$BTC $ETH

The impact of the peace talks between Israel and Hamas and the CPI on Wednesday

(1) Successful peace talks + CPI lower than expected: probability 10%

BTC soars back to $70,000, the bull market returns quickly, and everyone is happy

(2) Failed peace talks + CPI lower than expected: probability 35%

A big drop in the failed peace talks, a rebound in the CPI lower than expected

The positive and negative factors offset each other, BTC fluctuates around $60,000, but the copycats bleed and get hurt

(3) Successful peace talks + CPI higher than expected: probability 35%

In this case, the success of the peace talks is not a good thing, it can only be said that it will not fall

CPI higher than expected will definitely fall sharply, BTC falls to $55,000

(4) Failed peace talks + CPI higher than expected: probability 20%

Both are bad news, it will fall

BTC falls below $55,000, defend $50,000

After reading these 4 situations, we can draw the conclusion: it is more bad than good.

Don’t touch the contract for the time being. The risk is too great. I would rather miss out than make mistakes.