A sudden 4% surge! The Middle East powder keg is fueling inflation. Crude oil staged an hourly V-shaped reversal at $CL —is it time for retail traders to jump in?

“Macro sets the direction, geopolitics sparks the breakout, and candlesticks signal when to buy or sell. Crude oil’s wild rally is not just a commodity frenzy—it’s inflation roaring!”

Latest developments: Tensions in the Middle East have escalated once again, and the U.S. Central Command is preparing for Iran, with the key window pointing to late October and early November! In response, oil prices surged nearly 4% intraday, sharply intensifying inflationary pressure and forcing the Fed to maintain expectations of hawkish rate hikes. After bottoming at 86.88, prices staged a textbook V-shaped reversal, breaking above the MA7, MA25, and MA99 one after another, with the moving averages aligned firmly to the upside. The current price is 91.22, facing key resistance at the previous high of 91.96.

Trading suggestions:
For long positions, look to enter on a pullback near 90.4–90.8 once prices stabilize. For short positions, if prices repeatedly fail to break above the previous high near 91.96 and form a long upper wick, consider a small position.

My view: Geopolitical risk is a sword of Damocles hanging overhead, capable of triggering a one-way market move at any moment. Technicals and fundamentals are currently aligned in a bullish signal. The preferred approach is to follow the trend and buy on dips, while staying alert for sharp whipsaws in either direction.

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