🚨 #TradersBetOnThreeMoreFedHikes — Market MORE Hawkish Than Fed!
CPI 3.7% HOT yesterday — vs 3.6% expected
Result? Traders now pricing 3 more Fed hikes!
📊 THE GAP:
Traders Pricing: 3 more hikes → Peak Rate 4.75% by June 2027
Fed's Own Dot Plot: Only 1 more hike → Peak 4.25%
Market is 50 bps MORE hawkish than Fed itself — first time this year traders flipped from dovish to hawkish!
Why it matters for Crypto?
Fed Rate NOW: 3.75-4.00% (first hike since 2023)
If 3 more hikes: 4.75% = Higher yields, stronger dollar, risk assets pressure
BTC dumped to $81,132 -2.7% low $80,226 after CPI — exactly bear case we warned
Fed futures: October hike odds jumped from 22% → 40% → 50% after CPI
December: 93% chance of hike now
My take with funny:
Traders before CPI: "Fed done, buy alts" 😎
CPI 3.7%: "Oh no, 3 more hikes?" 😭
Fed: "We only said 1 more hike bro"
Traders: "We know better, 3 hikes!" 🦆
BTC be like: You bet 3 hikes? I go to $80K. Enjoy.
Plan: Holding Q $0.0529 +6.6% only green, waiting $80K support for STRK $0.073 and OP $0.131 dip
Are you Team Hawkish (3 hikes) or Team Fed (1 hike)? Comment 👇
$BTC $STRK $Q.US
#TradersBetOnThreeMoreFedHikes #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin
CPI 3.7% HOT yesterday — vs 3.6% expected
Result? Traders now pricing 3 more Fed hikes!
📊 THE GAP:
Traders Pricing: 3 more hikes → Peak Rate 4.75% by June 2027
Fed's Own Dot Plot: Only 1 more hike → Peak 4.25%
Market is 50 bps MORE hawkish than Fed itself — first time this year traders flipped from dovish to hawkish!
Why it matters for Crypto?
Fed Rate NOW: 3.75-4.00% (first hike since 2023)
If 3 more hikes: 4.75% = Higher yields, stronger dollar, risk assets pressure
BTC dumped to $81,132 -2.7% low $80,226 after CPI — exactly bear case we warned
Fed futures: October hike odds jumped from 22% → 40% → 50% after CPI
December: 93% chance of hike now
My take with funny:
Traders before CPI: "Fed done, buy alts" 😎
CPI 3.7%: "Oh no, 3 more hikes?" 😭
Fed: "We only said 1 more hike bro"
Traders: "We know better, 3 hikes!" 🦆
BTC be like: You bet 3 hikes? I go to $80K. Enjoy.
Plan: Holding Q $0.0529 +6.6% only green, waiting $80K support for STRK $0.073 and OP $0.131 dip
Are you Team Hawkish (3 hikes) or Team Fed (1 hike)? Comment 👇
$BTC $STRK $Q.US
#TradersBetOnThreeMoreFedHikes #CPI #Fed #Bitcoin