Little Leek · Web3 On-Chain & Crypto Asset Insider Brief (10-10 Special Edition)
Benchmark period: 10-09 08:35 to 10-10 08:35 | First-hand analysis of vertical Web3 on-chain sectors

【In-Depth Analysis by Large Models · Strategic Takeaways】
Over the past 24 hours, the crypto market underwent an extreme stress test amid volatility in macro-sensitive tech stocks and the liquidity shock caused by the U.S. government transferring more than 17,000 bitcoins to exchanges. On-chain micro-indicators show a pronounced and unmistakable accumulation pattern: despite nearly $1 billion in consecutive net outflows from spot ETFs, long-term holders who have held for more than six months have shown no signs of depositing coins to exchanges, while short-term holders’ profit-taking pressure has plunged 66% from its peak. At the same time, Ethereum reserves on major exchanges have fallen to a six-month low, alongside a record number of withdrawals. Whales have shown remarkable resilience in absorbing spot supply amid pressure from both long and short positions, with the $80,000 level established as a firm line of defense by deep on-chain buying. In terms of industry evolution, Nasdaq and traditional asset-management giants are making a full-scale push into the tokenization of U.S. equities and Treasuries, while the EU has launched an assessment of collateral settlement. These developments show that real-world asset tokenization is evolving from a fringe experiment into the foundational infrastructure of global financial settlement. Meanwhile, leading public blockchains are accelerating efforts to deploy post-quantum cryptographic defenses, as industry infrastructure undergoes a fundamental transformation from speculation-driven systems to institution-grade resilience. Quantitative models indicate that, with speculative leverage largely flushed out, spot demand is nearing a positive inflection point. The medium- to short-term trend remains strongly bullish, with the $80,000–$82,000 range serving as a strategic accumulation zone.

【Key First-Hand Developments in the Past 24 Hours】
• Aerodrome and Velodrome plan to merge and upgrade to Aero on October 22: the new AERO token’s initial supply is expected to be approximately 2.11 billion, with 94.5% allocated to Aerodrome holders and 5.5% to Velodrome holders.
• Bitcoin rebounded after a difficult week, but traders’ pricing has turned more bearish: Bitcoin bounced back after falling to around $80,000.
• Ethereum rose 71% in Q3, while the share of profitable supply remains outside the danger zone: data shows that the share of ETH supply in profit has moved out of the accumulation range but remains well below the danger zone, indicating that the market has not yet reached the overheated rally conditions suggested by historical indicators.

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