#vitalik警告ai或将加速削弱密码学安全
AI may crack your private keys earlier than quantum computers—sometimes within a week, by reversing a public signature to recover wallet keys 🦖
💬 群里一起聊行情
On Wednesday, Justin Drake, a researcher at the Ethereum Foundation, publicly urged the whole industry to start preparing “hardened-mode” right now—that is, coin holders proactively move assets to fresh addresses that have never been used in signed transactions. In that case, the public key is only hidden behind a hash and won’t be exposed. The post has already been viewed nearly 4 million times.
At the core is ECDSA, the signature algorithm used by Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets to prove that a transfer was authorized by the owner. The problem is that every time you sign a transaction, the public key is permanently written into the blockchain record. 🔐 Once ECDSA is broken, attackers can trace from the publicly available public key to derive the private key and drain the wallet.
Drake says the break has specific thresholds. His definition is that, with a large GPU cluster, it would take about a week to reconstruct a private key—while the worst case is a few months, not years. He attributes this new urgency to a surge in AI math capabilities, pointing to the 722 mathematical results that OpenAI released this Monday.
Vitalik Buterin then added another point: he believes AI-driven advances in mathematics could break lattice-based cryptography within the next two years—the same scheme many people use to defend against quantum threats. Ironically, in order to avoid the threat from the distant quantum future, some might move their coins into algorithms that are weaker in the near term.
Drake also provided a buffer. Small wallets holding fewer than 50 bitcoins are temporarily within the protection range, because Satoshi, credited with about 20,000 addresses, will have targets prioritized first: for each tranche of 50, those addresses become among the earliest to be watched. ⚠️ He also named several major institutions and urged them to strengthen cold wallets as soon as possible.
The background: a Google paper in March moved the timeline of quantum threats up to around 2032. Drake’s estimate at the time put the probability of 2032 at over 10%. The Ethereum Foundation this year has also specifically set up a post-quantum team. On the market side, Bitcoin had at one point slipped to around $82,300. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.71%. The Fed minutes show that 19 officials unanimously supported the rate hike last month, and most people think another hike should happen before the end of the year.
My take: this is not a signal for you to clear out and move everything today. Analyst Ananda Banerjee also cautioned against treating two years as a hard deadline. The real thing to watch is that the industry’s first AI-accelerated attack is being placed alongside quantum on the same footing—and that it’s starting to push for algorithm changes at the underlying layer. For ordinary coin holders, the key question becomes: does your address have a long-term pattern of exposing public keys on-chain?
Are your coins on an exchange or in your own wallet? Let’s discuss in the comments. Every day, I’ll help you track crypto security hot topics—not just what happened, but also the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀
AI may crack your private keys earlier than quantum computers—sometimes within a week, by reversing a public signature to recover wallet keys 🦖
💬 群里一起聊行情
On Wednesday, Justin Drake, a researcher at the Ethereum Foundation, publicly urged the whole industry to start preparing “hardened-mode” right now—that is, coin holders proactively move assets to fresh addresses that have never been used in signed transactions. In that case, the public key is only hidden behind a hash and won’t be exposed. The post has already been viewed nearly 4 million times.
At the core is ECDSA, the signature algorithm used by Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets to prove that a transfer was authorized by the owner. The problem is that every time you sign a transaction, the public key is permanently written into the blockchain record. 🔐 Once ECDSA is broken, attackers can trace from the publicly available public key to derive the private key and drain the wallet.
Drake says the break has specific thresholds. His definition is that, with a large GPU cluster, it would take about a week to reconstruct a private key—while the worst case is a few months, not years. He attributes this new urgency to a surge in AI math capabilities, pointing to the 722 mathematical results that OpenAI released this Monday.
Vitalik Buterin then added another point: he believes AI-driven advances in mathematics could break lattice-based cryptography within the next two years—the same scheme many people use to defend against quantum threats. Ironically, in order to avoid the threat from the distant quantum future, some might move their coins into algorithms that are weaker in the near term.
Drake also provided a buffer. Small wallets holding fewer than 50 bitcoins are temporarily within the protection range, because Satoshi, credited with about 20,000 addresses, will have targets prioritized first: for each tranche of 50, those addresses become among the earliest to be watched. ⚠️ He also named several major institutions and urged them to strengthen cold wallets as soon as possible.
The background: a Google paper in March moved the timeline of quantum threats up to around 2032. Drake’s estimate at the time put the probability of 2032 at over 10%. The Ethereum Foundation this year has also specifically set up a post-quantum team. On the market side, Bitcoin had at one point slipped to around $82,300. The 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.71%. The Fed minutes show that 19 officials unanimously supported the rate hike last month, and most people think another hike should happen before the end of the year.
My take: this is not a signal for you to clear out and move everything today. Analyst Ananda Banerjee also cautioned against treating two years as a hard deadline. The real thing to watch is that the industry’s first AI-accelerated attack is being placed alongside quantum on the same footing—and that it’s starting to push for algorithm changes at the underlying layer. For ordinary coin holders, the key question becomes: does your address have a long-term pattern of exposing public keys on-chain?
Are your coins on an exchange or in your own wallet? Let’s discuss in the comments. Every day, I’ll help you track crypto security hot topics—not just what happened, but also the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀