【Today's Macro and Political Analysis | November 11】
Current $BTC price: 73540U $ETH 2055U
The market's central tension has shifted from liquidity expectations alone to three key factors: inflation, the interest rate path, and political regulation.
U.S. CPI rose 0.4% month over month in October. Although this was lower than September's 0.6%, prices for housing, food, and energy continued to rise. More importantly, price pressures are gradually spreading from short-term factors such as energy and tariffs into dining, services, and everyday consumer goods.
This means the Federal Reserve is unlikely to pivot quickly toward easing in the near term. Some officials have already begun discussing a more aggressive path of rate hikes, and market expectations for future rate decisions are being repriced. As long as inflation remains elevated, dollar liquidity may stay tight, and valuation pressures on risk assets are unlikely to disappear quickly.
Politically, the balance of power in the U.S. Congress shifted after the midterm elections, making the policy environment facing the crypto industry more complex. Regulatory priorities in the future may focus on trading platforms, stablecoins, decentralized finance, politically connected funds, and industry compliance.
Stablecoins, asset tokenization, and blockchain payments still have room to grow, but the industry will become increasingly divided. Projects with stronger compliance and real-world use cases may continue to attract institutional interest, while businesses with high leverage, low transparency, or unclear regulatory boundaries will face greater scrutiny.
The 500U live trading challenge is ongoing. I publicly share daily trading plans, entries and exits, take-profit and stop-loss levels, and profit-and-loss reviews.
If you'd like to follow along with the trading, feel free to follow the Binance account: 宋词BNB.
Current $BTC price: 73540U $ETH 2055U
The market's central tension has shifted from liquidity expectations alone to three key factors: inflation, the interest rate path, and political regulation.
U.S. CPI rose 0.4% month over month in October. Although this was lower than September's 0.6%, prices for housing, food, and energy continued to rise. More importantly, price pressures are gradually spreading from short-term factors such as energy and tariffs into dining, services, and everyday consumer goods.
This means the Federal Reserve is unlikely to pivot quickly toward easing in the near term. Some officials have already begun discussing a more aggressive path of rate hikes, and market expectations for future rate decisions are being repriced. As long as inflation remains elevated, dollar liquidity may stay tight, and valuation pressures on risk assets are unlikely to disappear quickly.
Politically, the balance of power in the U.S. Congress shifted after the midterm elections, making the policy environment facing the crypto industry more complex. Regulatory priorities in the future may focus on trading platforms, stablecoins, decentralized finance, politically connected funds, and industry compliance.
Stablecoins, asset tokenization, and blockchain payments still have room to grow, but the industry will become increasingly divided. Projects with stronger compliance and real-world use cases may continue to attract institutional interest, while businesses with high leverage, low transparency, or unclear regulatory boundaries will face greater scrutiny.
The 500U live trading challenge is ongoing. I publicly share daily trading plans, entries and exits, take-profit and stop-loss levels, and profit-and-loss reviews.
If you'd like to follow along with the trading, feel free to follow the Binance account: 宋词BNB.
