Trump: If we win the midterms, every American adult gets $5,000!

Yeah, right! Let’s look at the numbers:

The odds on Predict haven’t even moved a single point.

A Republican sweep is at 10%. A Democratic sweep is at 65%.

The Senate stays Republican, the House flips to the Democrats: 27%.

This market has seen 11.5 million U in trading volume. It’s not being ignored—people just don’t believe it.

At $5,000 for 240 million adults, that comes to $1.2 trillion.

Tariff revenue can’t cover that in a year. The promised $2,000 tariff rebate from the last round still hasn’t arrived. The market isn’t stupid.

Historically, not many presidents have lost both chambers at once.

If Trump becomes the next one, that 10% on Predict is practically free money. Looking at this market, I wouldn’t bet on a Republican sweep.