#BTC‬ #基本面

Last night the three major U.S. stock indexes rose, the S&P hit a new all-time high, Nvidia rose more than 4% and continued to hit new highs, and the U.S. semiconductor sector rose again. I have to say that the rhythm of U.S. stocks is really simple. One step back, two steps forward, steady. Investors live in fear of rising prices every day. The U.S. stock market last night was not affected by Japan's interest rate hike, because expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut have arisen again. So how will the U.S. stock market perform tonight on non-agricultural night? Will BTC ETF inflows be affected? Will it indirectly affect BTC to continue to take off or fall back to find support? Finally, there is Brother Cat’s trading plan. 🥳🥳🥳

1. On Thursday, Powell’s dovish remarks, which were criticized by lawmakers, were also believed by the market that the Federal Reserve is not far away from cutting interest rates. Last night, the U.S. stock market and bond market sent out optimistic signals. Tonight, the U.S. will release non-farm payrolls. Employment report. Here we have to repeat the knowledge point again. Historically, the Fed will only cut interest rates when inflation meets the conditions and the economy is in recession. Now that inflation has not reached the target, it is on the rise. U.S. stocks are rising so well. Wouldn't cutting interest rates at this time add fuel to the fire? If U.S. stocks continue to rise like this, inflation does not come down, and the economy is doing well, why would Powell cut interest rates? I personally think that if the Fed decides to cut interest rates, it must have seen some dangerous signals before taking action.

3. To sum up, Brother Mao believes that tonight’s data may reflect some signs of recession in the United States, so Powell sent a dovish signal one night in advance. However, there is no need to panic too much. What U.S. stocks need to be wary of is that the Federal Reserve’s delay in lowering interest rates has led to severe recessions in the U.S. economy (such as the previous COVID-19 epidemic, the Silicon Valley banking crisis, etc.). These often cause market panic and even sharp declines. , and for other benign corrections, there is no need to panic, as they will continue to rise.

4. For the currency circle, when the U.S. stock market corrects, it will inevitably have an impact on the continued inflow of BTC ETFs, resulting in a certain degree of backlash on BTC. Therefore, it is necessary to pay attention to the inflows and outflows of ETFs in real time tonight. Brother Mao's trading plan is very clear. If there is a slight retracement after the non-agricultural data is released tonight, he will get back on the market after the retracement is completed (estimated to be in the 65000-66000 range). I wonder if the market will give you a chance?