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【Early Morning News: The large pancake touches 87,400 below the city wall; an anonymous coin doubles in a month; gold alone is eating noodles】

Market snapshot: BTC closed at 84,567, only 3.3% away from the 20-day ceiling at 87,396. MA20 (80,459) is underfoot, and the pattern is pushing upward while clinging to the city wall. ETH at 2,693 grinds against the prior high at 2,807; the graduation line is right in front of you. SOL at 122.1 is up +17% over the month and has been above MA20 for a full 13%.

The hottest two main themes: ZEC is up +98.7% over the month, surging to 1,590. The anonymous narrative has been re-ignited by the stolen-case incident; last night’s -3.79% was the first breath after doubling. Support to watch is 1,371 (MA20). FIL is up +65.9% over the month; the storage sector has revived. But σ30=6.3% and ATR=11% mean the volatility is so rich it’s dripping—yet it can still cut like ice.

Key levels: For BTC, look up to 87,400—break it and the sky is the limit. Defend 80,400 below; then watch 75,000. For ETH, breaking 2,807 opens a new box; if it loses 2,579, conditions turn weaker. XRP at 1.52 is stuck at the 75% point of the range; 1.66 is the top. LINK at 14.15 is pinned at the 95% point of the range—no chasing highs.

The only odd one out is gold: down -4.1% over the month, sitting at 44.7% within its range—it's the only one in the entire field crouching in the lower half. #BTC $BTC

I have to say, under all these layered bullish boosts, Solana is just strong 🤭 #SOL just topped up at 125, and it’s still taking profit all the way up—if it keeps rising, we’d miss the sell! Luckily, a few days ago I also opened a few grids to catch the swings 😂 Who else is still holding it? $SOL

Privacy leader 🐲 #ZEC extremely awesome, hitting a new high again! It’s at 1700 😯 Too bad we can only go in with an ants-sized position 🥲 Has anyone with bigger guts already eaten (bought) it? $ZEC

【Exchange chain thefts, is the market about to collapse? My prediction: lots of thunder, little rain】

This isn’t FTX: that was using users’ money to gamble. This time, hackers stole the platform’s hot wallet. Users’ assets weren’t moved—there’s full coverage—so there’s no basis for a bank run.

The selling pressure has also already played out. The XRP early-morning sell-off was caught, and the support is real.

The impact is structural, not price-related: it weighs on short-term sentiment toward low-cap alts, while long-term it’s good for cold wallets.

Bitcoin can do what it should do. Alts accelerate but also diversify. A crisis is, as always, an opportunity for the leaders. #XRP $XRP

Big meat! #AAVE surged 83.9%🎉 Today it broke through to 156.6, completing TP3. From when we entered to now, it has already risen 83.9%. We’re even closer to TP4 now. Are you still holding the tail position?🤭 $AAVE

【BG changes story again: 388 million. The scariest part is that the signature was done by himself】

The loss has been revised upward from the previous 351.6 million to 387.5 million—this time, transfers on the Zcash and TRON chains are also included. Official confirmation: the attacker didn’t even need the private key; they forged transaction data in the wallet backend, triggered the platform’s own authorization flow, and the transfer was signed by BG’s own system by hand.

The method is almost the same as the theft case involving 1.5 billion—same mold. The IP activity and on-chain characteristics point to a North Korea-linked organization. 40,000 ETH has already been evenly split into 4 new addresses, and it has remained idle to this day.

The vulnerability has been identified and fixed. Withdrawals were restored before midnight Eastern Time, and the full 464 million protection fund has been set aside as a guarantee. Some of the stolen proceeds have been frozen; the platform is offering a reward equal to 5% of the recovered amount to whoever froze them—everyone online is watching to see where those 68.3 thousand ETH will go. #ETH $ETH

Quack! Quack! Great news! #QI is up 240.98% today. Bad news! I sold too early 🥺. I held it for 13 days but didn’t get it flying. I just closed my position 3 days ago and then it took off. Otherwise, even spot could’ve net you an extra thousand or eight hundred U. No worries. Selling too early always earns in the long run! Overall profit is what matters. Today is the Mid-Autumn Festival—wishing everyone a happy holiday! Spend more time with your family! 🌙 $QI

Mid-Autumn Festival gift—she’s here! #sol Just broke through 120 and reached 122.2! We’re chasing this one on the 18th at the right side—104. We’ve already captured a 16.9% rally. Completed TP3. Congratulations to all the family members who followed along! $SOL

【$351.6M Stolen in BG: The Method Is More Terrifying Than the Amount】

Official confirmation: about $351.6 million was emptied. Hot and warm wallets were compromised, but cold wallets are fine; users’ balances remain unchanged. A $464 million protection fund is fully covering the losses. Withdrawals are currently paused.

What you really need to look at isn’t the amount—it’s the method: the private keys weren’t leaked. Instead, the hacker infiltrated the wallet backend, forged transfer records, and got the signature machines to sign and approve through the normal, legitimate process—meaning the funds were “legally” sent out via the platform’s own workflow. Among the stolen proceeds, XRP is the largest share at $157 million. After stablecoins arrived within 6 minutes, they were marked up by 5% and swapped into ETH, because no one can freeze ETH. On-chain clues point to a North Korean hacking group, but there’s no solid proof yet. We’ll closely monitor further updates; hope losses can be minimized 🙏 #ETH $ETH #Bitget遭黑客攻击损失3.52亿美元

Callback? Isn’t that a good thing?
On the one hand, it lets the short positions that have been trapped catch their breath and provides an opportunity to run.
On the other hand, it also gives the long positions a chance to come back and add to their holdings! It’s a win-win! 🤭 #BTC $BTC #比特币24小时跌3.3%失守83000美元

[170 Billion Options Settle Tomorrow, Found the Reason the Market Looks Listless]

Tomorrow (September 25), $17 billion in concentrated crypto options will settle: #BTC $14.9 billion, the biggest pain point at 78,000; ETH $2.1 billion, the biggest pain point at 2,300.

Both pain points are below the current price—before settlement, someone always hedges early, and others deliberately spin stories toward the pain point. Today’s chart is a calendar effect, not a trend reversal.

An old script: the gravitational pull of the pain points lasts until settlement. At 4:00 tomorrow afternoon when it lands, the hands pressing down on the price will loosen.

Before 4:00, watch the show; after 4:00, watch the direction. #ETH $ETH

[Among the myriad greens, two points of red: on a day of full-court risk aversion, where did the money go?]

September 24, Thursday.

The whole board is green: Bitcoin 83,782, Ethereum 2,670, and the semiconductor disaster area—SOXL—down 5.48% overnight. Sandisk and Micron got cut as well, and gold also slipped to 4,270. The aftershock of the rate hikes is still there, and capital is withdrawing from higher ground downwards.

But the story is hidden in two streaks of red.

First streak: crude oil. Brent smashed down from 104 for three straight days to 96. It rebounded yesterday, and this morning it’s at 98.33. The “powder keg” at the Strait of Hormuz hasn’t been dismantled—it's just that nobody has lit the fuse for now. With two-tenths of the world’s oil passing through there, the floor price of crude is poured by geopolitics.

Second streak: the brightest star this week—ZEC. Grayscale’s ZEC fund is up 184% year-to-date, leaving BTC and ETH funds so far behind you can’t even see their tail lights. Yesterday, Europe’s first physical ZEC product listed. Next month, the testnet upgrade; in November, the mainnet will speed up to block production every 25 seconds. After a long silence in the privacy track, institutions have finally spoken up with real money.

Key levels:
#BTC 83,782: Under your feet lies triple support at 82,400—hold it to watch 87,400; if it breaks, look for 79,700
#ETH 2,670: Just tapped 2,636; the lower “city wall” is 2,530–2,550; upper levels 2,746 / 2,807
#SOL 114.21: Support at 110.70 and 105.40; the “pennies” above around 120’s not settled yet
#XAU 4,270: Breaks below the 4,347 platform—4,238 is the last gate for the bulls
#CL 94.25: Resistance at 97.5 / 100.3; retest levels 91.3 / 89.5
#ZEC 1,515: Stay firm at 1,548–1,565 to see 1,770; pullbacks at 1,493 / 1,428

On a risk-aversion day, what you fear most isn’t the drop—it’s panic. A drop is just price moving; panic is you moving乱. The structure hasn’t broken, and the locations are all there—keep your eyes on the key levels, and keep your hands in your pockets. $BTC

【Solana #sol : Just one cent away from touching 120】

On September 22, SOL surged to 119.99—just one cent away from 120—then turned back and fell to around 114.

The wave I chased on the right side with everyone on September 18 has already absorbed a 14.8% rally! Hit target 3! Congratulations to everyone who followed along! 🎉

Every cent of that move is filled with sell pressure. But look at the cards it got this month—you’ll know why the capital refuses to leave:

On September 5, the U.S. SEC listed SOL as a “core ETF asset.” Previously, only Bitcoin and Ethereum were on that list. In just one day on September 22, SOL spot ETF net inflows were about $257 million, with net inflows continuing for 12 straight weeks. An publicly listed treasury company bought an average price of $98 and accumulated 2.39 million SOL—still issuing stock to raise money to keep buying.

The chain itself hasn’t been idle either: trading capacity expanded 3.3x, block production speed increased by 17%. The on-chain AI payment protocol processed about $50 billion in volume, and it has also just passed the “double deflation” proposal—new SOL minted will be less and less.

Most uplifting of all was the day of the rate hike: On September 16, the U.S. Federal Reserve moved. Bitcoin didn’t budge on the spot, while SOL rose 13% over four days.

Now the blunt truth too: over on the B-chain, the locked-in amount just overtook it. Among mainstream coins, SOL has the most explosive temperament—rallies the hardest and drops the deepest. It’s still only half the distance from last year’s peak at 247, with layers upon layers of trapped supply overhead.

Technicals: the price is above all moving averages. The three-month big bottom is 70.58. In September, three dips to 96–98 were all fully held—those levels are the foundation built from five layers of signals overlapping.

Short-term supports: 110.70 / 107.90 / 105.40
Medium-term supports: 101.50 / 96.00 / 89.40
Short-term resistance: 120.00 / 126.60 / 130.00
Medium-term resistance: 140.00 / 150.00 / 159.10

A pullback from the prior high isn’t the end of the trend—it’s the trend turning back to pick people up. That one cent at 119.99 will eventually end up under your feet—just wait for it to finish the retracement first. $SOL

【Bitcoin #BTC : The rate hike is in—yet it still surged 16.6%】#比特币突破8.7万美元创八个月新高

On September 16, we guided everyone through the setup—now it’s already completed ✅ TP3 achieved, taking down 12,462 points! The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years, by 25 basis points. Powell signaled that inflation is still too high and that another hike could happen again this year. The Dow fell nearly 500 points that day.

But Bitcoin ran from 74,968 all the way to 87,396. In six trading days, up 16.6%.

The reason isn’t new: a 93% majority had already anticipated the rate hike. The moment the bad news was actually priced in, the stone that had been hanging in the air finally dropped—gone. Sell the expectation, buy the fact. The oldest game in the market.

Money is coming back too: in August, net ETF inflows were about $3.5 billion. After hesitating for a few days in mid-September, institutional players returned again this week. And the CME plans to roll out new crypto futures in October—channels for big money are getting wider.

Technicals are a textbook offensive formation: price is above all moving averages; the higher the lows, the more they climb over the past three months (57,800 → 62,275 → 74,968). The 76,000–77,000 zone was probed three times in September and held up each time—solid foundation.

But let’s put the ugly truth up front: the probability of another rate hike in October is already at 50%. The dollar is strengthening, and macro conditions haven’t turned—only the worst day has passed.

Now price is around 85,500, and the ceiling overhead at 87,396 is a three-month high. The first time it touches the top, chances are someone will sell hard.

Near-term support: 82,400 / 81,300 / 79,700
Medium-term support: 76,300 / 74,600 / 68,900
Near-term resistance: 87,400 / 90,800 / 92,500
Medium-term resistance: 95,000 / 100,000 / 107,500

Don’t chase the ceiling. A real breakout is when it can hold the pullback and continue. $BTC

【MicroStrategy has doubled #MSTR ：All Three Passes Cleared】

On July 1, in black and white: Buy at 90.5, stop loss at 79.4, target 92.4 → 95.4 → 104.4 → 194。

Today, 84 days later：
92.4 ✅ 95.4 ✅ 104.4 ✅
High 172.9, price +102%。

Bottom position 90.95, +4,308.59%。
The stop-loss level has not been touched even once in 84 days.

Predictions are cheap; only the predictions that have dates marked and then get fulfilled step by step are valuable.

Pass Four: 194. I’ll wait for it at the finish line. #微策略 $MSTR

Gold 15-minute V reversal! The just-hit high was 4356 🎉 We just ate it again at 4300! Congrats to the brave and bold friends! #XAU $XAU #AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会

【Micron takes off #MU : 49 days, four checkpoints, all cleared】

On August 4, I wrote Micron’s script in black and white:

Entry around 800, and checkpoints one by one—
Checkpoint 1: 894, passed.
Checkpoint 2: 907, passed.
Checkpoint 3: 944, passed.
Checkpoint 4: 1,084—today, passed.

In 49 days, all four checkpoints were broken through—none was bypassed.

The 779 cargo: cut losses written at 744, never touched it from start to finish.

Last night at 21:58, the new script was posted again:
1,050 / 987 pick up and receive, near term looks at 1,084–1,124.
In less than 24 hours, TP1 delivered.

Old warehouse 779.2 → 1,083, +1,949%, cashed out.
New warehouse TP1 has been received; the rest continues to watch 1,124 → 1,224.

In this market, the least valuable thing is prediction,
the most valuable thing is to write it in advance, mark the date, and then do nothing while it plays out.

The charts are there, the dates are there, the levels are there.
Anyone can fire a post-hoc shot—I’m used to putting the cannon carriage in front of the price action. $MU #Muse超越ChatGPT成iOS免费榜首

【Gold #XAU Night Session Quick Look: The rate-hike hammer has swung for six days—gold is still holding | September 22】

On September 16, the Federal Reserve raised rates, and gold was smashed that day, hitting a low of 4,238.
We brought everyone through this area around 4,300 again and again! 🎉
Six days have passed. The pit has been filled, and gold is still standing.
What the hammer can’t knock down is worth taking a serious look at.

So what’s the situation now: rates are lifted to 3.75%–4.00%, all 12 votes passed unanimously, and Waller also said tightening isn’t over yet. In the “old script,” gold should have laid flat—but in reality, in just two days it filled the pit back to the 4,400 doorstep. The only cloud in the sky: the two-year U.S. Treasury yield is at 4.76%, and the ten-year is back above 5%—for non-yielding gold, the opportunity cost is real and tangible. Oil prices have been falling as well, pouring cold water on safe-haven demand. This week’s China–U.S. talks are the next roll of the dice.

Remember three numbers:

One, the key level 4,238— the low on the rate-hike day. If this week closes back below it, the short-term trend will change.

Two, the main gate 4,550— the 0.618 retracement and old resistance are welded together. If price reclaims it, the bearish (downward) structure is invalidated.

Three, the floor 4,000— this year it’s held through a war, an energy crisis, and a fractured U.S. Fed, and it hasn’t been broken.

Why is the floor so solid? In Q2, gold posted its largest quarterly drop since 2013. In the same quarter, central banks around the world net bought 289 tons—the strongest on record. China’s central bank has increased holdings for 21 straight months. Money on paper is running away, while money in the vault is rushing in—this is why the “gold hammer” can’t be driven down.

My take: in the short run, it churns and whips around in the range of 4,240–4,440. In the long run, it stands on the toughest group of global buyers beneath it. It still needs to rise about 30% from the old top at 5,589—so this road is destined to be bumpy.

There’s no such thing in this business as guaranteeing outcomes—only probabilities, odds, and discipline.
I’m also waiting for signals, watching together with the brothers. $XAU #AI股持续上涨还有哪些投资机会

【 #ETH Night Session Quick Look: One Stock Wants to Rise 50%, Another Wants to Rise 80% | September 22 】

BTC broke through the city gate, and ETH is set to follow tonight:
The friends who took the long at 916 already grabbed 414 points! A gain of 17.5%! 🎉
At 2,772, hitting an eight-month high with volume doubling.

But once you do the math, you’ll know who’s just tagging along:
If BTC rises another 47% from the historical high,
ETH needs to rise 80% to catch up.
Whether the lag is still room to move higher—or actual weakness—will be decided by the chart.

Remember these three numbers:

City Gate 2,765 — if it closes back above it, the follow-up surge scenario is confirmed
True Barrier 2,816 — once it breaks through, the target is 3,000
Defense Line 2,546 — if it falls back to it, it’s a no-go

With the rate-hike “shoe” now landed, bad news can’t knock it down anymore,
Only one cloud lingers: the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield is still pinned at 4.76%.

Volatility has just awakened—one-way momentum is coming.
Let the market choose the direction; we’ll just be there to catch it. $ETH #以太坊突破2700美元