Will #BTC走势分析 BTC go to 56500?
Buy when no one cares, sell when the crowd is bustling. Although this sentence is familiar, it is not easy to really do it. How can retail investors judge when no one cares and when the crowd is bustling?
No one cares is often accompanied by panic and hesitation of retail investors. In the process of market decline, retail investors are often harvested repeatedly, constantly buying at the bottom and cutting their meat until the principal is greatly lost, and they are scared to enter the market again. At this time, the market is full of bearish voices, retail investors no longer discuss, and bloggers sing short, which may be a sign of the bottom. In addition, when retail investors are deeply trapped and lose confidence in the market, the market often probes at the bottom, and most retail investors eventually cut their meat and leave the market at the bottom. The emergence of bad news will also aggravate the panic of retail investors, but the real bottom often appears after retail investors panic sell. However, even at the bottom, most retail investors cannot get on the bus because they are already shrouded in fear and cannot make the right decision.
Recently, many people say that 56,500 is the bottom. I don’t know if it is the bottom, but the rally in the first quarter has lost many retail investors, who think that the market will not fall much. Many people are bottom-fishing. However, theoretically speaking, the current position is still the top. Although many copycats have fallen a lot and look like the bottom, I personally feel that those are smoke bombs. The position of the big pie reflects the real position of the market. Looking at the big pie, it is still the top. Therefore, if the big pie plummets, it is hard to imagine how tragic it will be. It can be understood that we split a complete bull market into several small bull markets, and each turn to a bear market is an opportunity for us to get on the train again.
