蓝调的阿冰

You always say that when I choose stocks, I pick the right sector but the wrong individual stocks.

For optical modules, I chose MRVL. I held it for a week to break even, and then the next day it surged to 240, reaching our original target of 245.
Another pick was COHR. Luckily, from 330 to 360 I took a few bites on the swings, but the magnitude wasn’t as good as LITE.

For storage, I chose Micron. My holding experience wasn’t as smooth as using SanDisk. Later, after Micron released good news, I decided to gamble on MU. At the 920 level, I traded back and forth, and I’d say I didn’t miss out.

For cryptocurrencies, after I personally opened 20 lots of Ethereum at 1946 and missed the chance to sell well, I looked for mainstream coins that might explode. I found my favorite—XRP. After the first wave of the rally, I bought directly. Meanwhile, the contracts on the neighboring exchange were still held. Today, Ethereum is up 4%, Bitcoin is up 5%, and XRP is up 21%.

What I want to say is: there’s no such thing as whether choosing the underlying asset is “correct.” The real question is whether you’re willing to hold it—whether you’re willing to follow your own logic and trade according to it. Thankfully, we stuck with it until the result.

Wishing you smoother and smoother trading going forward. Thank you, market. Respect the market.
$XRP

Take-profit already executed

P1 marks a long position I opened for myself. It was stopped out at 10 points, just as the European session ended at 5.
P2 shows gold’s 4-hour chart. With the CPI announcement coming up, if the figure is higher than expected, you can go short with a small position; if it comes in as expected, stay out.
P3 shows gold’s daily chart. The outlook isn’t very positive, so for now, try to trade gold only intraday via CFDs.
For investment opinions only. DYOR.

The apocalypse is here
I've already salvaged the electric eel engine ahead of time. The ultimate shelter, here I come!

We avoided the crash; now it's time to look for opportunities.
Focus mainly on shorting rallies. Buy good stocks on dips; QQQ is fine too.
Take it slow—don't lose sight of the bigger picture while chasing small gains.

I told you

Broaden your horizons to the global markets.
Why keep fixating on US stocks?
Haven’t Hong Kong stocks been looking good these past couple of days?
Aren’t Tencent and Xiaomi looking good? What about the STAR 50?
Capital is rotating and flowing back in. Xiaomi has broken out of a year-long slump. I watched it for three months, then jumped in.
Now I just need to wait for Tencent to pull back.

I’ll sacrifice my tiny position to help everyone get a rebound.
When semiconductors rebound, remember to thank me.

The LITE/COHR ratio has already fallen quite a bit.
Maybe COHR really will become the leader in optical devices in the future.

Guys, if you can’t even make sense of Micron, maybe spend less time looking at MRVL and LITE.
We can’t get a handle on those, sob 😭

MRVL went off making acquisitions with money it doesn't know where it came from. LITE has already been halted premarket, so don't trade contracts.

Apple seems to have become a safe haven....
It has already begun showing a negative correlation with the Nasdaq.
A safe haven from the AI wave—will the earnings report provide a better answer?
#AAPL

I’ve mentioned Niu Lai at 0.05 on my livestream many times. It could be a future 10x coin.
Baibu and CZ Dog were BSC projects that emerged two cycles ago, handpicked by CZ, with Baibu as the leader.
Binance Life was the leading Chinese-language coin last cycle. It was CZ’s autobiography. After listing, it bottomed around 40 million and went on to do 20x. Binance gave it a personal push.
Two coins have emerged this cycle: Niu Lai and Marscoin.
Niu Lai is a popular Chinese meme and fits the expectations for a bull market. Its price action is also similar to Binance Life’s, and the timing is similar. Now even a major event has happened, so it could move even faster.
Marscoin is an American coin. I still don’t think it’s a favorite child.
The focus is on Niu Lai.

On the weekly chart, 660 is a very critical level. If it breaks below that, the recovery could take a long time. Hopefully this sell-off turns out to be a false breakdown. I think the first wave of hype has already passed, and the second wave will show up in individual stocks.
On the daily chart, it touched the 686 level early this morning. I was asleep, so I didn’t notice and didn’t make any TQQQ calls.
Overall, just be ready with cash. As for the other 3X leveraged longs, stay strong!
Investment ideas: SPY, the Magnificent Seven, and QQQ to buy heavily on big dips.
#纳指 #标普

For now, all I can do is sit tight. I’m down 10% on paper, and including the profits I gave back earlier, all of September’s gains have been wiped out.
I won’t consider adding to my position for now. I haven’t managed to put what I know into practice. I kept warning about the risks and saying the downturn wasn’t over, but the short positions I opened during that period still haven’t made up the shortfall.
Markets are falling globally, so I’d rather stay mostly in cash.

Google fell a lot, and I’m underwater too. The actual stock is down about 5%, which is still okay.
Looking back at cloud stocks today, Microsoft had a dip, and Meta did too; both recovered.
Yesterday’s earnings call was also very optimistic. This time it was just GOOGL’s turn. If GOOGL goes down, it’ll drag the whole tech sector down with it, so whether you buy or not depends on the tech stocks you hold.
As for my own moves, my portfolio is currently about 70% invested. If there’s a chance to push it down to 280–270, I’ll put in the rest of my money. I’m not expecting a rebound in just a few days either; this is an extremely long process, so just be prepared.
Buying the dip is nothing new for Wall Street or Berkshire.
I’ll hold my positions for a long time. If you’re investing a small amount, there’s no need to overthink it. If you have money, buy and leave it there as an investment.

#谷歌财报能否守住基本盘
Let me put it this way: don’t overthink it—when it dips, just buy. It’s the best-value company among the Magnificent Seven.

WDC is also getting close to the hitting point.
The HDD sector business group.
Seagate's new technology also failed to bring Seagate a very good rise.
Waiting until 400-410 would be a very good short-entry point. Someone asked me why?
1. There is huge overhead trapped volume above, and the cycle is shifting from bull to bear. Not all storage, as you think, can be taken seriously; some stocks will move into an independent bear market.
2. Near the daily EMA200, it is a relatively critical level. There is a high probability of a false breakout upward before moving back down. Then the false breakout and drop back down is your entry timing.

Speaking of leverage, for medium- to long-term trades you do not need leverage. Stop losses will usually be relatively wide. If you trade stocks, you will understand this point: there is no such thing as a narrow stop-loss. It is roughly a 6-8% stop-loss. If the expected move is broken, you should stop out; take profit below.
#wdc #股票财报季

Let's make a prediction.
My personal prediction is as follows:
FOMO, no rate hike, hawkish remarks from Warsh, and inflation still mainly driven by AI CAPEX.
Then the market rebound ends here and starts heading down.
Google's earnings report shows continued spending increases and cash flow still in the negative. I'll buy after the drop.
I'm not considering Microsoft for now. Personally, I think Google is a very cheap company among the Magnificent Seven.
#股票财报季 #美联储何时降息？