CryptoFund Radar
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CryptoFund Radar
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Crypto fund & institutional insights. VC funding, fund strategy, institutional adoption trends. Tracking smart money moves in crypto.
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New Delphi pod with Alex Wilson, co-founder of Cyclops and The Giving Block
Sold The Giving Block to Shift4 ONE YEAR after raising. Now building stablecoin payment rails.
Shift4 = customer AND investor. Out of stealth March, Series A July. 10+ customers in year one when target was 3.
His thesis: Most of the world's 200 currencies won't survive. Less than 25 left in 5-10 years.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
04:39 Door-to-door eBay hustle
15:59 $50M anonymous donation
17:41 Beat Coinbase by going narrow
19:55 Sold to Shift4 year later
25:23 Shift4 to NASA
27:31 Lessons from Jared
29:33 Hiring to scare people away
31:08 Why Cyclops
36:22 Ticket to space in stablecoins
37:54 Who stablecoins cut out
40:15 Agents need new checkouts
43:04 200 currencies → 25
46:12 Seed to Series A in a year
49:38 Swinging for $10B exit
New Delphi pod with Alex Wilson, co-founder of Cyclops and The Giving Block
Sold The Giving Block to Shift4 ONE YEAR after raising. Now building stablecoin payment rails.
Shift4 = customer AND investor. Out of stealth March, Series A July. 10+ customers in year one when target was 3.
His thesis: Most of the world's 200 currencies won't survive. Less than 25 left in 5-10 years.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
04:39 Door-to-door eBay hustle
15:59 $50M anonymous donation
17:41 Beat Coinbase by going narrow
19:55 Sold to Shift4 year later
25:23 Shift4 to NASA
27:31 Lessons from Jared
29:33 Hiring to scare people away
31:08 Why Cyclops
36:22 Ticket to space in stablecoins
37:54 Who stablecoins cut out
40:15 Agents need new checkouts
43:04 200 currencies → 25
46:12 Seed to Series A in a year
49:38 Swinging for $10B exit
Sold The Giving Block to Shift4 ONE YEAR after raising. Now building stablecoin payment rails.
Shift4 = customer AND investor. Out of stealth March, Series A July. 10+ customers in year one when target was 3.
His thesis: Most of the world's 200 currencies won't survive. Less than 25 left in 5-10 years.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
04:39 Door-to-door eBay hustle
15:59 $50M anonymous donation
17:41 Beat Coinbase by going narrow
19:55 Sold to Shift4 year later
25:23 Shift4 to NASA
27:31 Lessons from Jared
29:33 Hiring to scare people away
31:08 Why Cyclops
36:22 Ticket to space in stablecoins
37:54 Who stablecoins cut out
40:15 Agents need new checkouts
43:04 200 currencies → 25
46:12 Seed to Series A in a year
49:38 Swinging for $10B exit
17
Hooks meta on Solana was pure degen casino garbage. Literally zero substance, just exit liquidity farming dressed up as innovation. Wild how fast that narrative died.
Hooks meta on Solana was pure degen casino garbage. Literally zero substance, just exit liquidity farming dressed up as innovation. Wild how fast that narrative died.
70
Date night = $300. $200K salary = paycheck to paycheck.
This is what happens when you print 80% of all USD in just 5 years out of 250.
Inflation isn't a number anymore. It's lived reality. People are waking up.
$BTC is the exit.
The fiat debasement playbook is finally hitting home for the masses. When the middle class can't afford basics on six figures, the narrative shifts fast.
Hard money wins.
Date night = $300. $200K salary = paycheck to paycheck.
This is what happens when you print 80% of all USD in just 5 years out of 250.
Inflation isn't a number anymore. It's lived reality. People are waking up.
$BTC is the exit.
The fiat debasement playbook is finally hitting home for the masses. When the middle class can't afford basics on six figures, the narrative shifts fast.
Hard money wins.
This is what happens when you print 80% of all USD in just 5 years out of 250.
Inflation isn't a number anymore. It's lived reality. People are waking up.
$BTC is the exit.
The fiat debasement playbook is finally hitting home for the masses. When the middle class can't afford basics on six figures, the narrative shifts fast.
Hard money wins.
Second movers eat in AI. 🍽️
Tarun Chitra's take: the first mover burns cash and makes every mistake in public. The second mover just watches and fixes it.
Look at $Claude vs ChatGPT:
• Easier to use
• More human-like feel
• Non-technical people can actually build stuff with it
That's not luck. Anthropic studied what OpenAI got wrong and shipped a cleaner product.
Being first gets you headlines. Being second, and better, gets you the users.
The same logic applies to crypto. Early narratives pump, but the project that learns from the failures usually takes the market share. 👀
Second movers eat in AI. 🍽️
Tarun Chitra's take: the first mover burns cash and makes every mistake in public. The second mover just watches and fixes it.
Look at $Claude vs ChatGPT:
• Easier to use
• More human-like feel
• Non-technical people can actually build stuff with it
That's not luck. Anthropic studied what OpenAI got wrong and shipped a cleaner product.
Being first gets you headlines. Being second, and better, gets you the users.
The same logic applies to crypto. Early narratives pump, but the project that learns from the failures usually takes the market share. 👀
Tarun Chitra's take: the first mover burns cash and makes every mistake in public. The second mover just watches and fixes it.
Look at $Claude vs ChatGPT:
• Easier to use
• More human-like feel
• Non-technical people can actually build stuff with it
That's not luck. Anthropic studied what OpenAI got wrong and shipped a cleaner product.
Being first gets you headlines. Being second, and better, gets you the users.
The same logic applies to crypto. Early narratives pump, but the project that learns from the failures usually takes the market share. 👀
AGI debates just hit the suburbs. When normies start arguing about the singularity at dinner parties, we're closer than most think.
The shift from "crypto is a scam" to "when will AI take my job" happened fast. Same energy, different fear.
Macro implication: AI narrative is eating everything. $TAO $RENDER $FET positioning looks different when your neighbor is suddenly worried about AGI timeline.
AGI debates just hit the suburbs. When normies start arguing about the singularity at dinner parties, we're closer than most think.
The shift from "crypto is a scam" to "when will AI take my job" happened fast. Same energy, different fear.
Macro implication: AI narrative is eating everything. $TAO $RENDER $FET positioning looks different when your neighbor is suddenly worried about AGI timeline.
The shift from "crypto is a scam" to "when will AI take my job" happened fast. Same energy, different fear.
Macro implication: AI narrative is eating everything. $TAO $RENDER $FET positioning looks different when your neighbor is suddenly worried about AGI timeline.
Altcoins got absolutely rekt this month.
9 out of 10 alts bleeding red across the board.
Worst hit:
AI tokens -26%
Launchpads -25.2%
L1s -20.7%
$ETH DeFi -19.8%
Memecoins -18.4%
Rotation out of risk or just a liquidity vacuum? Either way, alts are in pain mode. Watch for capitulation signals before catching knives.
Altcoins got absolutely rekt this month.
9 out of 10 alts bleeding red across the board.
Worst hit:
AI tokens -26%
Launchpads -25.2%
L1s -20.7%
$ETH DeFi -19.8%
Memecoins -18.4%
Rotation out of risk or just a liquidity vacuum? Either way, alts are in pain mode. Watch for capitulation signals before catching knives.
9 out of 10 alts bleeding red across the board.
Worst hit:
AI tokens -26%
Launchpads -25.2%
L1s -20.7%
$ETH DeFi -19.8%
Memecoins -18.4%
Rotation out of risk or just a liquidity vacuum? Either way, alts are in pain mode. Watch for capitulation signals before catching knives.
Oct 30th: The real October Surprise? There wasn't one.
We spent the entire month arguing over data feeds and on-chain metrics while waiting for something big that never came.
Classic crypto. The hype was the event itself.
Oct 30th: The real October Surprise? There wasn't one.
We spent the entire month arguing over data feeds and on-chain metrics while waiting for something big that never came.
Classic crypto. The hype was the event itself.
We spent the entire month arguing over data feeds and on-chain metrics while waiting for something big that never came.
Classic crypto. The hype was the event itself.
Political trade thesis:
Republicans hold → long $SpaceX. Elon gets full send mode, deregulation tailwinds, Mars mission funding unlocked.
Dems sweep → rotate into Anthropic. Safety-first AI narrative wins, regulatory moat expands, Claude becomes the "approved" enterprise model.
Either way, someone's printing. Pick your lane based on the ballot.
Political trade thesis:
Republicans hold → long $SpaceX. Elon gets full send mode, deregulation tailwinds, Mars mission funding unlocked.
Dems sweep → rotate into Anthropic. Safety-first AI narrative wins, regulatory moat expands, Claude becomes the "approved" enterprise model.
Either way, someone's printing. Pick your lane based on the ballot.
Republicans hold → long $SpaceX. Elon gets full send mode, deregulation tailwinds, Mars mission funding unlocked.
Dems sweep → rotate into Anthropic. Safety-first AI narrative wins, regulatory moat expands, Claude becomes the "approved" enterprise model.
Either way, someone's printing. Pick your lane based on the ballot.
New Dem playbook dropped 👀
Report just surfaced linking anti-crypto sentiment in progressive circles with claims that CEXes and stablecoins are "too concentrated"
Translation: They can't kill crypto through direct regulation anymore, so they're pivoting to antitrust angles
Expect the next wave of attacks to target:
- Exchange monopolies
- Stablecoin dominance ($USDT/$USDC)
- Market structure "concentration"
This is how they'll try to block CLARITY Act and any pro-crypto legislation moving forward
They're not even hiding it anymore. Antitrust is the new weapon of choice against the industry
Stay sharp - this narrative will spread fast in DC
New Dem playbook dropped 👀
Report just surfaced linking anti-crypto sentiment in progressive circles with claims that CEXes and stablecoins are "too concentrated"
Translation: They can't kill crypto through direct regulation anymore, so they're pivoting to antitrust angles
Expect the next wave of attacks to target:
- Exchange monopolies
- Stablecoin dominance ($USDT/$USDC)
- Market structure "concentration"
This is how they'll try to block CLARITY Act and any pro-crypto legislation moving forward
They're not even hiding it anymore. Antitrust is the new weapon of choice against the industry
Stay sharp - this narrative will spread fast in DC
Report just surfaced linking anti-crypto sentiment in progressive circles with claims that CEXes and stablecoins are "too concentrated"
Translation: They can't kill crypto through direct regulation anymore, so they're pivoting to antitrust angles
Expect the next wave of attacks to target:
- Exchange monopolies
- Stablecoin dominance ($USDT/$USDC)
- Market structure "concentration"
This is how they'll try to block CLARITY Act and any pro-crypto legislation moving forward
They're not even hiding it anymore. Antitrust is the new weapon of choice against the industry
Stay sharp - this narrative will spread fast in DC
27
Banks didn't make anyone whole after 2008. They got bailed out while your savings got diluted to hell.
Binance just made users whole after the hack. No bailout. No money printer.
With $BTC, supply stays fixed at 21M. With fiat? Every crisis = more printing = your purchasing power gets wrecked.
This is why we're here.
Banks didn't make anyone whole after 2008. They got bailed out while your savings got diluted to hell.
Binance just made users whole after the hack. No bailout. No money printer.
With $BTC, supply stays fixed at 21M. With fiat? Every crisis = more printing = your purchasing power gets wrecked.
This is why we're here.
Binance just made users whole after the hack. No bailout. No money printer.
With $BTC, supply stays fixed at 21M. With fiat? Every crisis = more printing = your purchasing power gets wrecked.
This is why we're here.
25
If you think the Binance hack happened because crypto is uniquely vulnerable and tradfi is somehow immune in the AI era... you're delusional.
The same social engineering vectors, phishing attacks, and AI-generated deepfakes that compromised crypto exchanges can—and will—hit banks, brokerages, and payment processors.
Crypto just moves faster and the damage is more visible. Tradfi has the same attack surface, just slower settlement times and better PR teams to hide it.
Wake up. This isn't a crypto problem. It's a human problem amplified by AI tooling.
If you think the Binance hack happened because crypto is uniquely vulnerable and tradfi is somehow immune in the AI era... you're delusional.
The same social engineering vectors, phishing attacks, and AI-generated deepfakes that compromised crypto exchanges can—and will—hit banks, brokerages, and payment processors.
Crypto just moves faster and the damage is more visible. Tradfi has the same attack surface, just slower settlement times and better PR teams to hide it.
Wake up. This isn't a crypto problem. It's a human problem amplified by AI tooling.
The same social engineering vectors, phishing attacks, and AI-generated deepfakes that compromised crypto exchanges can—and will—hit banks, brokerages, and payment processors.
Crypto just moves faster and the damage is more visible. Tradfi has the same attack surface, just slower settlement times and better PR teams to hide it.
Wake up. This isn't a crypto problem. It's a human problem amplified by AI tooling.
32
The Binance hack sucks, but crypto's crisis playbook >>> TradFi's panic mode.
Next banking crisis? Skip the 10-page statements and emergency Fed meetings.
Just get Warsh to tweet "funds are SAFU" and watch confidence restore in 280 characters.
Crypto moves at the speed of trust. TradFi still stuck in committee meetings.
The Binance hack sucks, but crypto's crisis playbook >>> TradFi's panic mode.
Next banking crisis? Skip the 10-page statements and emergency Fed meetings.
Just get Warsh to tweet "funds are SAFU" and watch confidence restore in 280 characters.
Crypto moves at the speed of trust. TradFi still stuck in committee meetings.
Next banking crisis? Skip the 10-page statements and emergency Fed meetings.
Just get Warsh to tweet "funds are SAFU" and watch confidence restore in 280 characters.
Crypto moves at the speed of trust. TradFi still stuck in committee meetings.
49
$HYPE and $ZEC holding strong while everything else bleeds out
Relative strength during chaos = usually not a coincidence
Either smart money rotating or these are next to get wrecked
Watching closely but not aping in at potential local tops
$HYPE and $ZEC holding strong while everything else bleeds out
Relative strength during chaos = usually not a coincidence
Either smart money rotating or these are next to get wrecked
Watching closely but not aping in at potential local tops
Relative strength during chaos = usually not a coincidence
Either smart money rotating or these are next to get wrecked
Watching closely but not aping in at potential local tops
67
The narrative that AI is suddenly causing all these crypto hacks is lazy FUD.
We've been getting rekt by exploits for YEARS—DAO hack, Poly Network, Ronin Bridge, Mango Markets. None of that needed AI.
Same attack vectors: social engineering, smart contract bugs, poor OpSec, insider jobs.
AI might speed up reconnaissance or phishing at scale, but blaming every new exploit on AI is just convenient scapegoating.
The real issue? Protocols still shipping with weak audits, users still falling for Discord DMs, and bridges still being honeypots.
Fix the fundamentals. AI isn't the villain—lazy security is.
The narrative that AI is suddenly causing all these crypto hacks is lazy FUD.
We've been getting rekt by exploits for YEARS—DAO hack, Poly Network, Ronin Bridge, Mango Markets. None of that needed AI.
Same attack vectors: social engineering, smart contract bugs, poor OpSec, insider jobs.
AI might speed up reconnaissance or phishing at scale, but blaming every new exploit on AI is just convenient scapegoating.
The real issue? Protocols still shipping with weak audits, users still falling for Discord DMs, and bridges still being honeypots.
Fix the fundamentals. AI isn't the villain—lazy security is.
We've been getting rekt by exploits for YEARS—DAO hack, Poly Network, Ronin Bridge, Mango Markets. None of that needed AI.
Same attack vectors: social engineering, smart contract bugs, poor OpSec, insider jobs.
AI might speed up reconnaissance or phishing at scale, but blaming every new exploit on AI is just convenient scapegoating.
The real issue? Protocols still shipping with weak audits, users still falling for Discord DMs, and bridges still being honeypots.
Fix the fundamentals. AI isn't the villain—lazy security is.
69
BREAKING: Arbitrum Security Council just froze ~$30.5M from the Binance exploit.
Exploiter address:
0x3E2bf1ac6bf0934BBba6456C341c2EcbCED632d5
Tx hash:
0xb69c81774f507d46ce776aeaed8b4d31df96dd66ce6fd05073481011835355d6
Coordinated response. Funds secured. This is how you handle exploit recovery in real-time.
BREAKING: Arbitrum Security Council just froze ~$30.5M from the Binance exploit.
Exploiter address:
0x3E2bf1ac6bf0934BBba6456C341c2EcbCED632d5
Tx hash:
0xb69c81774f507d46ce776aeaed8b4d31df96dd66ce6fd05073481011835355d6
Coordinated response. Funds secured. This is how you handle exploit recovery in real-time.
Exploiter address:
0x3E2bf1ac6bf0934BBba6456C341c2EcbCED632d5
Tx hash:
0xb69c81774f507d46ce776aeaed8b4d31df96dd66ce6fd05073481011835355d6
Coordinated response. Funds secured. This is how you handle exploit recovery in real-time.
80
Tether and Circle will freeze what they can. Binance has deep pockets to cover the hack.
If it stays contained, this won't move markets much. Risk-off sentiment might spike short-term but liquidity cushion is there.
Watch for:
- USDT/USDC freeze announcements
- Binance official coverage statement
- Any contagion to other exchanges
Not a systemic risk unless it spreads. Stay calm, don't panic sell into the dip.
Tether and Circle will freeze what they can. Binance has deep pockets to cover the hack.
If it stays contained, this won't move markets much. Risk-off sentiment might spike short-term but liquidity cushion is there.
Watch for:
- USDT/USDC freeze announcements
- Binance official coverage statement
- Any contagion to other exchanges
Not a systemic risk unless it spreads. Stay calm, don't panic sell into the dip.
If it stays contained, this won't move markets much. Risk-off sentiment might spike short-term but liquidity cushion is there.
Watch for:
- USDT/USDC freeze announcements
- Binance official coverage statement
- Any contagion to other exchanges
Not a systemic risk unless it spreads. Stay calm, don't panic sell into the dip.
Binance hacked. AI bubble popped. Lab-grown gold now real.
Everyone's getting rekt. Game over.
Welcome to 2025 where nothing makes sense and your bags are worthless. 💀
Binance hacked. AI bubble popped. Lab-grown gold now real.
Everyone's getting rekt. Game over.
Welcome to 2025 where nothing makes sense and your bags are worthless. 💀
Everyone's getting rekt. Game over.
Welcome to 2025 where nothing makes sense and your bags are worthless. 💀
Power is now the real bottleneck for AI infrastructure, not chips.
A 1 GW data center waiting on power bleeds ~$8M/day just from chip depreciation. That's forcing devs to scramble — fuel cells, on-site gas plants, even generators built from retired jet engines.
These are all temporary fixes. The real play? Securing large gas turbines. GE Vernova's backlog is 6 years deep. SpaceX got tired of waiting and decided to cast their own turbine blades.
Big Tech is paying a premium for clean energy. Google just agreed to pay 2x the cost of a new gas plant for extra nuclear reactor output. Others are betting on advanced reactors, next-gen geothermal, and fusion (which has never even hit the grid).
The numbers are insane:
• Data centers used <5% of U.S. electricity in 2024
• 2030 forecasts now hit 17% and climbing
If you can deliver power faster than the grid, you can basically name your price. Energy infrastructure is the new alpha.
Power is now the real bottleneck for AI infrastructure, not chips.
A 1 GW data center waiting on power bleeds ~$8M/day just from chip depreciation. That's forcing devs to scramble — fuel cells, on-site gas plants, even generators built from retired jet engines.
These are all temporary fixes. The real play? Securing large gas turbines. GE Vernova's backlog is 6 years deep. SpaceX got tired of waiting and decided to cast their own turbine blades.
Big Tech is paying a premium for clean energy. Google just agreed to pay 2x the cost of a new gas plant for extra nuclear reactor output. Others are betting on advanced reactors, next-gen geothermal, and fusion (which has never even hit the grid).
The numbers are insane:
• Data centers used <5% of U.S. electricity in 2024
• 2030 forecasts now hit 17% and climbing
If you can deliver power faster than the grid, you can basically name your price. Energy infrastructure is the new alpha.
A 1 GW data center waiting on power bleeds ~$8M/day just from chip depreciation. That's forcing devs to scramble — fuel cells, on-site gas plants, even generators built from retired jet engines.
These are all temporary fixes. The real play? Securing large gas turbines. GE Vernova's backlog is 6 years deep. SpaceX got tired of waiting and decided to cast their own turbine blades.
Big Tech is paying a premium for clean energy. Google just agreed to pay 2x the cost of a new gas plant for extra nuclear reactor output. Others are betting on advanced reactors, next-gen geothermal, and fusion (which has never even hit the grid).
The numbers are insane:
• Data centers used <5% of U.S. electricity in 2024
• 2030 forecasts now hit 17% and climbing
If you can deliver power faster than the grid, you can basically name your price. Energy infrastructure is the new alpha.
43
AI stocks tanking 10-20% AH post-Google earnings is giving major red flags 🚩
What really spooks me? The financing web is a black box. Nobody's talking about the 2nd order effects when this house of cards starts wobbling.
We've seen this movie before in crypto - opaque capital flows, circular lending, everyone's bullish until liquidity evaporates overnight.
If AI narrative cracks, expect contagion into risk assets. $BTC and alts won't be immune if tech money starts pulling back hard.
Stay liquid. This could get messy fast.
AI stocks tanking 10-20% AH post-Google earnings is giving major red flags 🚩
What really spooks me? The financing web is a black box. Nobody's talking about the 2nd order effects when this house of cards starts wobbling.
We've seen this movie before in crypto - opaque capital flows, circular lending, everyone's bullish until liquidity evaporates overnight.
If AI narrative cracks, expect contagion into risk assets. $BTC and alts won't be immune if tech money starts pulling back hard.
Stay liquid. This could get messy fast.
What really spooks me? The financing web is a black box. Nobody's talking about the 2nd order effects when this house of cards starts wobbling.
We've seen this movie before in crypto - opaque capital flows, circular lending, everyone's bullish until liquidity evaporates overnight.
If AI narrative cracks, expect contagion into risk assets. $BTC and alts won't be immune if tech money starts pulling back hard.
Stay liquid. This could get messy fast.
AI narrative just topped locally. Time to fade the hype or wait for a better entry. Don't chase pumps at resistance.
AI narrative just topped locally. Time to fade the hype or wait for a better entry. Don't chase pumps at resistance.
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USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
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#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible 🚨 FED RATE CUTS UNLIKELY? HIGHER FOR LONGER COULD PRESSURE CRYPTO MARKETS
The Federal Reserve's latest policy decision signals a cautious approach to monetary easing, with inflation concerns and labor-market resilience keeping interest-rate expectations firmly in focus.
📊 FED POLICY UPDATE
Federal Funds Rate: 3.75%–4.00%
FOMC Vote: 10–2 split
October NFP Forecast: 65,000 new jobs
Potential Upside: 100,000 jobs
Unemployment Forecast: 4.2%
Average Hourly Earnings: +0.3% MoM
🇺🇸 NOVEMBER 6: THE NEXT BIG TEST
The October Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report could significantly influence the Fed's next policy decisions.
Three possible scenarios:
🟥 Hot NFP: Strong employment and wage growth could strengthen the US dollar, push Treasury yields higher and pressure Bitcoin, Ethereum and other risk assets.
🟡 In-Line NFP: Markets may remain cautious as investors wait for additional inflation and employment data.
🟢 Weak NFP: A weaker labor market could revive expectations of future rate cuts, potentially supporting precious metals and cryptocurrencies.
📉 WHAT THIS MEANS FOR CRYPTO
A higher-for-longer interest-rate environment generally creates challenging conditions for risk assets.
Investors should closely monitor:
US Dollar Index (DXY)
US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Gold (XAU)
Bitcoin (BTC)
Ethereum (ETH)
Federal Reserve policy signals
BOTTOM LINE
November 6 could be an important turning point for market expectations. A stronger NFP report may reinforce the Fed's cautious stance, while weaker employment data could reopen discussions about monetary easing.
⚠️ These are potential scenarios, not confirmed market outcomes. A single jobs report does not guarantee future rate hikes or eliminate the possibility of rate cuts.
Not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency and financial markets involve significant risk.
#FederalReserve #NFP #InterestRates #HigherForLonger #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Gold #USD #Macroeconomics
CHASEPA SULUXù
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