The market is currently pricing in about a 10% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Fed on October 28, and nearly a 90% probability of rates remaining unchanged. A rate cut is barely priced in.
Pausing rate hikes does not mean a shift toward easing. What the market is really watching is whether the policy statement lays the groundwork for another hike in December, and how the Fed assesses oil prices and inflation. If the Fed holds rates but its remarks are hawkish, risk assets such as BTC could still fall. Are you betting that “a pause is bullish,” or that “a hawkish pause is more dangerous”?
$BTC $ETH 🔸 #美联储 #加息概率 #FOMC #市场定价美联储下周加息概率仅10%
Pausing rate hikes does not mean a shift toward easing. What the market is really watching is whether the policy statement lays the groundwork for another hike in December, and how the Fed assesses oil prices and inflation. If the Fed holds rates but its remarks are hawkish, risk assets such as BTC could still fall. Are you betting that “a pause is bullish,” or that “a hawkish pause is more dangerous”?
$BTC $ETH 🔸 #美联储 #加息概率 #FOMC #市场定价美联储下周加息概率仅10%
