Analyst Egrag Crypto analyzed XRP’s historical data from 2013 to 2025 and found that in 7 of the past 13 October-to-November periods, XRP fell in October and continued falling in November, while in the other 6 periods it rebounded. The two outcomes were nearly evenly split, suggesting that October’s performance alone makes it difficult to predict whether XRP will rise or fall in November.
The data shows that October 2026 was XRP’s fourth-worst October on record, surpassed only by October 2013, 2018, and 2024.
Looking at historical November returns, the median was a 9.1% loss, while the average return reached 78.3%. This was because XRP saw exceptionally strong gains in 2013, 2014, 2020, and 2024, rising 489.1%, 148.2%, 179.2%, and 282.9%, respectively, which significantly pushed up the average. As a result, November performance in most years was not as strong as the average figures might suggest.
However, historically, XRP has rebounded strongly in November on all three occasions following a severe October decline. For example, XRP fell 16.6% in October 2024 but rose 282.9% in November. These are only past trends, though, and do not mean that 2026 will necessarily follow the same pattern.
As for November, Egrag Crypto expects the first half of the month to remain weak and volatile, potentially bringing another shakeout, while the second half could see a strong rebound and possibly a substantial rally.
The data shows that October 2026 was XRP’s fourth-worst October on record, surpassed only by October 2013, 2018, and 2024.
Looking at historical November returns, the median was a 9.1% loss, while the average return reached 78.3%. This was because XRP saw exceptionally strong gains in 2013, 2014, 2020, and 2024, rising 489.1%, 148.2%, 179.2%, and 282.9%, respectively, which significantly pushed up the average. As a result, November performance in most years was not as strong as the average figures might suggest.
However, historically, XRP has rebounded strongly in November on all three occasions following a severe October decline. For example, XRP fell 16.6% in October 2024 but rose 282.9% in November. These are only past trends, though, and do not mean that 2026 will necessarily follow the same pattern.
As for November, Egrag Crypto expects the first half of the month to remain weak and volatile, potentially bringing another shakeout, while the second half could see a strong rebound and possibly a substantial rally.