#英特尔创1974年以来最差单日表现

Intel plunged nearly 30% in a single day, wiping out $140 billion in market value. This is an epic crash of the kind we see once in decades. If you’re going to trade Intel, you need to completely rethink the logic behind this setup. Forget about long-term value—right now, Intel is purely an emotional meat grinder.

For your next trades in Intel, follow this approach:

First, never try to catch a falling knife on day one.
After a 28% plunge, the market is littered with leveraged positions facing liquidation and desperate retail investors. There will most likely be another wave of panic selling and stop-loss orders on day one. Trying to buy the dip now is like using your own capital to fill a pit. Keep your hands off and watch.

Second, watch closely for a technical “dead-cat bounce.”
After a plunge of this magnitude, there will most likely be an oversold bounce. But this is absolutely not a reversal—it’s a chance for trapped holders to escape, and an opportunity for us to go short. If the stock bounces back toward the intraday moving average, or rallies 5% to 8%, but volume fails to pick up and it forms a long upper wick, go short immediately. The Q4 fundamentals and guidance are weak, and PC demand is expected to remain sluggish through 2027. These kinds of deep-seated problems can’t be fixed in a few days.

Third, follow the move and go short if it breaks below the previous low.
If the stock keeps drifting down, or even breaks decisively below the low set on the day of the plunge on heavy volume, don’t hesitate—follow the trend and go short. That means the panic is still spreading, institutions are still unloading shares at any price, and the stock is testing even deeper lows.

Specific rules for managing your position:
For short positions, set a strict stop-loss above the bounce high. If the stock breaks above intraday resistance on heavy volume, that means buyers are stepping in aggressively to prop it up—admit you’re wrong and exit immediately. Never hold and hope. On the downside, the first target is the low reached during the plunge. If it breaks below that level, take half off and let the rest run. Keep your position size firmly below 10% of your total capital, with leverage capped at 3x.

Remember, Intel is now facing a double whammy: earnings and valuation are both collapsing. Don’t try to guess the bottom based on conventional wisdom. The broader backdrop is that the Fed is stubbornly holding onto high interest rates, while tech stocks are undergoing indiscriminate deleveraging. Follow the downtrend, take your profits from this wave of panic, and get out—don’t overstay your welcome.