📰 Why Did ETH’s October 2026 Rally Suddenly End?

In October, ETH’s price took a roller-coaster ride, plunging 16.1%—its second-worst performance since October 2016. This brought the rally of the past three months to an abrupt end, and investor sentiment cooled instantly. For an Ethereum market accustomed to bullishness, this was a sobering blow, and the market needs to reassess the current environment.

Why does this news matter?
ETH’s plunge didn’t come out of nowhere. First, it broke the market’s three-month uptrend, which often signals that some kind of resistance has been breached and that the market may be entering a correction. Second, historical data shows that ETH’s weakness in October is often linked to changes in macro liquidity. October 2026 may coincide with a quarterly earnings season or a policy window (such as the run-up to a Federal Reserve rate decision), prompting market participants to reallocate capital. In addition, compared with BTC’s steady performance ($78,320.6, 24h 0.11%), ETH’s relative weakness highlights the specific pressures it is facing.

Market impact
In the short term, ETH’s decline could dampen overall risk appetite, particularly affecting altcoins. However, given that BTC remains strong, this may be a style rotation rather than a full-blown crisis. In the longer term, if ETH remains under pressure, developers may be compelled to accelerate development across the Layer 2 and Layer 1 ecosystems to hedge against Layer 1 volatility. In a similar historical episode, after ETH’s October 2016 crash, it spent half a year forming a bottom, suggesting that the current decline could be laying the groundwork for a recovery in the coming months.

Trading outlook
Our current assessment is that ETH is likely entering a short-term correction. If the price fails to hold above the $2,000 level over the next two weeks (invalidation condition: a break below $2K invalidates this thesis), the risk of a deeper pullback may warrant attention. However, given ETH’s status as a major asset, the likelihood of a sharp decline is relatively low, and this could be viewed as a potential opportunity to add to positions.

This article is not sponsored by any project, and the author does not hold any of the assets mentioned.

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⚠️ This is not investment advice. Predictions are for reference only.

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