📊 Midday Deep Dive | BTC Reclaims $80,000, Midterm Elections Reshape the Macro Landscape

A major overnight market shift: Republicans lost control of Congress in the U.S. midterm elections, and Vice President Vance publicly acknowledged that the Iran war was the main reason for the defeat. Markets are betting the conflict will end sooner, sending Brent crude down 10% in a single day to below $100 and lifting risk appetite across the board.

🔥 Market Action:
• $BTC reclaimed $80,000 in one fell swoop, with $320 million in short positions liquidated within 30 minutes
• S&P 500 rose 1.6%, Dow Jones rose 3%, and gold climbed 3.4% to $4,063
• VanEck noted that BTC’s correlation with the Nasdaq is breaking down, while its correlation with U.S. stocks is just 33%

🏦 Institutional Developments:
• JPMorgan included $BTC in its 2027 long-term capital market assumptions, forecasting annualized returns of 10%
• Nasdaq approved the listing of Canary’s $INJ staking ETF
• SEC issued a no-action letter to Canton Network, deeming $CC a digital commodity
• Morgan Stanley became one of the first major banks to tokenize U.S. stocks, while Stripe’s stablecoin payments now cover 160+ markets

💡 Deep Dive: A divided Congress and legislative gridlock mean more spending and government borrowing, a long-term tailwind for hard assets. Based on four-year cycle patterns, VanEck believes this cycle’s bottom arrived in October. Bhutan has become the third country whose central bank holds crypto, as sovereign adoption continues to spread.

NFA | DYOR

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