$BTC has now risen above traders’ key cost basis.

The realized price for traders is around $68,900, with the upper bound near $96,500.

This recovery has held for now, but the real test is whether profit-taking picks up.

If $BTC can hold this cost basis, the recovery remains strong; if it breaks below, the outlook will weaken.

—“Strong if it holds, weak if it breaks” applies at any price.