I’ve lasted this long in crypto not by guessing tops and bottoms, but by following a set of no-frills rules.

I’ve paid my tuition: During a sharp market sell-off, I saw a coin that had fallen less than others and assumed it was holding up well. I bought in, and three days later it broke support on heavy volume. I sold at my stop-loss, but it kept falling. I accepted the lesson: discipline is more reliable than gut instinct.

When a coin falls less during a sharp sell-off, I add it to my watchlist and wait. Sometimes it’s holding up simply because its turn to catch down hasn’t come yet. $ETH

For short-term trades, I watch the 5-day moving average; for medium-term trades, the 20-day. If the price holds above it, I stick to my plan. If it breaks below and weakens, I reduce my position. I don’t fight the trend.

I look at price and volume together. I watch when prices rise on heavy volume, and don’t panic when they pull back on lighter volume. If prices fall on heavy volume and break support, I don’t stubbornly hold on. $BTC

If nothing happens for a few days after I buy, I revisit my reasons for buying. If the price action is far from what I expected, I don’t fool myself with “let’s wait a little longer.” I set my stop-loss in advance and follow through when it’s hit.

A big drop doesn’t mean a rebound is coming. If I want to trade an oversold coin, I wait for it to stabilize before getting in. I don’t try to catch a falling knife.
I don’t focus on the small coins that have crashed the hardest. Cheap doesn’t mean opportunity; liquidity depends on trading activity and interest.
I don’t guess bottoms; I follow the trend. When prices rise, I wait for a pullback. When they fall, I keep my hands off. Buying because something is cheap and watching it keep falling still hurts.

I review both wins and losses. I distinguish between getting the call right and simply getting lucky with the market. One winning trade doesn’t mean I should get carried away.

If there’s no opportunity, I stay out of the market. I don’t have to trade every day. Closing the app when I’m itching to trade is a move too.

My view: There’s nothing magical about this approach. The key is to make fewer mistakes and protect your capital. I don’t expect to get every trade right; I just want to lose less when I’m wrong. The market punishes stubbornness; rules keep itchy fingers in check. @BTC阿焱 $LSK