₿ BITCOIN — November 12, 2026
📍 Price: ~$73,700–74,000 (peak $74,635, pullback)
📉 Week: -8.3% — BTC is not following the Nasdaq rally of +1.6%
⚔️ Trigger: CPI above forecast + US 10Y yield returned to 5% — a December rate hike is almost inevitable
📊 WHAT MATTERS
• BTC ETFs: Nov 10 -$95 million, Nov 11 -$299.8 million — 4–5 consecutive sessions of outflows
• IBIT (BlackRock): -$269.7 million — 88% of all outflows on Nov 11
• MSCI removes Strategy from its indexes starting Nov 30 — risk of $2.8 billion in passive selling
• 24-hour liquidations: $290 million (longs $170 million, shorts $120 million)
• Fear & Greed: 28 (“fear”)
⚖️ LEVELS
🟢 Support: $73,100–73,300 → $72,700–73,000 → $71,800–72,000
🔴 Resistance: $75,000–75,600 → $76,600–78,000
💬 SENTIMENT
BTC is squeezed in a descending wedge between the 21-week MA ($73,078) and the 50-week MA ($75,492). The market is ignoring the rise in stocks — crypto sentiment remains weak. A break above $75,600 would restore momentum; a loss of $73,100 opens the way to $71,800.
⚠️ RISKS
• CPI above forecast — a December rate hike weighs on risk assets
• ETF outflows for 5 consecutive days — institutions are leaving
• $72,700–73,000 — critical support; if broken, target is $71,800
• MSCI: removal of Strategy — a blow to the crypto treasury model
⚠️ Not financial advice. The crypto market carries high risk.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #ETF #BlackRock #IBIT #FOMC #CPI #MSCI $BTC
📍 Price: ~$73,700–74,000 (peak $74,635, pullback)
📉 Week: -8.3% — BTC is not following the Nasdaq rally of +1.6%
⚔️ Trigger: CPI above forecast + US 10Y yield returned to 5% — a December rate hike is almost inevitable
📊 WHAT MATTERS
• BTC ETFs: Nov 10 -$95 million, Nov 11 -$299.8 million — 4–5 consecutive sessions of outflows
• IBIT (BlackRock): -$269.7 million — 88% of all outflows on Nov 11
• MSCI removes Strategy from its indexes starting Nov 30 — risk of $2.8 billion in passive selling
• 24-hour liquidations: $290 million (longs $170 million, shorts $120 million)
• Fear & Greed: 28 (“fear”)
⚖️ LEVELS
🟢 Support: $73,100–73,300 → $72,700–73,000 → $71,800–72,000
🔴 Resistance: $75,000–75,600 → $76,600–78,000
💬 SENTIMENT
BTC is squeezed in a descending wedge between the 21-week MA ($73,078) and the 50-week MA ($75,492). The market is ignoring the rise in stocks — crypto sentiment remains weak. A break above $75,600 would restore momentum; a loss of $73,100 opens the way to $71,800.
⚠️ RISKS
• CPI above forecast — a December rate hike weighs on risk assets
• ETF outflows for 5 consecutive days — institutions are leaving
• $72,700–73,000 — critical support; if broken, target is $71,800
• MSCI: removal of Strategy — a blow to the crypto treasury model
⚠️ Not financial advice. The crypto market carries high risk.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #ETF #BlackRock #IBIT #FOMC #CPI #MSCI $BTC
