【Bitcoin #BTC : The rate hike is in—yet it still surged 16.6%】#比特币突破8.7万美元创八个月新高
On September 16, we guided everyone through the setup—now it’s already completed ✅ TP3 achieved, taking down 12,462 points! The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years, by 25 basis points. Powell signaled that inflation is still too high and that another hike could happen again this year. The Dow fell nearly 500 points that day.
But Bitcoin ran from 74,968 all the way to 87,396. In six trading days, up 16.6%.
The reason isn’t new: a 93% majority had already anticipated the rate hike. The moment the bad news was actually priced in, the stone that had been hanging in the air finally dropped—gone. Sell the expectation, buy the fact. The oldest game in the market.
Money is coming back too: in August, net ETF inflows were about $3.5 billion. After hesitating for a few days in mid-September, institutional players returned again this week. And the CME plans to roll out new crypto futures in October—channels for big money are getting wider.
Technicals are a textbook offensive formation: price is above all moving averages; the higher the lows, the more they climb over the past three months (57,800 → 62,275 → 74,968). The 76,000–77,000 zone was probed three times in September and held up each time—solid foundation.
But let’s put the ugly truth up front: the probability of another rate hike in October is already at 50%. The dollar is strengthening, and macro conditions haven’t turned—only the worst day has passed.
Now price is around 85,500, and the ceiling overhead at 87,396 is a three-month high. The first time it touches the top, chances are someone will sell hard.
Near-term support: 82,400 / 81,300 / 79,700
Medium-term support: 76,300 / 74,600 / 68,900
Near-term resistance: 87,400 / 90,800 / 92,500
Medium-term resistance: 95,000 / 100,000 / 107,500
Don’t chase the ceiling. A real breakout is when it can hold the pullback and continue. $BTC
On September 16, we guided everyone through the setup—now it’s already completed ✅ TP3 achieved, taking down 12,462 points! The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years, by 25 basis points. Powell signaled that inflation is still too high and that another hike could happen again this year. The Dow fell nearly 500 points that day.
But Bitcoin ran from 74,968 all the way to 87,396. In six trading days, up 16.6%.
The reason isn’t new: a 93% majority had already anticipated the rate hike. The moment the bad news was actually priced in, the stone that had been hanging in the air finally dropped—gone. Sell the expectation, buy the fact. The oldest game in the market.
Money is coming back too: in August, net ETF inflows were about $3.5 billion. After hesitating for a few days in mid-September, institutional players returned again this week. And the CME plans to roll out new crypto futures in October—channels for big money are getting wider.
Technicals are a textbook offensive formation: price is above all moving averages; the higher the lows, the more they climb over the past three months (57,800 → 62,275 → 74,968). The 76,000–77,000 zone was probed three times in September and held up each time—solid foundation.
But let’s put the ugly truth up front: the probability of another rate hike in October is already at 50%. The dollar is strengthening, and macro conditions haven’t turned—only the worst day has passed.
Now price is around 85,500, and the ceiling overhead at 87,396 is a three-month high. The first time it touches the top, chances are someone will sell hard.
Near-term support: 82,400 / 81,300 / 79,700
Medium-term support: 76,300 / 74,600 / 68,900
Near-term resistance: 87,400 / 90,800 / 92,500
Medium-term resistance: 95,000 / 100,000 / 107,500
Don’t chase the ceiling. A real breakout is when it can hold the pullback and continue. $BTC
