Since its inception, Bitcoin has never had two consecutive years of annual losses. But its performance from 2025 to 2026 has broken some past market patterns, and investors worry that it could close the year down again.
Based on its current price performance, Bitcoin would need to rebound by more than 18% before the end of the year and break back above $87,500 to post a gain for 2026. That would require fairly strong buying in the short term.
However, some analysts believe that the current sense of market panic may be amplifying the negative impact of the decline. Although Bitcoin has performed weakly this year, the scale and duration of this correction may be relatively mild compared with previous bear markets.
In addition, while the launch of spot #比特币ETF once brought significant capital into the market, it may also have priced in some of the expected gains early, limiting the upside potential in the current cycle.
Overall, Bitcoin is still facing considerable market pressure, and whether it can climb back above $87,500 by year-end remains to be seen. Although Bitcoin has often rebounded after down years, historical patterns do not guarantee future performance.
Based on its current price performance, Bitcoin would need to rebound by more than 18% before the end of the year and break back above $87,500 to post a gain for 2026. That would require fairly strong buying in the short term.
However, some analysts believe that the current sense of market panic may be amplifying the negative impact of the decline. Although Bitcoin has performed weakly this year, the scale and duration of this correction may be relatively mild compared with previous bear markets.
In addition, while the launch of spot #比特币ETF once brought significant capital into the market, it may also have priced in some of the expected gains early, limiting the upside potential in the current cycle.
Overall, Bitcoin is still facing considerable market pressure, and whether it can climb back above $87,500 by year-end remains to be seen. Although Bitcoin has often rebounded after down years, historical patterns do not guarantee future performance.