#比特币回升至8.2万美元
Bitcoin fell below $80,000 and was immediately bought back up, but on-chain analysts say this rally is only getting warmed up 🦖
On October 16, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant posted an update with one key figure: $87,165. That’s Bitcoin’s 20-month simple moving average—and a threshold it needs to clear before it can challenge its all-time high.
💡 群里更新数据解读
The current price is around $82,442, about 6% below that line.
This moving average isn’t an arbitrary line on a chart. Bitcoin fell below it in December 2025 and remained under pressure afterward. CryptoQuant calls it the “frontier of a turning point.” Historically, when the price climbs back above this line, it often marks the beginning of a run toward new macro highs 📈
The Bollinger Bands built around it have an upper band at $121,640 and a lower band at $52,694. The area between the lower band and the moving average is what the firm defines as an accumulation base—in other words, where smart money gradually buys in. The upper band, meanwhile, is where they’re more likely to take profits.
There’s another detail: Bitcoin’s opening price for 2026 was $87,490, almost exactly in line with this moving average. With these two sources of resistance stacked together, the $87,000–$87,500 range won’t be easy to break through ⚠️
The firm’s bull-bear cycle indicator has risen from 0.042 in August to 0.186. CEO Ki Young Ju publicly said at the end of August that the bear market was over. Contributor GugaOnChain put it more bluntly: retail investors fear that $82,000 is the top, but on-chain signals show the market is only just getting started 🔥
Here’s how I read it: this moving average is essentially a profit-taking line, not a buy line. Getting above it would show that this consolidation is truly over. If Bitcoin can’t break through, then $80,000–$87,500 remains a range where prices could keep swinging back and forth. Whether it can break above depends on two things right now: first, the outcome of this month’s rate decision; and second, whether flows into Bitcoin ETFs can turn positive again.
So this $87,165 threshold looks more like an entry ticket.
Do you think Bitcoin can break above it in one go this time, or will it get rejected after another test? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Tap the profile picture to watch the livestream.
Every day, I’ll help you keep up with Bitcoin’s biggest stories—not just what’s happening, but also the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀
Bitcoin fell below $80,000 and was immediately bought back up, but on-chain analysts say this rally is only getting warmed up 🦖
On October 16, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant posted an update with one key figure: $87,165. That’s Bitcoin’s 20-month simple moving average—and a threshold it needs to clear before it can challenge its all-time high.
💡 群里更新数据解读
The current price is around $82,442, about 6% below that line.
This moving average isn’t an arbitrary line on a chart. Bitcoin fell below it in December 2025 and remained under pressure afterward. CryptoQuant calls it the “frontier of a turning point.” Historically, when the price climbs back above this line, it often marks the beginning of a run toward new macro highs 📈
The Bollinger Bands built around it have an upper band at $121,640 and a lower band at $52,694. The area between the lower band and the moving average is what the firm defines as an accumulation base—in other words, where smart money gradually buys in. The upper band, meanwhile, is where they’re more likely to take profits.
There’s another detail: Bitcoin’s opening price for 2026 was $87,490, almost exactly in line with this moving average. With these two sources of resistance stacked together, the $87,000–$87,500 range won’t be easy to break through ⚠️
The firm’s bull-bear cycle indicator has risen from 0.042 in August to 0.186. CEO Ki Young Ju publicly said at the end of August that the bear market was over. Contributor GugaOnChain put it more bluntly: retail investors fear that $82,000 is the top, but on-chain signals show the market is only just getting started 🔥
Here’s how I read it: this moving average is essentially a profit-taking line, not a buy line. Getting above it would show that this consolidation is truly over. If Bitcoin can’t break through, then $80,000–$87,500 remains a range where prices could keep swinging back and forth. Whether it can break above depends on two things right now: first, the outcome of this month’s rate decision; and second, whether flows into Bitcoin ETFs can turn positive again.
So this $87,165 threshold looks more like an entry ticket.
Do you think Bitcoin can break above it in one go this time, or will it get rejected after another test? Share your thoughts in the comments.
Tap the profile picture to watch the livestream.
Every day, I’ll help you keep up with Bitcoin’s biggest stories—not just what’s happening, but also the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀