21:30 CPI data is out 👇
Headline: 0.4% (forecast: 0.3%); core: 0.3% (forecast: 0.2%). Combined with stronger-than-expected ADP, everything beat expectations—proof of a fake dove, real hawk 🦅
BTC fell in response, entirely reasonably. Sticky core inflation kills hopes of a dovish pivot; a 25 bp hike in December is now the baseline, and liquidity is being repriced ✊
Tai Chi response (yin in control):
❌ Defend: The 74.5k floor is being tested. If it breaks, reduce exposure without hesitation; next support is 68–70k.
❌ Avoid: Don’t chase shorts or buy the dip. With no fresh inflows (ETF outflows, stablecoin supply shrinking), catching the falling knife on the left side is dangerous.
✅ Wait: Let panic-driven volume exhaust itself; revisit a reversal once yin gives way to yang and the market stabilizes.
Manage risk strictly, hold the line, and wait for the new cycle 💹
$BTC
Headline: 0.4% (forecast: 0.3%); core: 0.3% (forecast: 0.2%). Combined with stronger-than-expected ADP, everything beat expectations—proof of a fake dove, real hawk 🦅
BTC fell in response, entirely reasonably. Sticky core inflation kills hopes of a dovish pivot; a 25 bp hike in December is now the baseline, and liquidity is being repriced ✊
Tai Chi response (yin in control):
❌ Defend: The 74.5k floor is being tested. If it breaks, reduce exposure without hesitation; next support is 68–70k.
❌ Avoid: Don’t chase shorts or buy the dip. With no fresh inflows (ETF outflows, stablecoin supply shrinking), catching the falling knife on the left side is dangerous.
✅ Wait: Let panic-driven volume exhaust itself; revisit a reversal once yin gives way to yang and the market stabilizes.
Manage risk strictly, hold the line, and wait for the new cycle 💹
$BTC
