#比特币市占率回升至60%
$BTC market dominance is around 59.2%, just one step away from 60%. But what matters most about this figure is the shift in strength between Bitcoin and other coins. Market dominance can rise because BTC is going up, or because altcoins are falling faster. It’s too soon to declare a full-blown bull market based on dominance alone!
Over the past 30 days, BTC is up 8.23%, while $ETH is up just 0.84%. Over the past 7 days, BTC has pulled back 2.78%, while ETH has fallen 7.40%. At least over these two time frames, BTC has clearly held up better. I’d rather focus on BTC in the short term and temporarily lower my expectations for a broad altcoin rally.
But looking at the 90-day view, BTC is up 28.43% and ETH is up 30.25%, so ETH still has a slight edge. The current shift in relative strength isn’t enough to prove that long-term opportunities in altcoins are over. Don’t treat one week of price action as a verdict on the entire cycle!
My spot strategy is to wait for confirmation of a BTC breakout. The area around 84,352 is the high of the past 20 four-hour candles. If a four-hour candle closes above it, then price retests 84,350–84,500 and holds, I’d go long in small tranches, with a stop-loss at 83,800 and staggered targets at 85,800 and 87,200. If price shoots past the entry range, I won’t chase it; I’ll reassess after the next four-hour close.
The combination to watch most closely is BTC price strength alongside rising market dominance. If BTC is also falling while dominance rises, beware: altcoins may be falling even harder. If ETH starts consistently outperforming BTC, I’ll reassess the rotation. Take the trades that have confirmation—don’t declare altcoin season before the market does!
$BTC market dominance is around 59.2%, just one step away from 60%. But what matters most about this figure is the shift in strength between Bitcoin and other coins. Market dominance can rise because BTC is going up, or because altcoins are falling faster. It’s too soon to declare a full-blown bull market based on dominance alone!
Over the past 30 days, BTC is up 8.23%, while $ETH is up just 0.84%. Over the past 7 days, BTC has pulled back 2.78%, while ETH has fallen 7.40%. At least over these two time frames, BTC has clearly held up better. I’d rather focus on BTC in the short term and temporarily lower my expectations for a broad altcoin rally.
But looking at the 90-day view, BTC is up 28.43% and ETH is up 30.25%, so ETH still has a slight edge. The current shift in relative strength isn’t enough to prove that long-term opportunities in altcoins are over. Don’t treat one week of price action as a verdict on the entire cycle!
My spot strategy is to wait for confirmation of a BTC breakout. The area around 84,352 is the high of the past 20 four-hour candles. If a four-hour candle closes above it, then price retests 84,350–84,500 and holds, I’d go long in small tranches, with a stop-loss at 83,800 and staggered targets at 85,800 and 87,200. If price shoots past the entry range, I won’t chase it; I’ll reassess after the next four-hour close.
The combination to watch most closely is BTC price strength alongside rising market dominance. If BTC is also falling while dominance rises, beware: altcoins may be falling even harder. If ETH starts consistently outperforming BTC, I’ll reassess the rotation. Take the trades that have confirmation—don’t declare altcoin season before the market does!