This is a market depth slope chart: Polymarket is blue, Predict is purple.
On the 5-minute BTC up-or-down market, Predict has gone from almost nothing to nearly catching up with Polymarket.
This slope shows one thing: high-frequency markets are no longer Poly’s exclusive territory.
Polymarket isn’t issuing a token, which means it’s actively giving up the crypto crowd’s expectation of a $4 billion valuation.
The only reasons users have left to stick around are liquidity and habit.
Liquidity can be caught up with; habits can change.
Predict has a Binance entry point, points, and the expectation of a token launch. Once its user base catches up, drawing over Poly users is only natural.
Here’s how I’m playing it now: I watch both platforms for high-frequency short-term trades. If Poly still has more liquidity, I trade there. If Predict is already competitive, I leave my orders on Predict.
I keep my long-term positions and points only on Predict.
Polymarket isn’t issuing a token, so my expectations have already come down.
As long as Predict can grow its user base further, it’ll be the next player to take the lead in prediction markets.
We’ll see who comes out on top in six months.
@predictdotfun-华语
On the 5-minute BTC up-or-down market, Predict has gone from almost nothing to nearly catching up with Polymarket.
This slope shows one thing: high-frequency markets are no longer Poly’s exclusive territory.
Polymarket isn’t issuing a token, which means it’s actively giving up the crypto crowd’s expectation of a $4 billion valuation.
The only reasons users have left to stick around are liquidity and habit.
Liquidity can be caught up with; habits can change.
Predict has a Binance entry point, points, and the expectation of a token launch. Once its user base catches up, drawing over Poly users is only natural.
Here’s how I’m playing it now: I watch both platforms for high-frequency short-term trades. If Poly still has more liquidity, I trade there. If Predict is already competitive, I leave my orders on Predict.
I keep my long-term positions and points only on Predict.
Polymarket isn’t issuing a token, so my expectations have already come down.
As long as Predict can grow its user base further, it’ll be the next player to take the lead in prediction markets.
We’ll see who comes out on top in six months.
@predictdotfun-华语