On November 3, voting in the U.S. midterm elections will begin closing at 6 p.m. local time, with most results coming in that evening. However, results in the Senate could take longer if key states are too close to call.
Polls show Democrats leading by about 8–13 points in the national generic ballot, and historical trends also favor the opposition party. Prediction markets are more decisive: Democrats have about a 93–94% chance of winning the House and a 70–72% chance of winning the Senate. The most likely outcome is that Democrats take both chambers.
I think the data currently clearly favors a Democratic comeback, especially since a Democratic House win is pretty much the market consensus. The Senate is more of a toss-up, but overall, I think Trump’s side will lose 😂
$BTC
Polls show Democrats leading by about 8–13 points in the national generic ballot, and historical trends also favor the opposition party. Prediction markets are more decisive: Democrats have about a 93–94% chance of winning the House and a 70–72% chance of winning the Senate. The most likely outcome is that Democrats take both chambers.
I think the data currently clearly favors a Democratic comeback, especially since a Democratic House win is pretty much the market consensus. The Senate is more of a toss-up, but overall, I think Trump’s side will lose 😂
$BTC
