Check $BTC 5:30 PM 📊

WHAT CHANGED: In the morning, $BTC was reacting at $82,283 (+0.9%). At 5:30 PM, it is trading at $81,628 (-0.84% over 24h): the reaction lost momentum and the day turned negative. The day's high ($82,941) only brushed the $82,750 trigger zone, with no 4-hour close above it.

LEVELS: support at $79,800 (weekly low, intact) · resistance at $82,750 (upside trigger) → $84,352 (weekly high). Price remains below the 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 4-hour chart ($82,530 / $82,728), and RSI is at 42: neutral, with neither side showing exhaustion.

VERDICT: the morning thesis is ON HOLD — neither confirmed nor invalidated. Support is holding, but sellers continue to control the afternoon.

UNTIL THE DAILY CLOSE: watch the 4-hour candle closes. A close above $82,750 activates scenario A (toward $84,352); a close below $79,800 activates scenario B (new lows). A wick that touches support without a close below it decides nothing.

RISK: buying the reaction below the moving averages is like trying to catch a falling knife. Clear invalidation on a close below $79,800.

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