Prediction market: single purchase >50U, +5 Alpha points task graphic tutorial Estimated loss: about 0.1U Activity period: June 30 16:00 — July 7 07:59
Operation path:
1. Go to the Binance Alpha campaign page and click the task entry
2. Select the “Culture” category
3. Find the market: “Will Jesus Christ descend before 2027?”
4. Select “No”
5. After buying at market price for more than 50U, then sell at market price again to complete the task.
Bind wallet invitation code: JBCAT (30% fee reduction; wallet and exchange invitation codes are separate. The wallet can be re-bound) One-click binding link: 币安钱包
Retail traders don't need to go wild over the SpaceX IPO, because you can't score major gains on $SPCX , unlike what you could with Tesla back in the day. This wave of AI is no different—whether it's NVDA, MU, SNDK, or MRVL, LITE... if you had the vision to buy in early, you could've cashed in big.
The crypto scene has completely exploded, and everyone got wrecked.
A bunch of exchanges took the SpaceX IPO allocation intending to sell it to crypto enthusiasts, and a good portion of the crypto crowd dug deep to participate in the new token launch. Now that it's done, they’re saying there’s no allocation left, and refunds come with a hefty fee of a few hundred bucks.
The worst part is, some folks saw that $SPCX pre-market contract skyrocketing, and they tried to hedge by going short to lock in profits. But the hedge turned into a loss, and they still can’t get their hands on the IPO stock.
Binance wallet SPCXx IPO ends today at 12:00 PM Current pre-market price is 169.1, while the IPO subscription price is 141.7
Binance wallet users are welcome to bind my referral code: JBCAT, or you can enter through the link 币安钱包 to receive a 30% fee rebate (the wallet and exchange referral codes are separate, and the wallet can be re-linked). #币安钱包推出spcxxipo
SpaceX IPO has really cranked up the hype around crypto stocks, and just now Binance announced the launch of real US stock token services, enabling 24/7 on-chain stablecoin trading for US stocks.
Users can buy stocks on Binance, which converts into stock tokens at a proportional rate, allowing withdrawal to the blockchain or direct exchange on-chain using stablecoins.
Maybe now is a good time to short $ONDO 🤔
As for dividends and stock splits, those are handled automatically on-chain through a leverage mechanism, with no T+1 or settlement period restrictions.
This means if you want to avoid any centralized brokers or exchanges, you can swap these US stock tokens on-chain using stablecoins. And if there's a future need, you can always redeem them back on Binance for stocks or sell them on-chain for USD stablecoins.
1. Only use spare cash (total assets 5%, for example $5,000)
2. Buy on the first day of the IPO
3. After 15 trading days (around 7/7), sell 70% when the ETF's forced buying pumps it up
4. Hold 30% as a zero-cost position for the long haul
5. Use the cash recovered to DCA during the bear market
Binance wallet users are welcome to link my referral code: JBCAT to get a 30% fee rebate (the wallet and exchange referral codes are separate, and the wallet can be re-linked). #币安钱包推出spcxxipo
Binance wallet launched the SpaceX IPO event, and this might be your last chance to hop on. $SPCX
Staking limits (USDC) are determined by Alpha points, with 0 points giving you a $20,000 limit, up to a max of $500,000. Anxiaojiang identity can score an additional $50,000 limit.
Subscription deadline: June 12th at noon. Event entry: Binance wallet homepage banner.
New users on Binance wallet can bind my referral code: JBCAT, to get a 30% fee rebate (wallet and exchange referral codes are separate, and the wallet can be re-bound).
The event is on the Binance wallet homepage, and the allocation is still based on Alpha points. If you have the An Xiao Jiang badge, you can snag an extra 50K allocation.
Points allocation rules:
1/ Alpha > 0, you get a 20K allocation;
2/ Alpha > 40, you get a 100K allocation;
3/ Alpha > 100, you get a 200K allocation;
4/ Alpha > 200, you get a 500K allocation.
Looks like the whole crypto community is hopping on this big rig, and I've already loaded my bags. #SpaceX
After a deep dive into the 'event trench' on Binance Wallet, I found it's still a total dumpster fire with zero participation value.
This protocol isn’t a binary prediction market. Right now, there are no market makers and zero liquidity; jumping in is just gambling on the settlement outcome. If you try to pull out midway, there's a dynamic redemption tax that skyrockets as you get closer to settlement, leaving you no room to backtrack. This also means it’s not suitable for multi-market arbitrage.
Current BTC 8-hour market real liquidity: total prize pool on paper is $832, with actual USDT injected around $60-80, and positions scattered across 18 addresses. That $76,500-77,000 bucket shows 1.6x leverage, but real deposits are only $19. If you throw in $100, you start getting diluted.
The so-called bonding curve advantage for early entrants hinges on the fact that you have to win the settlement. Getting in early just lowers your break-even point; it doesn’t change the fact that you need to bet the right direction.
As for cross-market arbitrage (comparing Polymarket odds): it exists in theory, but in reality, the redemption tax cost outweighs any price differential gains.
Seeing the crackdown on Huobi/Futu/ChangQiao by 8 Chinese departments, most KOLs think it's bullish for the crypto space RWA but overlook three fatal points.
The narrative these KOLs believe is: "Demand hasn't disappeared → traffic goes to RWA → bullish for ONDO/Hyperliquid/RWA sector."
This represents their three fatal assumptions: Assumption 1: Mainland users will turn to on-chain RWA. The reality is: The mainstream channels for mainland users to buy US stocks are never just Futu/Huobi. IBKR, Yinxing Securities, Hong Kong stock accounts, relative-held Hong Kong accounts—there are many fallback options. More importantly, the same regulatory framework that targets Futu can also be used to clamp down on on-chain RWA. If on-chain RWA really captures mainland traffic, it will become the next target. The regulation is against the behavior of "mainland funds illegally crossing borders to buy foreign assets," not against companies like Futu.
Assumption 2: On-chain RWA is accessible to mainland users. The reality is: Currently, all compliant on-chain RWAs (Ondo, Dinari, Backed) require KYC and clearly do not serve residents of mainland China. Non-compliant options (on-chain synthetic stocks without KYC) face even greater regulatory risks than Futu, as they lack even a Hong Kong license.
Assumption 3: This is a catalyst for the RWA narrative. The reality is: The RWA narrative has existed for a long time and has already been priced in. ONDO has dropped 88% from its ATH, with a tokenized US Treasury TVL of $15 billion, yet the token price is tanking. This event does not add incremental value to the RWA narrative; it doesn't change the fundamentals of RWA, it merely provides a pretext for those already bullish on RWA to tweet about it.
This policy is essentially a tightening of China’s capital controls, not a bullish signal for RWA.
Seeing this news, I believe it's incredibly bullish for the crypto space and $HYPE , and it points out the direction for upcoming opportunities in the crypto market.
The crypto space can perfectly address all the pain points for retail traders wanting to trade global assets.
Convenient and fast, user-friendly, no restrictions, and easy capital flow. These advantages in user experience are particularly crucial for the product. $HYPE
Yesterday, all the trades that the AI executed got stopped out, with losses ranging from -20% to 50%. After reviewing the situation, I found that after the AI opened the positions, the overall market turned and this trend continued into the altcoins. Moving forward, I’ll be adding some big trend indicators for the AI.