Good morning to you all.

A number of market watchers have swiftly downgraded their 2027 growth forecasts, yet this development is perhaps better framed as a shift in the balance of risks around a central scenario. Choosing the term central rather than baseline reflects the broader structural uncertainties currently confronting the market.

This economic conversation follows yesterday's dramatic downturn in the NASDAQ, which marked its largest drop since March 2020. The resulting ripple effects underscore just how heavily leveraged the broader financial system has become on the AI trade. That exposure stems from solid drivers, including strong productivity promise, immense investment scale, and encouraging IPO prospects, but it also reflects vulnerabilities such as circular or interdependent financing alongside excessive leverage.

As we look ahead, the main priority involves stabilizing market effects while ensuring adverse financial spillovers to the real economy remain strictly contained.

#economy #tech #ai