The macro economy is in a state of complete deviance from common sense. Whether it is the cycle of long-term and short-term interest rate inversion, economic fundamentals and market expectations, geopolitical emergencies, or conflicts in the performance of major asset prices, etc., they are constantly reshaping a new anti-globalization economic cognition

Web3 is integrated into the global financial market, and the game and arbitrage paths are greatly strengthened. A very typical phenomenon is that the price of cryptocurrency is now extremely sensitive to the release of US economic data, which is rare in 2016 and 2021. But it is also a double-edged sword, with both advantages and disadvantages.

The favorable side: volatility will be reduced, the safety factor will be enhanced, the technical arbitrage space will be large, and after global financial binding, it will be more predictable and more in line with the cycle law.

The disadvantages: the expected increase will decline. With the increase of financial instruments and the increase of the capital volume of participants, the unilateral increase will be effectively flattened under the background of arbitrage profits. With the entry of professional players, it will be more difficult for retail investors to make profits.

The current response strategy:

1. For non-professional players, configuring BTC is still the simplest and most correct investment plan. It is executed in a fixed investment manner, with regular and quantitative investment, combined with the 9 God Index, safe and stable.

2. For professional players (my humble opinion is for reference only), layout the strong track of the market, with AI, RWA, MEME, SOL ecology as the main line, combined with market sentiment monitoring tools, combined with on-chain data, mainly do sector rotation, double the principal, and switch arbitrage guided by market sentiment. In the case of insufficient incremental funds in the market, hot money grouping is the most sensible strategy, similar to A-share board hitting, if there is a window guided by the media community, the success rate is higher