🔍 Analysis: Could U.S. politicians soon be banned from “betting” on themselves?

A new bill called the “No Betting on Your Own Race Act” has been introduced to prohibit federal candidates, campaign staff, and their family members from trading political event contracts related to their own elections.

Key details:
📍 Goal: Prevent market manipulation and insider trading.
📍 Who it covers: Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi.
📍 Penalties: Civil fines of up to $10,000 or forfeiture of three times the profits.

Looking at the bigger picture, this shows that decentralized prediction markets are increasingly influencing real-world politics, prompting regulators to step in. However, with the U.S. Congress in recess, the bill is unlikely to pass before the 2026 midterm elections. That means Polymarket “players” will likely remain active for the time being.

What do you think about using cryptocurrency to predict election results? Is it an accurate forecasting tool or just a casino?
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