macbookpro

Be cautious about buying the dip on Ethos Network $WHUF:

1⃣ The CEO has explicitly said it won’t be listed on Binance or Upbit, and won’t do any business with Binance whatsoever;

2⃣ The CEO said that 85% of the 8.4M USDC raised in the public sale (≈7.14M USDC) was locked in the treasury, but in reality, most of it has already been transferred to Coinbase;

🔺 Redeeming requires you to manually verify your identity and complete anti-money laundering checks, after which you’ll be refunded via the original payment route within 30 days. Off-chain verification can easily get held up—and why was 85% of the collateral withdrawn if refunds are being sent back the same way? Of course, the main point here is that the messaging is inconsistent;

3⃣ The pool added 100k USDC + 20k $WHUF in the 0.5–50 range. The CEO keeps stubbornly insisting that most of the liquidity is on CEXs, but there’s nothing particularly different about CEXs, so the CEO has expressed dissatisfaction with Coinbase;

4⃣ The liquidation price of 4.2 and buyback price of 3.57 have already been breached. There are holders representing 20% of the supply desperately waiting to break even, and I don’t think the price will be pumped so they can exit smoothly;

5⃣ Of course, the most important thing is the project itself. There’s demand for on-chain verifiable identity, but I can say with confidence that Ethos won’t be the answer in this sector. It has no real-world applications or actual revenue at the moment, and apparently it may pivot to prediction markets in the future;

In the end, this project is no longer worth paying attention to. Remember to withdraw the ETH you put up as collateral in Markets (the ETH you bought at $1,600 😂), then uninstall the extension, and you can say goodbye!!

Ethos Network $WHUF has money but no tokens to allocate, so it won’t be listed on Binance Alpha!

1⃣ Total supply: 10M; circulating supply: 24%, including: token auction 20%, XP rewards 1%, referral bonuses 1%, treasury 2% (ecosystem 5%, with no lockup period);

🔺 The treasury’s 2% is for liquidity: 1% went to market maker GSR Markets, 0.25% to the pool, and 0.4% to Coinbase. The remaining 0.35% is definitely not enough for a Binance Alpha listing;

2⃣ Initial price: $5; pre-market price: $6.2; liquidation price: $4.2; buyback price: $3.57. Base contract: 0xeeee77bc7e82c0d4166d52f58239d4c5bf41eeee;

3⃣ Ethos Network is a decentralized reputation and credibility protocol. It raised $10.15M. The team explicitly stated there would be no airdrop. The $WHUF token is being sold via an auction, with 20% allocated to the sale. Starting FDV: $1M; maximum FDV valuation: $99M; liquidation FDV: $42M, or $4.2 per $WHUF;

🔺 A total of 1,560 participants took part in the auction, which ultimately raised $8.4 million;

🔺 Auction tokens have a 30-day lockup. Staking activates an 85% price guarantee; redeeming within 12 months gives you an 85% price guarantee, meaning a maximum loss of 15%. Buyback price: $3.57;

4⃣ Tokens will automatically unlock and become tradable on October 8, 2026, at 23:00 UTC+8. The project has already been added to the Coinbase Roadmap; other CEX listings are unknown;

5⃣ The project team is definitely CS. Early on, they repeatedly encouraged users to farm airdrops and even explicitly suggested that choosing NFTs or XP would be tied to future rewards. Then they suddenly announced there would be no airdrop. The tokenomics also allocate 11.1% to early supporters, including the founders’ friends, family, and colleagues. The team then allocated another 28.9% to itself, meaning 40% is effectively in the team’s hands;

🟢 In summary, the narrative is decent, but there’s no solution to a real problem or practical use case. The project has funding but little hype; the community got farmed instead; token concentration is low; and launching on Base means liquidity is inherently low. If it opens at the pre-market valuation of $62M, auction participants have plenty of room for profit;

🔺 Finally, the ecosystem’s 5% has no fixed lockup period, and the foundation decides how to use it. So there may be a 1% chance that some of it will be used to supply tokens for a Binance Alpha listing 😂—but no more than that.

A quick look at AlloX $ALLOX’s Public Sale:

In a word: not recommended!

Here’s why:

1⃣ Aspecta’s pre-market price fell from 0.08 to 0.055, then was bought back up to 0.08 by addresses linked to the project team. The linked addresses are obvious, and pre-market liquidity is very thin, so it’s easy to push the price back up;

2⃣ There was already a Private Sale before the Public Sale, but there’s very little information available about it. Transparency is pretty mediocre—the project’s official account only mentioned it twice. It really was private;

Public Sale FDV has three tiers: 65M (100% unlocked), 52M, and 39M;
Private Sale FDV has three tiers: 50M (100% unlocked), 40M, and 30M;

3⃣ Total supply is 1 billion, with 21% in circulation, including: 5% for community airdrops, 5% for the ecosystem, 5% for liquidity, 3% for the Private Sale, and 3% for the Public Sale;

They allocated 1% to Binance Booster, and it will probably be listed on Binance Alpha for another 1%. That’s a pretty hefty amount of sell pressure at launch;

🔺Official account stats: 1,807 participants in the Private Sale, and 363,298 addresses are eligible to claim $ALLOX rewards. If it’s an airdrop, even distributing 5% at a 100M FDV would amount to only $13 per person on average. Be prepared to get farmed 😂;

4⃣ AlloX is an AI-powered crypto asset allocation platform, and it’s also DeFi. A 65M valuation is pretty average. The returns from the Public Sale at this valuation are fairly limited, while the risks are significant. If there are insider wallets in the Private Sale, they could dump and send the price crashing. Monthly revenue is under $100,000;

In short, there really have been a lot of Public Sales lately, and people are jumping into them like they have money to burn. But AlloX $ALLOX is genuinely not great. Even with the Binance Booster campaign and a likely Binance Alpha listing, I still can’t find a single reason to be bullish on it, so I don’t recommend it;

Pheasant Network $PNT has tokens but no funds, so it won’t get listed on Binance Alpha!!

1⃣, Total supply: 1B; Circulating supply: 11.05%, including: community airdrop 1.45%, treasury 7.20%, liquidity 2.40%;

🔺73.94% locked in Sablier: three 5% multisig addresses, one 4.36%, one 3.6%, and one 1.67%—basically all are in multisig;

2⃣ Initial price: 0.06. Listed on KuCoin, Kraken, and other CEXs on Oct 5, 2026 at 20:00 UTC+8;

3⃣ Contract: 0x02d54e48ea4dd76a408a7175d466bb8f578c0e93

4⃣ Public Sale price: 0.05. Sell 0.3% of the allocation based on FDV of 50M. TGE unlocks 100%. Target: 150k. Currently oversubscribed by 170%;

5⃣ Pheasant Network is an AI-driven cross-chain DeFi super app. Raised $2M. Started with intent-based features early on, then shifted to being AI-driven later. Marketing claims over 200M in cross-chain transaction volume, but DefiLlama data seems to show only 20M;

🔺You can refer to HeyElsa $ELSA listed on Binance Alpha earlier—also doing intent-based cross-chain operations, swaps, etc. Raised 3M. Current FDV: 50M. Listed on Binance Alpha + Binance contract + Upbit. Historical peak: 150M;

🔺Also: although @RootDataCrypto shows that $PNT’s founder Yuki Tanaka is a BlackRock director, in reality it’s the same-name mix-up. The Yuki Tanaka who serves as a director at BlackRock is someone else 😂;

6⃣ Public Goods Labs Ltd has cumulatively generated revenue of about $100,000, with net assets of roughly $600,000—just enough to add liquidity to the pool 😂;

🟢In summary, the fundamentals aren’t very compelling. Cross-chain DeFi is already getting stale, and projects of the same type generally have fairly average performance, with low hype;

Control exceeds 98%. Having 60M feels a bit reasonable but also on the high side. There’s enough to set aside around 2% for Binance Alpha, but it’s clearly visible that there’s no funding. That’s why I think they won’t use it to list on Binance Alpha.

$CT is taking the $BILL route:

High-control funding, low-altitude drops, anti-scam community tactics, frequent pool changes, and instant listings on Binance futures;

Turns out I underestimated it. At yesterday’s opening around 0.18, there was zero hesitation—they bought straight in. In the second wave around 0.26, it started up and they charged. But by around 0.35, they fully cleared out—sold it all, launched “big flight.”

In the future, for projects that market themselves as product-led, you need to be extra careful. They really understand the market, they understand market-making. The previous one was $O .

🟢Concrete Protocol $CT Opening Strike Update 🟢

🔵Strike Amount: 300,100
🟡Bribe Amount: 151,844.00
🟣Token Quantity: 1,602,029.18
🟠Holding Cost: 0.2821072212

Tokenomics Update: Total Supply 1B, Circulating 19%. The project team rolled out 40+ multisig wallets—wow!

Ecosystem 35%, Foundation 15%, Team 22% (1-year cliff), Investors 28% (1-year cliff);

Jumper $JUMP Token Sale 能不能打，我的答案是能，但我不打！！

很多人拿 Squid $QUID 作类比，需知道 Squid $QUID 能实现 200% 利润，主要原因是上线币安 Alpha + Upbit 首发的效应；

很明显 Jumper $JUMP 并不具备同等条件：

1⃣，能不能上币安 Alpha ？

从披露的信息来看，目前仅仅知道社区 33.33%，金库 21.90%，社区分配的细节和流通未知，所以能不能上币安 Alpha 根本没得猜，而且这段时间币安 Alpha 上新币略显路边一条了；

2⃣，Jumper $JUMP 又有多大的概率复刻首日直通 Upbit 呢？

答案是基本为 0%；

3⃣，TGE 解锁 50%，剩余 4 个月释放，Squid $QUID 是 100% 释放，TGE 日期大概是 Q4，75M FDV 中规中矩吧，但是开盘需要 150M 回本就比较不好说了；

4⃣，时间线充满了 Jumper $JUMP Token Sale ，有没有可能是因为 Jumper 本身有 waitlist 邀请，Legion 也有积分邀请呢？

5⃣，Jumper 从 http://LI.FI 独立拆分为独立公司，历史交易数据为 410 亿美元，并且计划在接下来的 12 个月内实现每月收入超过 200 万美元的目标，但他们现在仍没有收入可查😂；

6⃣，Jumper 正在打造链上金融超级应用，把 swap、桥接、赚取、奖励、交易捏合在一起，但想要实现月收入 2M 的宏伟目标，怕是路阻且长啊，Perps / 聚合交易的赛道卷的不行，或者可以参考另外一个链上超级应用 Based，Based 在 DefiLlama 近 30 天链上收入大约 5 万美元；

综上，你会发现他不是不能打，而是值博率很低，类似于投入 1000 美元，最终只能赢下 20 美元😂；

而且整套打法有点像：拆分独立公司，waitlist 预热，画个超级大的饼，开启公售 TGE，感觉上就故事完整，验证不足；

当然如果能实现月收入 2M，我也一样会喊声牛逼的，但是现在我肯定不会打；

Congratulations to the 2,472 users sold by the Axis Robotics $AXIS community:

The TGE unlocks increase from 10% to 25%. Additionally, Bonus rewards are given based on the tier—so it’s essentially break-even once the opening reaches 200M. This is, without a doubt, 100%, and easy as pie!!

What’s left is the profit. With a bull market + the robotics sector, we can look forward to whether there will be even more multiples!!

Lastly, the project I shared is because I believe in it—I’m participating, not spamming, not promoting!!

Suddenly the odds of Doppler Finance $XDP getting listed on Binance’s Alpha have increased significantly:

As expected, the project team squeezed out 1.5% of shares from the 6% circulating in the ecosystem and sent them to three addresses; the source of the funds is Binance;

At the pre-market price of 0.02, sending 60,000 shares is more than enough, and the project team also added the Binance Alpha standard 500K USDC pool—there’s something to this;

In fact, it can be confirmed: it’s from Binance. It just depends on when it’s released;

But what’s the point of doing it like this?

It’s clearly not a first launch, yet it’s still given “first-launch” allocations 😂;

It’s supposedly a new coin launch, but they made it look like an old coin launch 😂;

One more thing to remind everyone: the airdrop has already been distributed. There are market makers involved, and a lot of large orders are heading to CEX—DYOR.

Conclusion unchanged: The probability of Doppler Finance $XDP getting listed on Binance Alpha is not very likely!

Total supply 10B, circulating supply 10%, including: liquidity 2%, treasury 1%, ecosystem 6%, and airdrops 1%.

🔺 Among them, OKX received 0.4%, OKX Cold Wallet 1.1%, Kucoin 0.05%. Transfers were made including on exchanges like Kraken and HTX. There is also a 2/5 multisig address getting 0.33%, and the rest is unknown.

On September 28, 2026 at 21:00 (UTC+8), it will be listed on CEXs such as Kucoin and Kraken.

The initial price should be 0.01. In the pre-market, it fell all the way from 0.022 from four days ago to 0.0183, with FDV at 183M.

Doppler Finance @doppler_fi is an infrastructure based on the XRP Ledger that covers yield-bearing, collateral utility, and tokenization. Total funding is 5.5M, TVL is 137.1M.

It has partnered with exchanges such as Bybit and Bitget for deposit campaigns, but it’s unclear whether there will be an airdrop. Overall, it doesn’t seem very high-profile—just a few scattered promotions. Selling pressure is around 1%–2%, so it might be worth keeping an eye on at open.

In the end, the only sliver of hope for Binance Alpha listing is that 2% could come from the ecosystem circulating 6%—but 1.5% has already been allocated to OKX, with an additional multisig address getting 0.33% and Kucoin getting 0.05%.

The remaining 4% would have to give Binance Alpha 2%—that would be a truly kind soul. So basically, it’s like there’s no hope 😂, unless it goes straight to spot, bro!

Axis Robotics $AXIS community sales:

Ever since the founder mentioned at different occasions that there would definitely be bonus rewards and even a backstop (as per the screenshot, possibly for someone), $AXIS community sales have been developing in a weird direction 😂;

Currently it’s already oversubscribed by 20%. Addresses that subscribed with a low tier of $100–$200 have surged 770%. Not exaggerating—it’s almost all people buying just for the founder’s line about a bonus reward;

The pressure is now on the project team—hope it all ends happily for everyone. Don’t let us down, really!!

Public data | Only responsible for reposting | DYOR

To put it simply about Pre-Access: $pPOLY:

1⃣, Within 5 minutes of the opening, the project team already started withdrawing liquidity above 15.5, leaving only the 2M U that was being absorbed below 15.5. So everything above is private-added pools—thin liquidity, big price swings, and high fees.

2⃣, The price keeps repeatedly spiking between 15 and 30. This is because the project team removed the pools above 15.5, and someone added a pool above 30. In other words, there’s effectively a vacuum between 15.5 and 30—so the price keeps inserting spikes. This lasted about 10 minutes, during which trading volume was very low.

3⃣, They launched it, then sold it—Pre-Access Phase 1 returns were indeed pretty good. But without listing on Binance Alpha, the成交量 is really low. On the secondary level, there’s not much to say—pretty lackluster.

4⃣, They specifically created an entry in the Binance wallet: Pre-Access. Even thoughtfully they added products from the previous phases as well. But they also clearly separated it: they only provided the candlestick chart (K-line). Things like order information and pool information are not integrated. Wherever there’s information, there are disclaimers. Binance doesn’t give you any chance to misinterpret it as an endorsement 😂

5⃣, Honestly, it’s been said all along that $pPOLY is not an official token of Polymarket, and it is not equivalent to directly holding Polymarket equity. As more and more platforms tokenize assets, pre-market prices can be used as a reference—but you must clearly distinguish whether the product is actually anchored to real underlying value. Clearly, $pPOLY is not anchored to Polymarket. In other words, even if $pPOLY is pumped to $100, it won’t affect Polymarket’s valuation.

Axis Robotics $AXIS Community Sales:

At the moment, there are 173 unique addresses in total, committed $508,628.697. Most of them are in the $100–$200 range. There are 7 addresses with over 20k, which account for 90% of the current amount; the progress is 51%, with a target of $1M.

Pricing is fine: $0.10 per $AXIS, FDV is under 100M. But the release rules are a bit uncomfortable: the TGE unlocks 10%, locks for 6 months, and the remaining 6 months release linearly.

I was actually quite interested, but what makes me hesitant is this: Hack VC leads the investment, lock for 6 months, and those 7 big holders make up 90%—I’m really worried that once you’ve negotiated it all: the gentry get their money back in full, while the common folks split the proceeds 70/30 😂.

As for rumors in the community about fabricated fundraising and the like, it’s not that important. The main concern is that the risk with the big holders is likely asymmetric 😂. Also, Kaito gets a share, Binance Booster gets a share, plus community airdrops—if you also give Binance Alpha, then the selling pressure around TGE should be pretty significant.

So I’ll just lock in a few hundred dollars to unlock 10% and taste the saltiness. Getting back to break-even on launch at $1B is almost impossible. If I can at least get back 50%, I probably won’t lose. If you go in big, you’re just afraid of information asymmetry.

Binance Wallet’s first batch Pre-Access project Polymarket $pPOLY opens for subscription and sells out quickly:

Duration: 01 min 24 sec
Blocks covered: 180 blocks
Participating addresses: 9143
Average subscription: 5470.513652

Among them, the address that subscribed the most at the $10,000 level: 1764, accounting for 19.29% of all addresses, contributing 35.29% of the total amount. This shows that the paying core is constrained by the Alpha score and on-chain level from bStocks, and generally only manages to get the $10,000 quota;

Next is the $15,000 tier—although there are only 266 addresses, it contributes the second-highest 7.98% of the amount;

Finally, there is just one address that obtained the entire quota and subscribed all of it. There are 66 addresses that are speculated to be missing the “An Xiaojian” honor title, and therefore only received the $20,000 quota;

September 24, 2026 17:00—Binance Alpha launches $pPOLY (Paimon Polymarket SPV Token):

🟢Quick summary: A tokenized asset from Paimon, an SPV platform backed by YZi Labs, with simple “tickets,” relying on market and sentiment-driven games;

🔺Paimon has previously issued SPV Tokens for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Kalshi, so strictly speaking it is not an official Polymarket token or an IPO;

🟠Token name: $pPOLY
🔴Token contract: 0x1d80392d12caaaf9e333bb0bb7f021eacf297fe6
🔵Pool price: 15.5
🟡Pool composition:
1.54957-10.8469: 10k U ----- buy order support
10.8469-13.9554: 500k U ----- buy order support
13.9554-15.4849: 1.49M U ----- buy order support
15.5004-77.4616: 6,451.61 $pPOLY ----- sell pressure
15.5004-124.059: 6,451.61 $pPOLY ----- sell pressure

【Key information】：
1⃣ Total supply: 1B (for valuation convenience), circulating supply: 322.58K (0.03225%), but in reality only 322,580.65 $pPOLY have been minted on BSC. The pool adds 12,903.23 tokens; the remaining 309,677.42 tokens have all been sent to the PancakeSwap active address. Unless something unexpected happens, this is the allocation for Binance Wallet Phase 1 Pre-Access Token event;

2⃣ The clear selling pressure is the 309,677.42 tokens from Pre-Access. At the initial price of 15.5, total sell pressure is $5M. Buy order support of $2M has been added in the range 1.55–15.5;

3⃣ Binance Alpha launches at 17:00; other CEXs are unknown;

4⃣ Polymarket’s valuation was $15B in April this year; in September it sought $1B fundraising at a $21B valuation. Meanwhile, the predicted industry leader Kalshi is seeking $750M fundraising at a $40B valuation;

5⃣ Above 15.5, liquidity is relatively thin—if you try to target $500k, there’s basically no liquidity. Targeting $100k would get you to about $26;

6⃣ Paimon Finance is a BNB Chain–based RWA DeFi platform invested in by YZi Labs. It has previously issued SPV Tokens for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Kalshi. Their goal is: by the end of 2026, launch 10–20 Pre-IPO tokens and successfully achieve 1–2 IPO exit events;

🔺Based on the known information, $pPOLY is not an official Polymarket token, nor does it equate to directly holding Polymarket equity. It only represents a tokenized exposure related to Polymarket’s SPV. The underlying assets, corresponding proportions, redemption mechanism, and whether it is authorized by Polymarket are not yet clear;

🔺Kalshi’s SPV Tokens:
$xKLSH: no lock-up valuation $39B ≈ $39 per token;
$pKLSH: 6-month lock-up valuation $28B ≈ $28 per token;

🟢In summary, this Binance Alpha new token in this round is extremely simple: only Pre-Access allocation chips + pool liquidity. There are no factors like lock-ups, airdrops, or “insider/rat” positions, nor project-team dumping. It’s merely a window-trading product, with weak official association, and it mainly depends on market and sentiment games;

🔺Previously, the SPV Tokens for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Kalshi had relatively average performance and price action. But with Binance Wallet Phase 1 Pre-Access hype plus Binance Alpha’s ample liquidity, $pPOLY should perform much better—still, it will mainly rely on sentiment-driven momentum;

(Attached image: estimated price model for snipers targeting $1M–$10M at opening)

🔍 Data from on-chain monitoring and public information | Analysis is for reference only | Not investment advice—DYOR

Binance Wallet — Paimon Polymarket SPV Token $PPOLY ✅ for the First Pre-Access Token Listing:

🔵 Listing time: 2026/9/24 17:00:00 UTC+8
🟢 Token name: $PPOLY
🔴 Token contract: 0x1d80392d12caaaf9e333bb0bb7f021eacf297fe6

Total supply 1B, circulating 322.58K (0.03225%), initial price $15.5290;

Pre-Access Token is a third-party tokenized asset that allows eligible users to indirectly obtain these assets before they are listed by a private company or related assets;

Go to the Binance self-custody wallet homepage and check the available activities via the “pre-order” banner; or go to the 【Discover】 tab and click the “pre-order” banner under “On-chain Opportunities”;

The total allocation quota depends on three factors: Alpha points, Trencher badge level, and bStocks on-chain level. The higher the Alpha points and the higher the bStocks on-chain level, the higher the allocation quota. Trencher badge holders will also receive an additional allocation quota. The final allocation rules are determined by PancakeSwap;

Double down (overdelivering): This is a new module for the Binance wallet, so I’m not very familiar with it yet—there may be some mistakes. Please forgive me 😅 I’m also learning 😂 This time might be either the new issue time or the listing time; it’s not certain. Just know that this is a thing, and whether to participate is up to you—DYOR.

Important iOS Mobile Reminder:

It’s not just that people get their information stolen when they install the FomoPeek app—rather, historical vulnerabilities in iOS have been exploited at large scale by illegal gray-market groups. So the best solution is to upgrade your iOS system;

Although I haven’t downloaded the FomoPeek app, I’m still taking the advice seriously. I’ll upgrade to the latest version right away 😂. The current latest iOS version should be 27; those who haven’t updated before may be prompted with 26.7. After updating, you should be able to continue upgrading as well!!

In addition, opening unknown web pages in Safari can also lead to data leakage. So upgrading your version is truly the top priority, because you never know which app might end up causing trouble;

$STG Stargate Finance (STG) token merger into LayerZero (ZRO), with the STG token converted to ZRO at a ratio of 1STG=0.08634ZRO.

I can’t understand it, but I’m thoroughly shocked. $MCAT went from closing at 0.25 yesterday at 14:30 to 0.9 right now—it's already up more than 260%.

I took a rough look and it seems like it was bought up by on-chain P juniors. I’ve mentioned this before, and most of the logic behind this rally is still MEME, but the specific trigger isn’t very clear.

And honestly, these past two days there have been tons of CAT and DOG—there are even moonshots that have their own $MCAT 😂—so it’s not surprising that value was discovered.

These P juniors who bought at the bottom have very good returns and profits. I’m jealous!!!