-day ceiling at 87,396. MA20 (80,459) is underfoot, and the pattern is pushing upward while clinging to the city wall. ETH at 2,693 grinds against the prior high at 2,807; the graduation line is right in front of you. SOL at 122.1 is up +17% over the month and has been above MA20 for a full 13%.
The hottest two main themes: ZEC is up +98.7% over the month, surging to 1,590. The anonymous narrative has been re-ignited by the stolen-case incident; last night’s -3.79% was the first breath after doubling. Support to watch is 1,371 (MA20). FIL is up +65.9% over the month; the storage sector has revived. But σ30=6.3% and ATR=11% mean the volatility is so rich it’s dripping—yet it can still cut like ice.
Key levels: For BTC, look up to 87,400—break it and the sky is the limit. Defend 80,400 below; then watch 75,000. For ETH, breaking 2,807 opens a new box; if it loses 2,579, conditions turn weaker. XRP at 1.52 is stuck at the 75% point of the range; 1.66 is the top. LINK at 14.15 is pinned at the 95% point of the range—no chasing highs.
The only odd one out is gold: down -4.1% over the month, sitting at 44.7% within its range—it's the only one in the entire field crouching in the lower half. #BTC $BTC
I have to say, under all these layered bullish boosts, Solana is just strong 🤭 #SOL just topped up at 125, and it’s still taking profit all the way up—if it keeps rising, we’d miss the sell! Luckily, a few days ago I also opened a few grids to catch the swings 😂 Who else is still holding it? $SOL
Privacy leader 🐲 #ZEC extremely awesome, hitting a new high again! It’s at 1700 😯 Too bad we can only go in with an ants-sized position 🥲 Has anyone with bigger guts already eaten (bought) it? $ZEC
【Exchange chain thefts, is the market about to collapse? My prediction: lots of thunder, little rain】
This isn’t FTX: that was using users’ money to gamble. This time, hackers stole the platform’s hot wallet. Users’ assets weren’t moved—there’s full coverage—so there’s no basis for a bank run.
The selling pressure has also already played out. The XRP early-morning sell-off was caught, and the support is real.
The impact is structural, not price-related: it weighs on short-term sentiment toward low-cap alts, while long-term it’s good for cold wallets.
Bitcoin can do what it should do. Alts accelerate but also diversify. A crisis is, as always, an opportunity for the leaders. #XRP $XRP
Big meat! #AAVE surged 83.9%🎉 Today it broke through to 156.6, completing TP3. From when we entered to now, it has already risen 83.9%. We’re even closer to TP4 now. Are you still holding the tail position?🤭 $AAVE
【BG changes story again: 388 million. The scariest part is that the signature was done by himself】
The loss has been revised upward from the previous 351.6 million to 387.5 million—this time, transfers on the Zcash and TRON chains are also included. Official confirmation: the attacker didn’t even need the private key; they forged transaction data in the wallet backend, triggered the platform’s own authorization flow, and the transfer was signed by BG’s own system by hand.
The method is almost the same as the theft case involving 1.5 billion—same mold. The IP activity and on-chain characteristics point to a North Korea-linked organization. 40,000 ETH has already been evenly split into 4 new addresses, and it has remained idle to this day.
The vulnerability has been identified and fixed. Withdrawals were restored before midnight Eastern Time, and the full 464 million protection fund has been set aside as a guarantee. Some of the stolen proceeds have been frozen; the platform is offering a reward equal to 5% of the recovered amount to whoever froze them—everyone online is watching to see where those 68.3 thousand ETH will go. #ETH $ETH
Quack! Quack! Great news! #QI is up 240.98% today. Bad news! I sold too early 🥺. I held it for 13 days but didn’t get it flying. I just closed my position 3 days ago and then it took off. Otherwise, even spot could’ve net you an extra thousand or eight hundred U. No worries. Selling too early always earns in the long run! Overall profit is what matters. Today is the Mid-Autumn Festival—wishing everyone a happy holiday! Spend more time with your family! 🌙 $QI
Mid-Autumn Festival gift—she’s here! #sol Just broke through 120 and reached 122.2! We’re chasing this one on the 18th at the right side—104. We’ve already captured a 16.9% rally. Completed TP3. Congratulations to all the family members who followed along! $SOL
【$351.6M Stolen in BG: The Method Is More Terrifying Than the Amount】
Official confirmation: about $351.6 million was emptied. Hot and warm wallets were compromised, but cold wallets are fine; users’ balances remain unchanged. A $464 million protection fund is fully covering the losses. Withdrawals are currently paused.
What you really need to look at isn’t the amount—it’s the method: the private keys weren’t leaked. Instead, the hacker infiltrated the wallet backend, forged transfer records, and got the signature machines to sign and approve through the normal, legitimate process—meaning the funds were “legally” sent out via the platform’s own workflow. Among the stolen proceeds, XRP is the largest share at $157 million. After stablecoins arrived within 6 minutes, they were marked up by 5% and swapped into ETH, because no one can freeze ETH. On-chain clues point to a North Korean hacking group, but there’s no solid proof yet. We’ll closely monitor further updates; hope losses can be minimized 🙏 #ETH $ETH #Bitget遭黑客攻击损失3.52亿美元
Callback? Isn’t that a good thing? On the one hand, it lets the short positions that have been trapped catch their breath and provides an opportunity to run. On the other hand, it also gives the long positions a chance to come back and add to their holdings! It’s a win-win! 🤭 #BTC $BTC #比特币24小时跌3.3%失守83000美元
[170 Billion Options Settle Tomorrow, Found the Reason the Market Looks Listless]
Tomorrow (September 25), $17 billion in concentrated crypto options will settle: #BTC $14.9 billion, the biggest pain point at 78,000; ETH $2.1 billion, the biggest pain point at 2,300.
Both pain points are below the current price—before settlement, someone always hedges early, and others deliberately spin stories toward the pain point. Today’s chart is a calendar effect, not a trend reversal.
An old script: the gravitational pull of the pain points lasts until settlement. At 4:00 tomorrow afternoon when it lands, the hands pressing down on the price will loosen.
Before 4:00, watch the show; after 4:00, watch the direction. #ETH $ETH
[Among the myriad greens, two points of red: on a day of full-court risk aversion, where did the money go?]
September 24, Thursday.
The whole board is green: Bitcoin 83,782, Ethereum 2,670, and the semiconductor disaster area—SOXL—down 5.48% overnight. Sandisk and Micron got cut as well, and gold also slipped to 4,270. The aftershock of the rate hikes is still there, and capital is withdrawing from higher ground downwards.
But the story is hidden in two streaks of red.
First streak: crude oil. Brent smashed down from 104 for three straight days to 96. It rebounded yesterday, and this morning it’s at 98.33. The “powder keg” at the Strait of Hormuz hasn’t been dismantled—it's just that nobody has lit the fuse for now. With two-tenths of the world’s oil passing through there, the floor price of crude is poured by geopolitics.
Second streak: the brightest star this week—ZEC. Grayscale’s ZEC fund is up 184% year-to-date, leaving BTC and ETH funds so far behind you can’t even see their tail lights. Yesterday, Europe’s first physical ZEC product listed. Next month, the testnet upgrade; in November, the mainnet will speed up to block production every 25 seconds. After a long silence in the privacy track, institutions have finally spoken up with real money.
Key levels: #BTC 83,782: Under your feet lies triple support at 82,400—hold it to watch 87,400; if it breaks, look for 79,700 #ETH 2,670: Just tapped 2,636; the lower “city wall” is 2,530–2,550; upper levels 2,746 / 2,807 #SOL 114.21: Support at 110.70 and 105.40; the “pennies” above around 120’s not settled yet #XAU 4,270: Breaks below the 4,347 platform—4,238 is the last gate for the bulls #CL 94.25: Resistance at 97.5 / 100.3; retest levels 91.3 / 89.5 #ZEC 1,515: Stay firm at 1,548–1,565 to see 1,770; pullbacks at 1,493 / 1,428
On a risk-aversion day, what you fear most isn’t the drop—it’s panic. A drop is just price moving; panic is you moving乱. The structure hasn’t broken, and the locations are all there—keep your eyes on the key levels, and keep your hands in your pockets. $BTC
【Solana #sol : Just one cent away from touching 120】
On September 22, SOL surged to 119.99—just one cent away from 120—then turned back and fell to around 114.
The wave I chased on the right side with everyone on September 18 has already absorbed a 14.8% rally! Hit target 3! Congratulations to everyone who followed along! 🎉
Every cent of that move is filled with sell pressure. But look at the cards it got this month—you’ll know why the capital refuses to leave:
On September 5, the U.S. SEC listed SOL as a “core ETF asset.” Previously, only Bitcoin and Ethereum were on that list. In just one day on September 22, SOL spot ETF net inflows were about $257 million, with net inflows continuing for 12 straight weeks. An publicly listed treasury company bought an average price of $98 and accumulated 2.39 million SOL—still issuing stock to raise money to keep buying.
The chain itself hasn’t been idle either: trading capacity expanded 3.3x, block production speed increased by 17%. The on-chain AI payment protocol processed about $50 billion in volume, and it has also just passed the “double deflation” proposal—new SOL minted will be less and less.
Most uplifting of all was the day of the rate hike: On September 16, the U.S. Federal Reserve moved. Bitcoin didn’t budge on the spot, while SOL rose 13% over four days.
Now the blunt truth too: over on the B-chain, the locked-in amount just overtook it. Among mainstream coins, SOL has the most explosive temperament—rallies the hardest and drops the deepest. It’s still only half the distance from last year’s peak at 247, with layers upon layers of trapped supply overhead.
Technicals: the price is above all moving averages. The three-month big bottom is 70.58. In September, three dips to 96–98 were all fully held—those levels are the foundation built from five layers of signals overlapping.
A pullback from the prior high isn’t the end of the trend—it’s the trend turning back to pick people up. That one cent at 119.99 will eventually end up under your feet—just wait for it to finish the retracement first. $SOL
On September 16, we guided everyone through the setup—now it’s already completed ✅ TP3 achieved, taking down 12,462 points! The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years, by 25 basis points. Powell signaled that inflation is still too high and that another hike could happen again this year. The Dow fell nearly 500 points that day.
But Bitcoin ran from 74,968 all the way to 87,396. In six trading days, up 16.6%.
The reason isn’t new: a 93% majority had already anticipated the rate hike. The moment the bad news was actually priced in, the stone that had been hanging in the air finally dropped—gone. Sell the expectation, buy the fact. The oldest game in the market.
Money is coming back too: in August, net ETF inflows were about $3.5 billion. After hesitating for a few days in mid-September, institutional players returned again this week. And the CME plans to roll out new crypto futures in October—channels for big money are getting wider.
Technicals are a textbook offensive formation: price is above all moving averages; the higher the lows, the more they climb over the past three months (57,800 → 62,275 → 74,968). The 76,000–77,000 zone was probed three times in September and held up each time—solid foundation.
But let’s put the ugly truth up front: the probability of another rate hike in October is already at 50%. The dollar is strengthening, and macro conditions haven’t turned—only the worst day has passed.
Now price is around 85,500, and the ceiling overhead at 87,396 is a three-month high. The first time it touches the top, chances are someone will sell hard.
Gold 15-minute V reversal! The just-hit high was 4356 🎉 We just ate it again at 4300! Congrats to the brave and bold friends! #XAU $XAU #AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会