Web3锦鲤日记

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November 7 Koi Daily:

1. $BTC fell to a low of 74,800, then rebounded. If it recovers to 76,000 and holds, it may have another chance to push for 80,000. Suitable for swing trading.

2. $ETH has been fluctuating around 2,200. It’s holding up pretty well. Wait and see.

3. SOL: The primary market is heating up a bit. If it holds above 90, it could push for 100.

4. Aave Labs acquired the team and technology behind the on-chain lending project Avon;

5. Waters called for legislation to stop Trump’s crypto-related conflicts of interest. Democrats say they can work with the industry to develop a regulatory framework;

6. U.S. semiconductor stocks that rebounded after hours and overnight before the market opened all started falling after the open. We can say it was a rebound, not a reversal;

7. Uniswap confirmed V4 Hooks support on Elysium, with the mainnet expected to launch on November 9;

8. Binance will close French users’ accounts on December 31, 2026, because it has not received regulatory approval under the EU’s MiCA framework;

9. Former U.S. House Financial Services Committee Chairman Patrick McHenry admitted that he should bear some responsibility for the obstruction of market structure legislation;

10. The Greek parliament passed a crypto tax law: annual net gains above €500 will be taxed at 10% on the full amount of gains. It remains unclear whether swaps are taxable;

11. The U.S. 401(k) proposal sets no minimum market cap for digital assets. Experts expect crypto options to appear starting in 2027;

12. Fed’s Daly: Behind the painful volatility is an economic rebalancing;

Fed’s Daly: We will have to tighten monetary policy further;

Fed’s Daly: A strong labor market will help us complete the fight against inflation;

Getting ready for a December rate hike;

13. Maxine Waters is running for chair of the House Financial Services Committee, saying she will introduce legislation to regulate the crypto industry and prediction markets;

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Primary market: On the SOL chain, two launchpads, PUMP and RAY, are competing. BAGS and STONK have also arrived. It’s getting more and more interesting. More new token launches are good for retail investors;

BSC: More startup and grassroots marketing concepts are emerging. Small caps offer high potential returns, while large caps are still too difficult. The Robinhood chain is average.

Secondary market: Only a few are rallying; overall, there’s panic.

Patience, patience, and more damn patience. Always wanting to get rich quick and not wanting to keep money in your hands for even a minute—how can that work!!!!!

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The primary market #meme is entering the off-season again!

Yesterday, whether on BSC or the SOL chain, a few new narratives finally emerged. But BTC fell so hard today that they went down with it. Funds on-chain are also afraid to make a move, and the market caps of these projects are limited too.

In this kind of market, guys, don't rush to buy the dip on really old projects. Once the overall trend turns downward, there is no bottom for old projects—only lower lows.

Take BREW, for example. It’s the same story every year: an occasional pump is just for show. Its market cap has already fallen to just over a million, and that doesn’t change the underlying trend.

If you’re sure there’s fresh capital flowing into a new, hot opportunity, then just follow along.

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#Diamond 8 ten-thousand market cap — reasons I'm bullish

1. Interesting narrative and startup concept. PUMP just launched a new feature today called the “Diamond Algorithm,” designed specifically for Callout Rewards. The main focus is rewarding people who truly hold and don't sell (encouraging holders).

However, it's still experimental for now. Its actual effectiveness depends on how it's adjusted going forward and how many people really use it this way.

2. Low market cap. When this new project launched at an 80k market cap, I decisively bought some. The token distribution is reasonable, with the top 100 holders owning 49.6%, and a few leading wallets.

3. The community is decent, with over 3,200 holders and over 2,500 community members. Promotion is mainly through images and text.

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#Rocco 41 market cap, reasons to be bullish

1. The narrative is interesting: game concept, animal concept. In the latest GTA 6 trailer, there is a dog named Rocco; this is the pet-raising system: the first dog every player will get in Grand Theft Auto 6

I just checked again, the latest screenshot as well as historical screenshots. It should be the confirmed name.

2. The market cap is relatively low. The new listing reached a high of 512,000 today, then dropped to 410,000 and recovered a bit. The token distribution structure is reasonable; the top 100 hold 61.7%, and there are a few leading holders

3. The community is okay, with over 1,400 holders and over 1,000 community members,

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HZbiEpF2oM658EpjNRRqxharz5L9Ddm8akpSH2R5pump

#Bubbles 13 ten-thousand market cap, reasons I'm bullish

1. The narrative is interesting, with a startup concept built around tools and the community on XRPL. Its main focus is token trading, data interfaces, and real-world token data examples.

2. The market cap is low. The new launch peaked at 208,000 yesterday, then dropped to 130,000 today, so I decisively bought some. The token distribution is concentrated, with the top 100 holding 76.9%, and there are a few whale wallets.

3. The community is decent, with over 500 holders and more than 300 community members. Promotion is mainly through images and text, and the project team continues to post updates.

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A market cap of #coin 15 × 10,000; reasons to be bullish

1. An interesting narrative and cultural concept. The name is Coin (coin), and it can be paired with any coin. It’s an early-stage token with clean fundamentals and no story framework locked in ahead of time, which makes it quite interesting.

2. Low market cap. Since launching, the new token has climbed to around 150,000. The token distribution is reasonable: the top 100 holders own 60.7%, and there are several large holders.

3. A united community, with nearly 3,500 token holders and over 2,000 holders. People participate in both the Chinese- and English-speaking communities, and promotion is mainly through images and text.

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November 6 Koi Daily:

1. BTC has been dragged down by U.S. stocks. Of course, maybe it was waiting for this too—another doorway pattern on the chart. The 70–75K support zone is key;

2. ETH has followed suit, with little else to add. It’s back to 2,200, but still holding up a bit better than its big brother;

3. SOL has fallen to 88. The good news is we can gradually buy the dip, and on-chain profit opportunities are pretty good too.

4. Hyperliquid Strategies’ subsidiary has applied to become a futures commission merchant. If approved, it will custody U.S. client accounts;

5. The Fear & Greed Index fell to 28 today, putting the market in “Fear” territory;

6. Uniswap has listed permissioned assets for the first time, with GromaCorp bringing real estate issuance and redemption to an AMM;

7. Reporter Charles Gasparino wrote that liquidations at U.S. equity hedge funds in this cycle will reach their highest level since 2009;

8. Tech investor Jason: “The bottom is in. I’m going to dig every last penny out of the couch cushions to buy the dip”;

9. Core Scientific plans to fully exit the Bitcoin mining business by the end of 2026;

10. During yesterday’s sharp crash, Hyperliquid’s “priority fees” hit an all-time high;

11. An incorrect state root calculation in the Reth client affected some EVM chains, prompting LayerZero to pause related cross-chain activity;

12. Deribit: BTC and ETH options worth around $2.86 billion will expire today;

13. The Dubai International Financial Centre Courts have proposed establishing a dispute resolution oracle;

14. Texas governor-elect: “We can work with Musk, but construction of data centers must stop first”;

15. Michael Saylor warns that a new threat to the crypto industry comes from hackers using AI;

16. South Korea’s finance minister: Necessary measures will be taken to prevent the stock market from overreacting and deviating too far from fundamentals;

17. The probability of a Fed rate hike in December is 68.7%;

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In the primary market, new token launches on the SOL chain’s RAY are increasing, and the launchpad concept Xiaojin looks promising. On the BSC chain, FLAP is innovating with CORLA, bringing in a wave of new liquidity. A few tokens did 10x yesterday, so this is worth watching in the short term. The Robinhood chain is a nonstarter.

In the secondary market, everything has crashed. A few are still holding firm, such as ZEC, ARB, and AAVE, which I’ve mentioned repeatedly. The market manipulation is too obvious; at this stage, I’m only looking at the strong ones.

Everyone has their own strengths. The key is whether you believe or not. Buy the dip early and “enjoy” early, then lie back early. Patience is the biggest requirement in the investment market, and most people don’t have it.

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Every time you think the BSC chain is done for, it suddenly takes off.

Today, one of the tokens repeatedly recommended by Core, #CORAL , went from a market cap of 360K to 1.56M, a gain of over 4x. Snowball went from 30K to 345K, a gain of over 11x. Congratulations to everyone who made money!

Today, Flap came up with a new concept called Pool Launch and tested the pons model: go straight into the pool, with the creator adding liquidity first. Everyone mints together, and once the pool is full, it officially launches. They claim everyone starts at the same line, making it a little fairer.

The first project, #CORLA , appeared right away—and it was even officially listed. It quickly reached a million-dollar market cap. A bunch of small-cap projects with new concepts also popped up.

Liquidity across the BSC chain recovered all at once, and the money-making potential grew significantly. Keep in mind, though, that the market has only just started to improve. If you’re trading, stick to swings: take out your principal and some profits when you’re up, then get out. A few may reach 10x, but for now, don’t count on 100x.

Looks like this new market cycle still needs new concepts to drive it!

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#杀零狗 Market cap: 30k. Reasons for being bullish

1. Interesting narrative: FLAP is a new concept. These tokens were issued under Flap's newly launched Pool Launch model. There are 10 quadrillion tokens in total, so I’m treating it like a lottery ticket.

2. Low market cap. I decisively bought a little when the new project hit 30k, treating it like a lottery ticket. The holder distribution is reasonable: the top 100 holders own 64.5%, and there are several leading wallets.

3. The community is decent. There are nearly 400 holders and over 200 community members, with most promotion done through text.

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0x24a5841e379f40bab29580447ff589187e087777

#null Market cap of 110K; reasons for optimism

1. Interesting narrative: a launchpad concept and startup concept. A launchpad ending in nuLL. For every transaction, NULLARY takes 0.4%, half of which is used to buy it and burn it. The more popular the platform gets, the stronger the deflation.

2. Low market cap. The new token peaked at 210K, then fell to 110K and has ticked up a bit. Token holdings are concentrated, with the top 100 holding 80.4%. There are a few whales.

3. The community is doing alright: nearly 400 holders and over 200 community members, mainly foreigners. The project team is continuing to post updates.

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#HIGH 170 10,000 market cap; reasons for optimism

1. Interesting narrative: a startup concept, a launchpad concept—a memecoin launchpad, similar to an open-source alternative to pumpfun, deployed on Raydium.

Anyone can quickly create a memecoin for 0.02 SOL, then buy and sell it along a bonding curve. Once enough SOL has been raised, the coin “graduates” to a Raydium liquidity pool, where the pool’s liquidity is permanently burned or locked to prevent anyone from withdrawing it.

2. A clear trend: the new token launched on November 3 and reached a high of 345,000. Yesterday it hit a new high of 4.5 million, then fell to 1.7 million and has recovered a bit. Holdings are relatively concentrated: the top 100 holders own 70.5%, and there are a few leading wallets.

3. A united community: over 4,600 holders and more than 2,000 community members, mostly overseas. Promotion is mainly through images and text, and the project team continues to post updates.

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#CORLA Market cap: 360K. Reasons I'm bullish

1. Interesting narrative: a launchpad concept and the new FLAP concept. The first token issued under Flap's newly launched Pool Launch model. It was issued through Corla, a community launch platform officially recognized by Flap.

This model does away with the traditional bonding curve mechanism and injects tokens directly into a liquidity pool, giving everyone an equal starting point from day one. There are only 1 million tokens.

2. Low market cap. It launched at 360K, and I got in right away. The token distribution is reasonable: the top 100 holders own 40.5%, and there are a few whale wallets.

3. A united community, with over 2,600 token holders and more than 2,000 community members. The community is primarily Chinese-speaking and promotes the project mainly through images and text. The team continues to post updates.

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November 5 Koi Daily:

1. BTC: No big surprises. Yesterday it rebounded to a high of 81.1K and held above 80K. It may have room to break higher, with 85K as the target.

2. ETH is very strong. It climbed to 2,450 yesterday; if it breaks and holds above 2,500, the next target is 3,000.

3. SOL rebounded to 98 yesterday and still has a chance to return to 100. Things are also starting to take off on-chain;

4. HSBC, JPMorgan and three other banks have established GL1 Org to advance the infrastructure for tokenized financial markets;

5. If the CLARITY Act fails to secure bipartisan support and reach the 60-vote threshold in the Senate, it will expire on January 3, 2027;

6. Paradigm co-founder: Trading volume on Kalshi’s midterm election markets is about three times that of the 2024 U.S. presidential election;

After all, prediction markets weren’t very developed back then;

7. Fox News reports: Vance plans to form a “New Right” coalition;

Is the ruling party starting to split?

8. Tom Lee: AI trading is still very active, and Democrats are pushing crypto legislation;

9. Grayscale and BlackRock: The results of the U.S. midterm elections won’t change the crypto industry’s growth trajectory;

10. Democrats take control of the U.S. Congress, creating new regulatory headwinds for the crypto industry;

11. JPMorgan has included Bitcoin in its 2027 long-term capital market assumptions, forecasting an annualized return of 10%;

12. LayerZero and 21X completed an institutional-grade on-chain order book pilot on Zero’s permissioned chain, matching up to 10,000 orders per second;

Does anyone actually use this kind of thing?

13. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. Tech stocks were mixed, while semiconductor-related industries were among the biggest losers;

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In the primary market, liquidity is gradually returning and all kinds of wild pumps are starting. New narratives are emerging on Solana: gaming, and Trump impeachment; more small accounts are hitting seven figures. On BSC, 7AGENT, which I mentioned a few days ago, and AGC have both continued to set new highs. The AI narrative is taking off, so keep watching this space. Robinhood Chain has been pretty average.

For now, focusing on Solana and BSC is enough.

In the secondary market, I posted some tokens to buy the dip in the group yesterday, such as STX, RAY, and UNI. They’re the ones going up today, too. This market is slowly getting better, so don’t be afraid.

The last bearish catalyst—the midterm elections—is behind us. Q4 is for buying the dip, buying the dip, buying the dip, and then reaping the rewards in Q1 next year.

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I think the biggest reason Trump lost so badly—even losing Texas—is obvious: the war with Iran. The nuclear issue remains unresolved, oil prices have doubled, inflation has picked up again and rate hikes have resumed. People feel it most when they have no money in their pockets, and stocks were also hammered right before the election.

If Republicans want any chance of turning things around in the next election, ending the war sooner is key. Otherwise, it’ll be the Democrats’ biggest talking point again come election time. (That’s why, as soon as today’s results came in, oil prices plunged.)

With Democrats controlling both chambers, no matter what they said before the election about not letting data centers take resources away from people’s livelihoods, they’ll still push ahead with AI. Silicon Valley is the Democrats’ stronghold. They’ll still develop stablecoins, too—strengthening the dollar system is a core interest shared by both parties. On the other hand, now that Trump has lost both chambers, he can’t get orders out of the White House and can’t pull any more stunts.

As far as I can see, there don’t seem to be any more bearish factors to worry about before the midterms.

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The midterm election results are in: the Democrats have won both the House and the Senate. Tomorrow, the Democratic Party’s bigwigs are going to speak and boost market confidence.

We’re all here to make money; no one wants to jeopardize their livelihood.

In the secondary market, the golden buying opportunity has now appeared.

Some of the stronger picks in this wave:

1. UNI, HYPE

2. PEPE, Bull Is Coming

3. ZRO, STX, PUMP, ZEC, BAT

Among these coins today, ZEC is the strongest, up 8% in 24 hours. It’s now around $1,283, with a market cap of $21.8 billion—already larger than HYPE’s. It’s the leader in the privacy sector. The other coins haven’t moved much during pullbacks, but have bounced back strongly, showing strong investor confidence.

If you’re looking to buy the dip, you can start scaling in.

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#GANG Really, the timing couldn’t have been worse: the on-chain scene was at its quietest, and then a hacking incident happened.

But the price is holding up fairly well now, and the team is iterating rapidly.

The latest update yesterday was the launch of “This Week’s Picks.” The picks aren’t based on market cap, but on how many new agent users a meme has brought in.

Also, a trade only counts as a valid referral if the user trades that meme twice within 7 days.

You can see that every GANG update and feature is designed around a PVE model, which also fits the fact that agent wallets are the only ones tied to verified identities.

That makes it clear this isn’t a playground for high-frequency shitcoins, but a base for independent devs.

GANG wants devs to hold their tokens, make sure fees are distributed properly, and attract new users. That way, the projects devs build can focus on the long term instead of short-term attention.

I took a look at the holdings, and quite a few of the top wallets are holding steady. A few have taken some profits to reduce their risk, which is understandable. I still think GANG has potential in the long run. Maybe once the team has dealt with the recent hacking incident, Binance will take notice of GANG. A team this good is hard to come by!

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After $MARSCOIN of these coin-stock narratives got listed on Binance, things on BSC cooled off completely.

Among the projects playing around with AI minting based on Binance Agent IDs, the current leader is still #JAGENT . It seems to have stabilized at a market cap of over 3 million. The runner-up is GANG, which has held steady above 2 million.

Both are representative projects in the Agent narrative. If you can afford it, pick up a little of each. They could be the next key projects to get listed on Binance Alpha, so there may be a second chance.

Everyone knows how this game works, and everyone is waiting to see what Binance does next.

Binance might have made a move this month, but the hacking incident has delayed it by at least a month. There’s been no new liquidity injection.

There have been quite a few more junk projects over the past couple of days, so be careful.

For now, the best thing to do is what I said yesterday: play the previous hot projects and their leaders. You’ll have a better chance of coming out ahead. After all, once this is over, Binance will need to pump and list new projects to get attention and attract more capital. And it’s been a long time since Alpha listed anything new—it’s about time. The Agent concept is an opportunity.

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