About 6 hours ago, all 3 contracts in the morning “High-Level Distribution Watch · Bearish” have now played out. All 3 are weakening, with none still bouncing or consolidating.
Recap of the initial watch: selling pressure is spreading.
BMT: Played out; the morning bearish outlook has materialized.
Since the initial watch, the price has fallen 12.76%, confirming the expected pullback from elevated levels.
Open interest has declined 15.88%, while the taker buy/sell ratio is down 0.03 from the initial reading to 1.02. This suggests positions are being closed, though taker buying has only weakened marginally.
ANIME: Played out; both price and buying support have weakened.
Since the initial watch, the price has fallen 13.64%, giving back a significant portion of the morning gains.
Open interest has declined 20.05%, and taker buying is weaker than at the initial reading. No additional buying support has emerged during the pullback.
LA: Played out; the bearish outlook holds, though the decline has been relatively modest.
Since the initial watch, the price has fallen 4.00%, and the taker buy/sell ratio has dropped to 0.87.
Selling currently dominates, suggesting buying support remains thin. So far, order flow shows no sign of reversing the pullback.
Next, watch whether prices continue to weaken and whether the taker buy/sell ratio remains under pressure.
If taker buying rebounds significantly and price and open interest stabilize together, that would contradict the current bearish thesis and warrant a reassessment.
#合约复盘 #RiskWatch
Contract data compiled with assistance from Claude Fable 5. For informational purposes only; please verify independently.
Recap of the initial watch: selling pressure is spreading.
BMT: Played out; the morning bearish outlook has materialized.
Since the initial watch, the price has fallen 12.76%, confirming the expected pullback from elevated levels.
Open interest has declined 15.88%, while the taker buy/sell ratio is down 0.03 from the initial reading to 1.02. This suggests positions are being closed, though taker buying has only weakened marginally.
ANIME: Played out; both price and buying support have weakened.
Since the initial watch, the price has fallen 13.64%, giving back a significant portion of the morning gains.
Open interest has declined 20.05%, and taker buying is weaker than at the initial reading. No additional buying support has emerged during the pullback.
LA: Played out; the bearish outlook holds, though the decline has been relatively modest.
Since the initial watch, the price has fallen 4.00%, and the taker buy/sell ratio has dropped to 0.87.
Selling currently dominates, suggesting buying support remains thin. So far, order flow shows no sign of reversing the pullback.
Next, watch whether prices continue to weaken and whether the taker buy/sell ratio remains under pressure.
If taker buying rebounds significantly and price and open interest stabilize together, that would contradict the current bearish thesis and warrant a reassessment.
#合约复盘 #RiskWatch
Contract data compiled with assistance from Claude Fable 5. For informational purposes only; please verify independently.