$BTC lost support — and this is where risk management decides who stays in the game 📉
Bitcoin is at $69,195 today, down 13.94% for the week, with an RSI-14 of 19.7 (oversold). The $72,727 support level, which had held for days, broke yesterday. This week’s new support is the low of $67,568; the nearest resistance is the 24-hour high of $72,288.
Today’s lesson, using a $500 account as an example:
1. The 1% per-trade rule: the most you can lose on a trade is $5. That’s not the position value — it’s the amount you’d lose if the stop is triggered.
2. Place your stop at a structural level, not a round number: with support at $67,568, the stop goes below it, at $67,400. Entry at $69,195 → risk of $1,795 per BTC.
3. The stop determines your position size: $5 ÷ $1,795 = 0.0028 BTC (about $194). The stop determines the size — never the other way around.
4. Check the risk/reward ratio before entering: target at $72,288 → potential gain of $3,093 per BTC. Risk/reward ratio of 1.72:1. The minimum I recommend is 1:2. The result: this trade FAILS the test. The best trade today is no trade at all.
5. Ten small stop-outs are better than one all-in: 10 losses of 1% leave a $500 account with about $452 (-9.6%). One lost all-in trade leaves the account at $0. Preserving capital is strategy #1 — those who survive can trade again tomorrow.
What about you: do you calculate your position size based on your stop, or do you still trade by gut feeling? 👇
#Bitcoin #GestaoDeRisco #CriptoVisao
Bitcoin is at $69,195 today, down 13.94% for the week, with an RSI-14 of 19.7 (oversold). The $72,727 support level, which had held for days, broke yesterday. This week’s new support is the low of $67,568; the nearest resistance is the 24-hour high of $72,288.
Today’s lesson, using a $500 account as an example:
1. The 1% per-trade rule: the most you can lose on a trade is $5. That’s not the position value — it’s the amount you’d lose if the stop is triggered.
2. Place your stop at a structural level, not a round number: with support at $67,568, the stop goes below it, at $67,400. Entry at $69,195 → risk of $1,795 per BTC.
3. The stop determines your position size: $5 ÷ $1,795 = 0.0028 BTC (about $194). The stop determines the size — never the other way around.
4. Check the risk/reward ratio before entering: target at $72,288 → potential gain of $3,093 per BTC. Risk/reward ratio of 1.72:1. The minimum I recommend is 1:2. The result: this trade FAILS the test. The best trade today is no trade at all.
5. Ten small stop-outs are better than one all-in: 10 losses of 1% leave a $500 account with about $452 (-9.6%). One lost all-in trade leaves the account at $0. Preserving capital is strategy #1 — those who survive can trade again tomorrow.
What about you: do you calculate your position size based on your stop, or do you still trade by gut feeling? 👇
#Bitcoin #GestaoDeRisco #CriptoVisao
