FOMC holds rates steady: Five coins rebound—who can break through resistance first?
The Fed kept the federal funds target rate at 3.75%–4.00%, with a 10–2 vote; Cook and Hammack favored a 25-basis-point hike. The statement noted that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace, inflation remains elevated, job gains and labor supply have continued to move in tandem, and the unemployment rate has changed little. Holding rates steady does not necessarily mean a shift toward easing; that is our interpretation of the statement.
【Market snapshot | Beijing time 10/29 02:42:45–46】
The following are Binance spot USDT quotes; changes are relative to the 01:59 close before the decision, not 24-hour changes.
BTC 81,215.07, +0.44%
ETH 2,363.03, +0.77%
SOL 102.31, +0.63%
BNB 752.18, +0.37%
XRP 1.3311, +1.06%
【Four-hour structure and conditional outlook】
BTC: The rebound has yet to reclaim the 81,342–81,823 resistance zone; structural support below is 80,397.
ETH: Price has entered the 2,362–2,388 resistance zone. A four-hour close above it followed by a successful retest is needed to confirm that this zone has flipped from resistance to support; the original structural support is 2,323.20.
SOL: The rebound is recovering, but price still needs to reclaim 102.75–103.69; structural support below is 100.46.
BNB: Still within its range; support is 742–747, and resistance is 761.42–762.20. The current four-hour candle hit a low of 746.67 intraperiod, then rebounded after reaching the support zone.
XRP: Price has entered the 1.3251–1.3398 resistance zone; the current candle hit an intraperiod low of 1.3078, briefly fell below 1.3096, then recovered. It should not be described as having closed below that level on the four-hour chart. The next key development to watch is how price retests after breaking above resistance.
All five coins are up versus before the decision, and a rebound is underway. ETH and XRP have entered their prior resistance zones first, while BTC and SOL still need to reclaim key levels above. 04:00 Beijing time is the next four-hour close to watch. Reclaiming resistance and holding it on a retest would give the recovery room to continue; a close below support would invalidate the corresponding rebound outlook.
There is no new completed four-hour candle yet, so the original structural levels are not being moved around in response to minute-by-minute price changes. The support and resistance levels above are analytical reference points based on completed four-hour swing points and the daily chart context—not price targets that are guaranteed to be reached. Short-term price movements cannot be attributed to the FOMC alone. The policy section is based on the published statement and does not include the press conference.
Sources: Federal Reserve, Binance; cross-checked against Kraken USD quotes. Prices may differ across exchanges, quote currencies, and timestamps; they are not intended for precise return comparisons.
Fed statement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20261028a.htm
Not investment advice.
Are you watching ETH and XRP break resistance, or waiting for BTC and SOL to follow?
#美联储 #BTC #Crypto Market
The Fed kept the federal funds target rate at 3.75%–4.00%, with a 10–2 vote; Cook and Hammack favored a 25-basis-point hike. The statement noted that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace, inflation remains elevated, job gains and labor supply have continued to move in tandem, and the unemployment rate has changed little. Holding rates steady does not necessarily mean a shift toward easing; that is our interpretation of the statement.
【Market snapshot | Beijing time 10/29 02:42:45–46】
The following are Binance spot USDT quotes; changes are relative to the 01:59 close before the decision, not 24-hour changes.
BTC 81,215.07, +0.44%
ETH 2,363.03, +0.77%
SOL 102.31, +0.63%
BNB 752.18, +0.37%
XRP 1.3311, +1.06%
【Four-hour structure and conditional outlook】
BTC: The rebound has yet to reclaim the 81,342–81,823 resistance zone; structural support below is 80,397.
ETH: Price has entered the 2,362–2,388 resistance zone. A four-hour close above it followed by a successful retest is needed to confirm that this zone has flipped from resistance to support; the original structural support is 2,323.20.
SOL: The rebound is recovering, but price still needs to reclaim 102.75–103.69; structural support below is 100.46.
BNB: Still within its range; support is 742–747, and resistance is 761.42–762.20. The current four-hour candle hit a low of 746.67 intraperiod, then rebounded after reaching the support zone.
XRP: Price has entered the 1.3251–1.3398 resistance zone; the current candle hit an intraperiod low of 1.3078, briefly fell below 1.3096, then recovered. It should not be described as having closed below that level on the four-hour chart. The next key development to watch is how price retests after breaking above resistance.
All five coins are up versus before the decision, and a rebound is underway. ETH and XRP have entered their prior resistance zones first, while BTC and SOL still need to reclaim key levels above. 04:00 Beijing time is the next four-hour close to watch. Reclaiming resistance and holding it on a retest would give the recovery room to continue; a close below support would invalidate the corresponding rebound outlook.
There is no new completed four-hour candle yet, so the original structural levels are not being moved around in response to minute-by-minute price changes. The support and resistance levels above are analytical reference points based on completed four-hour swing points and the daily chart context—not price targets that are guaranteed to be reached. Short-term price movements cannot be attributed to the FOMC alone. The policy section is based on the published statement and does not include the press conference.
Sources: Federal Reserve, Binance; cross-checked against Kraken USD quotes. Prices may differ across exchanges, quote currencies, and timestamps; they are not intended for precise return comparisons.
Fed statement: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20261028a.htm
Not investment advice.
Are you watching ETH and XRP break resistance, or waiting for BTC and SOL to follow?
#美联储 #BTC #Crypto Market
